Looking at the schedule before the season, a 2-3-0 start probably would have induced a lot of "big deals" and "what, me worry?" responses. That it included an upset win over MSU in the season opener, and a loss to Scotty B's Warriors, when arguably the opposite was more likely ... well, UNH is pretty much where many of us would have expected them to be at this point of the season. No "Champions of October" sadly, but a respectable/unsurprising start regardless.
That's actually the good news (I think).
I think the next two months hold the key to where this season ends for our Wildcats ... November/December's schedule looks a whole lot tamer than the final January/February-plus stretch, so if UNH can get some traction before the end of the year, and gird themselves for a respectable, competitive final two months, everything is still within reach. Working against that is the fact that these players are still very much learning how to play together, so the "gel" factor could be delayed until they find themselves in the midst of the meat of the conference schedule, when their collective lack of experience could come home to roost.
Long and short, if UNH isn't comfortably over .500 (let's say by 4-5 games over) when Colgate leaves town after New Year's 2026, with a week off before the HEA schedule gets into full gear with Northeastern in mid-January, they are gonna have their work cut out for them seeding-wise for the HEA Tourney, and getting deep into the league tourney is probably UNH's best shot at getting into the national tourney. The idea that UNH can afford to slog around at around .500 and then wake up in January and go on a long winning run just isn't supported, either by the 2026 schedule outlook or by the program's typical "arc of history". I'd love to be proven wrong, but that would go against just SO many well-established tendencies we've seen over and over again over the last decade or so.
And if they somehow get into 2026 at or below .500 ... watch out, it's another dent in the program's chances for a return to even modest competitiveness.