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UMaine Black Bears, 2nd verse same as the first 2016-2017

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Re: UMaine Black Bears, 2nd verse same as the first 2016-2017

Comparing macro-statistics from this year's team and last year's team.

Scoring Offense
2015-16=2.00(55); 2016-17=2.97(27)
Scoring Defense
2015-16=3.39(50); 2016-17=3.38(51)
Scoring Margin
2015-16=-1.39(54); 2016-17=-0.41(42)

Penalty Minutes(PIM/G)
2015-16=13.5(9); 2016-17=14.4(18)
Power Play
2015-16=14.1%(46); 2016-17=18.8%(26)
Penalty Kill
2015-16=78.5%(52); 2016-17=79.6%(45)
Combined Special Teams
2015-16=49.3(32); 2016-17=51.4 (22)

Goals Against Ave
McGovern: 2015-16=2.78(47); 2016-17=2.94(48)
Morris: 2015-16=3.54; 2016-17=4.12
Save %
McGovern: 2015-16=0.905(53); 2016-17=0.914(24)
Morris: 2015-16=0.901; 2016-17=0.889
 
Comparing macro-statistics from this year's team and last year's team.

Scoring Offense
2015-16=2.00(55); 2016-17=2.97(27)
Scoring Defense
2015-16=3.39(50); 2016-17=3.38(51)
Scoring Margin
2015-16=-1.39(54); 2016-17=-0.41(42)

Penalty Minutes(PIM/G)
2015-16=13.5(9); 2016-17=14.4(18)
Power Play
2015-16=14.1%(46); 2016-17=18.8%(26)
Penalty Kill
2015-16=78.5%(52); 2016-17=79.6%(45)
Combined Special Teams
2015-16=49.3(32); 2016-17=51.4 (22)

Goals Against Ave
McGovern: 2015-16=2.78(47); 2016-17=2.94(48)
Morris: 2015-16=3.54; 2016-17=4.12
Save %
McGovern: 2015-16=0.905(53); 2016-17=0.914(24)
Morris: 2015-16=0.901; 2016-17=0.889

Strength of schedule rank by KRACH: 2016 34, 2017 37.

Not as big a drop as I expected
 
Comparing macro-statistics from this year's team and last year's team.

Scoring Offense
2015-16=2.00(55); 2016-17=2.97(27)
Scoring Defense
2015-16=3.39(50); 2016-17=3.38(51)
Scoring Margin
2015-16=-1.39(54); 2016-17=-0.41(42)

Penalty Minutes(PIM/G)
2015-16=13.5(9); 2016-17=14.4(18)
Power Play
2015-16=14.1%(46); 2016-17=18.8%(26)
Penalty Kill
2015-16=78.5%(52); 2016-17=79.6%(45)
Combined Special Teams
2015-16=49.3(32); 2016-17=51.4 (22)

Goals Against Ave
McGovern: 2015-16=2.78(47); 2016-17=2.94(48)
Morris: 2015-16=3.54; 2016-17=4.12
Save %
McGovern: 2015-16=0.905(53); 2016-17=0.914(24)
Morris: 2015-16=0.901; 2016-17=0.889

Signs of improvement are within this as well as areas of improvement, ie goal tending and defense.

In one of the forum threads last year someone laid out the stats that showed the % chance of winning games is much higher when a team scores on average 3 (if i recall properly) or more goals.
 
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Re: UMaine Black Bears, 2nd verse same as the first 2016-2017

Team record last 4 years.

2013-2014 Overall = 16-15-4 (.514); Conference = 9-8-3 (.525); Goals/Game = 2.91; Opponents = 2.97
2014-2015 Overall = 14-22-3 ( .397); Conference = 8-12-2 (.409); Goals/Game = 2.77; Opponents = 3.26
2015-2016 Overall = 8-24-6 ( .289); Conference = 5-15-2 (.273); Goals/Game = 2.00; Opponents = 3.39
2016-2017 Overall = 11-19-4 (.382 ) Conference = 5-15-2 (.273); Goals/Game = 2.97; Opponents = 3.38
 
Re: UMaine Black Bears, 2nd verse same as the first 2016-2017

In one of the forum threads last year someone laid out the stats that showed the % chance of winning games is much higher when a team scores on average 3 (if i recall properly) or more goals.

And that number will probably continue to rise, the theme of the recruiting class seems largely to be offensive firepower.
 
Re: UMaine Black Bears, 2nd verse same as the first 2016-2017

Don't you think you're overreacting just a bit? It isn't as though we saw Maine get pasted every night, they lost seven games by a single goal, and another five by two goals. Defense was definitely a problem, but they scored enough to keep it competitive, most of the time. And didn't have any good bodies of work? What about beating #3 Quinnipiac, then almost beating them again the next night? Or how about beating #5 Lowell by a score of 5-2? Or even Saturday night, what about consistently battling back and finding a way to win when they didn't have the lead until the middle of the 3rd period and were down right out of the gate? The results were far from consistent, and they underachieved this season, but this team has more talent and a lot more heart than you are giving it credit for.

I didn't say Maine didn't play some good games, but you are what your record says you are. At 11-19-4 (5-15-2), it'a very hard to make a logical case that they deserve a berth in the post-season. And it's equally illogical that a 24 game conference schedule exists for the sole purpose of seeding the HEA tournament, IMO.
 
Re: UMaine Black Bears, 2nd verse same as the first 2016-2017

........In one of the forum threads last year someone laid out the stats that showed the % chance of winning games is much higher when a team scores on average 3 (if i recall properly) or more goals.

Apparently, Maine's game average of 2.97 goals wasn't good enough to increase their chances of winning. I guess they needed the 3.0;):)
 
Re: UMaine Black Bears, 2nd verse same as the first 2016-2017

But what we think about the format isn't the point, NCAA and HEA decide the rules, and if they want to give teams like Maine a chance to go on a run, then that's their initiative, no matter the motive, and we should just sit back and enjoy the minimum of two Maine games we have left until October.

Yes...point well taken. :)
 
Re: UMaine Black Bears, 2nd verse same as the first 2016-2017

But what we think about the format isn't the point, NCAA and HEA decide the rules, and if they want to give teams like Maine a chance to go on a run, then that's their initiative, no matter the motive, and we should just sit back and enjoy the minimum of two Maine games we have left until October.

That's like saying that the NCAA is some unstoppable force of Nature that we are forced to accept, which isn't the case. We ticket-buying fans are the only reason that NCAA hockey even exists.

Hey, I like the conference tourneys; the more hockey, the better. I just think that there shouldn't be an AQ in the offing, especially for teams that wouldn't be within a mile of a bid on the basis of the RS.

I say go ahead and play the tournaments and keep factoring that data into the PWR, which would make the games meaningful to a bunch of teams who have actually earned legitimate contender-status.
 
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Team record last 4 years.

2013-2014 Overall = 16-15-4 (.514); Conference = 9-8-3 (.525); Goals/Game = 2.91; Opponents = 2.97
2014-2015 Overall = 14-22-3 ( .397); Conference = 8-12-2 (.409); Goals/Game = 2.77; Opponents = 3.26
2015-2016 Overall = 8-24-6 ( .289); Conference = 5-15-2 (.273); Goals/Game = 2.00; Opponents = 3.39
2016-2017 Overall = 11-19-4 (.382 ) Conference = 5-15-2 (.273); Goals/Game = 2.97; Opponents = 3.38
Team defense was better this year. 😉
 
Re: UMaine Black Bears, 2nd verse same as the first 2016-2017

Hey, I like the conference tourneys; the more hockey, the better. I just think that there shouldn't be an AQ in the offing, especially for teams that wouldn't be within a mile of a bid on the basis of the RS.

I say go ahead and play the tournaments and keep factoring that data into the PWR, which would make the games meaningful to a bunch of teams who have actually earned legitimate contender-status.
I think there should be an AQ, but I don't believe everybody should make the conference tourneys. A team should have to earn its invitation. At the end of the regular season this year, only one single DI hockey team will absolutely, positively not be going to play in the national tourney. All those games to eliminate one team. That could actually make it in the future if they play well enough to deserve it, in which case all those regular season games would eliminate exactly nobody.
 
Re: UMaine Black Bears, 2nd verse same as the first 2016-2017

I think there should be an AQ, but I don't believe everybody should make the conference tourneys. A team should have to earn its invitation. At the end of the regular season this year, only one single DI hockey team will absolutely, positively not be going to play in the national tourney. All those games to eliminate one team. That could actually make it in the future if they play well enough to deserve it, in which case all those regular season games would eliminate exactly nobody.

If there are going to be AQ's, at least award them to the RS champions.

And it's really the case that only one D-1 team is eliminated now..? Wow, that fact just makes a complete mockery of the nearly 2000 RS games played so far.
 
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And it's really the case that only one D-1 team is eliminated now..? Wow, that fact just makes a complete mockery of the nearly 2000 RS games played so far.

The WCHA does the right thing by only allowing the top 8 teams in their tournament. Alabama Huntsville and UAA have finished their seasons too.
 
Re: UMaine Black Bears, 2nd verse same as the first 2016-2017

Well done Blaine Byron second team hockey east. He had a great season and it is thoroughly deserved.
 
Re: UMaine Black Bears, 2nd verse same as the first 2016-2017

Well done Blaine Byron second team hockey east. He had a great season and it is thoroughly deserved.
He played really well last few months
 
Re: UMaine Black Bears, 2nd verse same as the first 2016-2017

Well done Blaine Byron second team hockey east. He had a great season and it is thoroughly deserved.

He has had a great 4-years and may be the most underrated player in the league. You are only as good as the players you play with.
 
Re: UMaine Black Bears, 2nd verse same as the first 2016-2017

Well done Blaine Byron second team hockey east. He had a great season and it is thoroughly deserved.

You know that was just the columnists vote (which isn't counted since awards are based on coaches vote
 
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