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The States: Why does Minnesota wanna be Kansas?

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Re: The States: Why does Minnesota wanna be Kansas?

In other news I'm happy for Ned Lamont, who did his best to take out the loathsome Joe Liebermann all those years ago and is now the Dem nominee for CT governor. Given the incumbent's rock bottom approval ratings its probably a good thing the party nominated an outsider with little connection to Malloy except for running against him in the 2010 primary.
 
Re: The States: Why does Minnesota wanna be Kansas?

Couple of thoughts:

1. Walz and Johnson winning coupled with Klobuchar and Smith at the top of the senate ticket puts the DFL in a strong position. In theory, the Dems should do much better in the MN legislature and might actually overcome the favorable R districting in the state. And the same could hold over to the US House races. Walz' appeal throughout the southern half of the state can only help this.

2. Turnout favored D's not just in MN but also WI. It should carry over to the mid terms, but the Pawlenty boogeyman will be missing.

Minnesota: Dem 580,962; GOP 319,276
Wisconsin: Dem 537,840; GOP 456,007

3. House GOP has the names (Hagedorn, Stauber, Paulsen and Lewis) but the D's will have the wind at their back due to the above and the Trump gift that keeps on giving.

4. Handy called the Pawlenty weakness.
 
Re: The States: Why does Minnesota wanna be Kansas?

So, a Republican captured independents but lost because his base didn't turn out? I don't understand how that tracks. His only chance is a depressed Democratic turnout. As things look right now the Dems will sweep all the statewide elections. And even if that happens the Democrats could still end up being down 5-3 in House seats depending on how things shake out.

And that isnt happening...twice as many Dems voted in the primaries as the GOP.

The map doesnt look good Johnson. Walz should easily win the Southwest (which went TPaw over Johnson in the Primary) and the majority of the Metro. I dont see Johnson winning enough in the North to get close. If I was setting odds I would say Walz beats him handily...double digits.

Rover,

The media has always had a thing for TPaw I never got it. He was a lock for a VP slot the entire run as Governor and then was a "darkhorse" Prez candidate a few times as well. It made no sense.
 
It gets better...

On paper, 33-year-old Bekah Halat is an accomplished woman. Her campaign website says she owns two businesses and lists more than a dozen awards -- including being named Mrs. Alaska in 2014.

But, there doesn't appear to be any evidence of Halat in that role online.

According to the Mrs. Alaska USA's website, Mrs. Alaska 2014 was a woman named Erica Chilla. And the Mrs. Alaska America pageant says their winner that year was April Wallen. Both pageants say they are the only two sanctioned pageants in the state.

According to their records, Halat has never won a state pageant, though she has competed in the past.

And relating to the charges:
During that same time, Halat somehow contributed thousands of dollars of her own money to her campaign. According to Halat's campaign finance report, filed with the Alaska Public Offices Commission, Halat made two $2,000 deposits into her campaign account last month while on public assistance.

Halat identifies as self-employed on the report, listing her occupation as "businesswoman."

But according to state records, Halat has just one active business license-- for a mobile food service called Super Beans.

A Facebook page with that name identifies the business as a coffee shop, but a visit to the location listed online led to an empty parking lot.

She fits right in with the Republican Party!
 
Re: The States: Why does Minnesota wanna be Kansas?

And that isnt happening...twice as many Dems voted in the primaries as the GOP.

The map doesnt look good Johnson. Walz should easily win the Southwest (which went TPaw over Johnson in the Primary) and the majority of the Metro. I dont see Johnson winning enough in the North to get close. If I was setting odds I would say Walz beats him handily...double digits.

Rover,

The media has always had a thing for TPaw I never got it. He was a lock for a VP slot the entire run as Governor and then was a "darkhorse" Prez candidate a few times as well. It made no sense.

It's possible given the map but not probable that Walz House seat could go to the Republicans and Nolan's seat as well. And if they hold Emmer, Paulsen, and Lewis this fall that would put them up 5-3. Highly unlikely. However, it could be interesting cause it could stay 5-3 Dems and at the same time have 4 seats flip. Two flip to Dems (Lewis and Paulsen lose, and two flip Red, the vacancies left by Walz and Nolan.

Should be a Wild election night.


From the Star Tribune.

Jeff Johnson earned a coveted endorsement for a Republican candidate — the morning after his surprise win against Tim Pawlenty — when President Donald Trump tweeted his support for Johnson’s campaign for governor against Democratic U.S. Rep. Tim Walz.

“Jeff Johnson of Minnesota had a big night in winning the Republican nomination for governor against a very strong and well known opponent! Thanks for all of the support you showed me. You have my complete and total Endorsement. You will win in November!”
 
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Re: The States: Why does Minnesota wanna be Kansas?

And that isnt happening...twice as many Dems voted in the primaries as the GOP.

The map doesnt look good Johnson. Walz should easily win the Southwest (which went TPaw over Johnson in the Primary) and the majority of the Metro. I dont see Johnson winning enough in the North to get close. If I was setting odds I would say Walz beats him handily...double digits.

To be fair, that's pretty optimistic for a Scooby post...
 
Re: The States: Why does Minnesota wanna be Kansas?

I was told we were supposed to fear TPaw, that the Metro would definitely choose him and he would have a good shot in November. They must have counted wrong...

Johnson isnt a Trumper because he actually admits most of the beliefs he has have fallen out of favor or will not be publicly supported soon. Hell he is Pro-Life but admitted the issue is settled. He is friggin Milquetoast...Walz will eat his lunch.

So he's what Trumpers call "a neo-con globalist cuck"?
 
Re: The States: Why does Minnesota wanna be Kansas?

Ellison interview. The ex girlfriend first mentioned the abusive situation saying there was video evidence. Then she said she didn't want to release it because it was too demeaning. Then she said it was stolen out of a storage locker.

https://www.thedailybeast.com/keith...ears-during-interview-about-abuse-allegations

I assume he stays the nominee. I assume he will be on the ballot in November. I will vote for him. I did not vote for him in the primary. This is not the reason I did not vote for him.
 
Re: The States: Why does Minnesota wanna be Kansas?

Ellison interview. The ex girlfriend first mentioned the abusive situation saying there was video evidence. Then she said she didn't want to release it because it was too demeaning. Then she said it was stolen out of a storage locker.

https://www.thedailybeast.com/keith...ears-during-interview-about-abuse-allegations

This situation concerns me. Apparently there is evidence, but it it not going to be made public. So it's down to an accusation, one that could end a person's career.

1. It's false, and he's done. For nothing.
2. It's true, and his career is done, but no real proof. Just enough suspicion.
3. It's true, and his career is done, but proof exists, however, we'll never know.

This is dangerous territory. Very dangerous.
 
This situation concerns me. Apparently there is evidence, but it it not going to be made public. So it's down to an accusation, one that could end a person's career.

1. It's false, and he's done. For nothing.
2. It's true, and his career is done, but no real proof. Just enough suspicion.
3. It's true, and his career is done, but proof exists, however, we'll never know.

This is dangerous territory. Very dangerous.

It doesn't make sense that she would not want to show proof if she has it.
 
Re: The States: Why does Minnesota wanna be Kansas?

It doesn't make sense that she would not want to show proof if she has it.

She's embarrassed that it could happen to her.

Her son outed it. That's the wild card. For all we know, she never wanted it to surface, which I understand, completely. Now that it's out...he's hanging on a limb. He's trusting that the public believes whatever truth *he* tells. And in the #MeToo movement...that's frigging spine-tingling. He could be done, without a shred of evidence.

That being said, if he DID do such things? I am all for burying his career and livelihood.
 
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