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The States: Where We Wish Texas Would Secede Already

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FadeToBlack&Gold said:
So in other words, more squeezing. When my dad retired in 2016, community mental health had already been gutted by years of Republican-led budget cuts. It's only going to get worse if private insurers get involved, which is why Republicans cut the budgets in the first place. Cut 'em off the knees, stretch 'em thin, complain they aren't delivering good outcomes anymore and the system would be better off privatized. Funny how that worked.
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Jails and prisons are the biggest housing providers for the mentally ill.

Meanwhile, the rich can still afford mental health care.
 
Handyman said:
Again, we will see. You guys are putting a lot of stock in polling which has proven AT BEST unreliable these days. I remember when Tina Smith was in a dead heat with Jason Lewis and Ilhan Omar was in trouble in both her primary and her actual election neither of which was true. (fade I am pretty sure had the exact same response) No poll is trustable because none of the people being polled can be trusted to be an honest sampling.

That doesn't mean it isn't tied, it just mean the pollsters likely have zero clue.
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RCP aggregate polling had Tina Smith up 48-43, and she won, 48-43. The race was close, but in the aggregate, she was never tied with Lewis. I don’t ever remember personally thinking Omar was in trouble in her race. French name dude was not a serious candidate.
 
MissThundercat said:
Jails and prisons are the biggest housing providers for the mentally ill.

Meanwhile, the rich can still afford mental health care.
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Those on the govt. dime can access mental health care as well, and usually for longer stays, which, hm, maybe we should create some kind of program that everyone could access govt. insurance if they so chose?
 
psych said:
RCP aggregate polling had Tina Smith up 48-43, and she won, 48-43. The race was close, but in the aggregate, she was never tied with Lewis. I don’t ever remember personally thinking Omar was in trouble in her race. French name dude was not a serious candidate.
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Neither her primary or her election competition were a serious threat...but her support had dropped in some key demos (still is down) but it isn't enough to offset the demos she dominates. That the MNGOP tried to run a milquetoast Black Man in the hopes of getting the Independents to flip (there aren't many and they weren't voting for this clown) shows how ridiculously out of touch they are with modern Minneapolis politics.

And it doesn't matter about the aggregate, the day the poll came out saying Smith and Lewis were close people on here and in the media were touting it as proof she was vulnerable and the Dems were screwed. Why anybody believed a loser like Lewis could get enough support to beat her I will never know.

The Dems and the media play up how "close" it is getting. Media does it for ratings and the Dems do it to scare the lazy into voting which I am fine with. They just swap out the names. I could show you dozens of emails I get from the Dems that they don't even pretend not to cut and paste.

Again McAullife may lose...but that doesn't change the fact that polls have been unreliable since about 2015.
 
psych said:
Those on the govt. dime can access mental health care as well, and usually for longer stays, which, hm, maybe we should create some kind of program that everyone could access govt. insurance if they so chose?
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But I heard that was socialism and socialism is like the devil or something.
 
Handyman said:
Neither her primary or her election competition were a serious threat...but her support had dropped in some key demos (still is down) but it isn't enough to offset the demos she dominates. That the MNGOP tried to run a milquetoast Black Man in the hopes of getting the Independents to flip (there aren't many and they weren't voting for this clown) shows how ridiculously out of touch they are with modern Minneapolis politics.

And it doesn't matter about the aggregate, the day the poll came out saying Smith and Lewis were close people on here and in the media were touting it as proof she was vulnerable and the Dems were screwed. Why anybody believed a loser like Lewis could get enough support to beat her I will never know.

The Dems and the media play up how "close" it is getting. Media does it for ratings and the Dems do it to scare the lazy into voting which I am fine with. They just swap out the names. I could show you dozens of emails I get from the Dems that they don't even pretend not to cut and paste.

Again McAullife may lose...but that doesn't change the fact that polls have been unreliable since about 2015.
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The national polls (and to some extent the statewides) have by and large been quite reliable. Individual polls, not really. But the aggregate have been pretty close.

They missed 2016 by like 1 point nationwide. Sulzer (I think that's the lady out of Iowa) has been far and away one of the best. Even at statewide within Iowa. She correctly called it for Ernst when others had it pretty comfortable the other way.

The high quality polls have been quite good. Leaving out place like Trafalger.
 
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dxmnkd316 said:
The national polls (and to some extent the statewides) have by and large been quite reliable. Individual polls, not really. But the aggregate have been pretty close.

They missed 2016 by like 1 point nationwide. Sulzer (I think that's the lady out of Iowa) has been far and away one of the best. Even at statewide within Iowa. She correctly called it for Ernst when others had it pretty comfortable the other way.

The high quality polls have been quite good. Leaving out place like Trafalger.
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Seltzer I think? I think most of us understand one poll isn't an accurate picture of a race. Aggregated polls are still fairly accurate, even with Trump. If that makes me a dunce for believing in them, so be it. RCP has Youngkin 48.6-McAuliffe 47.6. If Youngkin pulls it off, it'll be because of people with Kepler's money living in NoVa and Richmond thinking like SJHovey instead of, well, Kepler.

Edit: Ann Selzer*.
 
psych said:
Seltzer I think? I think most of us understand one poll isn't an accurate picture of a race. Aggregated polls are still fairly accurate, even with Trump. If that makes me a dunce for believing in them, so be it. RCP has Youngkin 48.6-McAuliffe 47.6. If Youngkin pulls it off, it'll be because of people with Kepler's money living in NoVa and Richmond thinking like SJHovey instead of, well, Kepler.

Edit: Ann Selzer*.
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My mom filled out her mail-in ballot from the hospital. So we're trying!!!
 
psych said:
Seltzer I think? I think most of us understand one poll isn't an accurate picture of a race. Aggregated polls are still fairly accurate, even with Trump. If that makes me a dunce for believing in them, so be it. RCP has Youngkin 48.6-McAuliffe 47.6. If Youngkin pulls it off, it'll be because of people with Kepler's money living in NoVa and Richmond thinking like SJHovey instead of, well, Kepler.

Edit: Ann Selzer*.
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I wasn't responding to most of us.
 
ScoobyDoo said:
That must be Abbott's thinking cause they have done nothing to fix the problems they had last winter. A storm that cost the taxpayers a lot of moola.
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Don't you know? According to Abbott, Texas has more important things to worry about, like trans kids and women daring to have bodily autonomy.
 
MissThundercat said:
Don't you know? According to Abbott, Texas has more important things to worry about, like trans kids and women daring to have bodily autonomy.
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When the Republicans take the Governorship of Virginia tomorrow that will be why. You can't trust white women or white men to stop voting Republican.
 
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