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The Power of the SCOTUS Part VI - Roberts rules disorder

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Just saying that saying government passes laws for the general welfare of the people is a highly debatable statement.

Yeah, only when it infringes upon the rights of women and the gays is it for the general welfare of the people. I took a wonderful opportunity to reveal one of your posts and you didn't disappoint.
 
Re: The Power of the SCOTUS Part VI - Roberts rules disorder

Just saying that saying government passes laws for the general welfare of the people is a highly debatable statement.

Frequently, it seems, government passes laws to promote the welfare of people who work in government.

It is a sad thing to notice how many legislators became rich only after they were elected to the legislature, for example. :(
 
Since the Obergefell decision is coming soon (next week?), a nice refresher from the best site on the interwebs.

And here's Burwell, for the hell of it.

I'd be shocked if either of them came out next week. It's not impossible, but I'd expect them both to be among the last ones released before the summer recess.

If I had to guess, I'm thinking next week are the first batch of opinions from the April sitting, meaning any unanimous ones or other quick ones. Probably also the Fair Housing Act and Reed (a first amendment case re: sign ordinances) since they're the only ones left from the January sitting, and then a couple other February ones that aren't as high profile or difficult but might still have a dissent or two.
 
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Re: The Power of the SCOTUS Part VI - Roberts rules disorder

I'd be shocked if either of them came out next week. It's not impossible, but I'd expect them both to be among the last ones released before the summer recess.

If I had to guess, I'm thinking next week are the first batch of opinions from the April sitting, meaning any unanimous ones or other quick ones. Probably also the Fair Housing Act and Reed (a first amendment case re: sign ordinances) since they're the only ones left from the January sitting, and then a couple other February ones that aren't as high profile or difficult but might still have a dissent or two.

Uno, off the top of your head, has the concern for terrorist activity in large public gatherings become a factor in the courts' analysis of time, place and manner restrictions?
 
Uno, off the top of your head, has the concern for terrorist activity in large public gatherings become a factor in the courts' analysis of time, place and manner restrictions?

I don't think so, at least off the top of my head. At the least, I don't think SCOTUS has touched on it. There could be lower courts out there that have. The closest I can recall SCOTUS getting to that was on the restrictions on speech around abortion clinics (with violence as one of the reasons for it), and they struck that one down. (MA quickly passed a new one in response).
 
Re: The Power of the SCOTUS Part VI - Roberts rules disorder

I don't think so, at least off the top of my head. At the least, I don't think SCOTUS has touched on it. There could be lower courts out there that have. The closest I can recall SCOTUS getting to that was on the restrictions on speech around abortion clinics (with violence as one of the reasons for it), and they struck that one down. (MA quickly passed a new one in response).

I guess it wouldn't affect the law (test) so much as the application of it, in which case SCOTUS would have no reason to become involved. But there is always a some balancing involved when you have to determine what is necessary to serve an important government interest.
 
Re: The Power of the SCOTUS Part VI - Roberts rules disorder

Even for the non lawyers out there, I highly recommend SCOTUSBlog's live chat feed on opinion days. It's going on right row with opinions expected in10 minutes or so.
 
Re: The Power of the SCOTUS Part VI - Roberts rules disorder

3 more released today, none of them big ones.

More coming Thursday. 17 total to go, of which I'd probably call 4-5 of them big - gay marriage, ACA, fair housing act, death penalty drugs, and Arizona independent redistricting.
 
Re: The Power of the SCOTUS Part VI - Roberts rules disorder

It sounds like the Din case had an interesting result in that five concurred but there wasn't a majority agreement in the reasoning.
 
Re: The Power of the SCOTUS Part VI - Roberts rules disorder

The arc of the moral universe is long, but it bends towards justice.

A North Carolina law that would require women who want an abortion to have an ultrasound scan prior to the procedure suffered a final defeat Monday, when the Supreme Court refused to review the case. A federal judge declared the law illegal in early 2014.

The controversial law had been placed under an injunction soon after it took effect back in 2011. It was struck down on the grounds that it reflected ideological, rather than medical, priorities and violated doctors' right of free speech.

No sh*t.
 
Re: The Power of the SCOTUS Part VI - Roberts rules disorder

SCOTUSBlog finally released an interim stat pack for this term. Most interesting to me is that of the 5-4 opinions so far, only 3 out of 8 so far have broken along purely ideological lines, with the liberals + Kennedy winning two out of those three.
 
Re: The Power of the SCOTUS Part VI - Roberts rules disorder

SCOTUSBlog finally released an interim stat pack for this term. Most interesting to me is that of the 5-4 opinions so far, only 3 out of 8 so far have broken along purely ideological lines, with the liberals + Kennedy winning two out of those three.

How you define "ideological lines" if the case has no ideological component? :confused:

I can't see how ideology would affect a patent law case, for example....and it appears that more than half the cases have no discernible "ideological" component, being either a correction of procedural errors, or clarifying business / tax / trade / administrative issues.
 
Re: The Power of the SCOTUS Part VI - Roberts rules disorder

SCOTUSBlog finally released an interim stat pack for this term. Most interesting to me is that of the 5-4 opinions so far, only 3 out of 8 so far have broken along purely ideological lines, with the liberals + Kennedy winning two out of those three.

Here's a fun albeit heavy lifting analysis of the correlation coefficients between justices on the Rehnquist Court. This was back in the day when Thomas used to polish Scalia's knob and never think for himself. Short answer: it's not surprising at all that over the whole caseload there's little significance in correlations between 4- or 5-justice blocs. The correlations actually break down pretty fast, probably because few cases activate the justices' partisanship.
 
Here's a fun albeit heavy lifting analysis of the correlation coefficients between justices on the Rehnquist Court. This was back in the day when Thomas used to polish Scalia's knob and never think for himself. Short answer: it's not surprising at all that over the whole caseload there's little significance in correlations between 4- or 5-justice blocs. The correlations actually break down pretty fast, probably because few cases activate the justices' partisanship.

Most years roughly 2/3rds of 5-4 decisions break along the ideological lines with Kennedy as the swing vote. Last year was the least ideologically split for the current makeup of the court at 60%, 2010 was the high point 88%.
 
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