Re: UNH Wildcats 2013-14 Season Thread
Back to Chuck's provocative question about SOG and the six PC games last season; we outshot them 216-192, they out scored us 17-16, but we only mustered one W and one tie. Gillies is an awesome goalie, although Willows solved him in the middle playoff game.
It's even better than that, Snively. In the six games between the teams last season, despite only managing a win and a tie among 4 losses, UNH outshot PC in all games but one. Any guesses as to which game PC outshot UNH? Yup, it was indeed the only game they lost of the six. Here are the gory details:
January 19th: PC 6 @ UNH 5 ... a comfortable PC win despite the superficial "one-goal game" final score ... PC leads 1-0 after one, and stretches things out to a pair of four goal leads in the second period before UNH trims things to 5-2 before the end of the 2nd period. The 3 goal lead is maintained for all but a brief minute through to the final six minutes, when UNH draws back to within two at 6-4, and score with 13 seconds left to account for the final scoreline. PC leads the game for the final 45 minutes, and holds a multi-goal lead for all but a few seconds at the start of the second and end of the 3rd periods. Final SOG favors UNH 42-27. Gillies does not "steal" this game for PC.
February 10th: PC 3 @ UNH 3 ... PC again emerges from the first period up 1-0, UNH draws level in the middle stanza and things are tied 1-1 going into the 3rd period. UNH scores a PPG early in the 3rd period to enjoy a brief 2-1 lead - UNH's only lead over PC at any stage of their regular season series - but a few minutes later, PC's Nick Saracino introduces himself to the good folks of Greater Durham with a pair of goals to stake PC to a 3-2 lead. UNH equalizes late to force OT, but is spent and is somewhat fortunate to hold off PC in OT to salvage a point. Both goalies play well, but neither is designated a "Star of the Game" despite heavy SOG stats, which in the end favor UNH 44-42.
February 13th: @ PC 1 UNH 0 ... scoreless through two periods, PC scores late in the 3rd period to gut out a 1-0 win. Both goalies (and the PC goal scorer Demopoulos) are designated as the three stars, so no "steal" there (I was there, and seem to recall DeSmith stopping a penalty shot?). UNH enjoys a 37-34 SOG advantage. Yippee.
March 15th (HE QF Game 1): @ PC 3 UNH 2 ... scoreless after one period, PC strikes for two second period goals to take a brief 2-0 lead, but UNH claws one back 20 seconds later on a PPG, and the teams go into the second intermission with PC still up 2-1. UNH ties it up early in the 3rd period, but six minutes later Nick Saracino scores his second goal of the game to put PC back up 3-2, and they make it hold up for the win. UNH outshoots PC 37-25. Neither of the goalies again figures in the "three stars".
March 16th (HE QF Game 2): UNH 4 @ PC 1 ... wow, look what happens here. UNH scores late in the first period to take a 1-0 lead into intermission, and briefly goes up two goals when Matt Willows scores his second of the game early in the second, but that man Saracino pegs a goal back quickly to make it 2-1, which holds up into the second intermission. UNH makes that lead hold up until late in the 3rd period, when two late goals (one ENG) account for the 4-1 final score, forcing the decisive Game 3. PC wins the SOG count for the first (and only) time in the season series, by a wide 39-24 margin. DeSmith earns second star on the evening.
March 17th (HE QF Game 3): PC 3 @ UNH 2 ... PC jumps out with an early goal, but their 1-0 lead does not last into the break, as UNH ties things up 1-1 late in the first, and midway through the second take a brief 2-1 lead via a Downing PPG. Six minutes later, PC equalizes with their own PPG, and a minute later Durham's Public Enemy #1 scores on another power play to put PC ahead for good with the eventual GWG. Predictably, with their season on the line, UNH outshoots PC 11-5 in the 3rd period, and 32-25 overall, but I'm pretty sure that Coach Leaman, his players and his staff have gotten over that, while Coach Umile, his players and his staff took no solace in the final SOG tallies. Gillies earns the top star (I think - it's hard to tell the order from the boxscore), and PC advances to the HE Semis - a destination UNH seems to have lost the coordinates to.
In the meantime, a small-but-hardy faction of UNH afficianados/statisticians re-assure themselves that the data supports the final outcome as an "outlier", and wait for the results to "revert to mean" and eventually "even out in the long run".
The rest of us scratch our heads and wonder why players like Nick Saracino and Jon Gillies do not come up to play their college hockey at UNH anymore.
Looking ahead to this weekend ... maybe the statisticians among us will be proven right, and things will "revert to the mean" with some data-correction driven UNH wins.
Personally ... I see a certain PC soph left winger sitting on only one (1) goal so far this season, and await the inevitable arrival of "Groundhog Day Chapter 18" ...
