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The New WCHA IV (2013-14): Unlocked and Cocked

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Re: The New WCHA IV (2013-14): Unlocked and Cocked

Seawolf Fan said:
The "numbers" thing you do does however add to the excitement.
Click to expand...

I try! I just wish that UAH was in the hunt.

Okay, so Matt Wellens of USCHO and the Mining-Journal asked me the following on Twitter:

@weloveuahhockey Is there any way NMU can sweep UAH, but still not get into the playoffs? It looks like we could get a logjam at 27 points.
Click to expand...

Sweeping UAH gets NMU to 27 points and a 13-14-1 record.

Everyone would have to get to 28 points (unlikely), or everyone would have
to get to 27 AND beat NMU in tiebreakers.

Teams that can finish with 28 points:
Michigan Tech (already there)
Alaska (26 points, three shots at getting to 28)
Alaska-Anchorage (26 points, could get to 30)
Bowling Green (26 points, could get to 30)
Lake Superior (24 points, could get to 28)
Bemidji State (24 points, could get to 28)

IF BSU takes 3 points at BG, both are at 27. However, NMU would win the #2 tiebreaker of conference wins, as BSU would be at 11-12-5. (The teams played twice.

IF LSSU takes 3-4 points at FSU, they'd be at 27-28; Ferris is out of this. LSSU and NMU played just twice, so it's conference wins, and would be at 13-14-1.

If Alaska and Alaska-Anchorage split, they get to at least 28; if one gets a win + tie, the losing team is at 27. Say Anchorage, since they have fewer conference wins: they'd also be 11-12-5, so NMU wins that comparison as well.

If NMU loses in Huntsville, then it gets dicey.

GFM
 
Re: The New WCHA IV (2013-14): Unlocked and Cocked

Any chance LSSU could get still get home ice if they miraculously sweep Ferris State next weekend?
 
Re: The New WCHA IV (2013-14): Unlocked and Cocked

A sweep of FSU gets you to 14-14-0 / 28 pts. If any two of the below make it to 29 points, it's over for the Lakers' home ice hopes.

1. MTU is already at 28 points (12-10-4). If MTU is swept by Mankato (probable), they finish 12-12-4. The teams split their four-game series, and LSSU would get points on the conference win tiebreaker.
2. Alaska (12-11-2 / 26 as of this writing). If they pick off FSU or split with the Seawolves next week, they'd be at 28 points, and LSSU would get the #2 tiebreaker.
3. Alaska-Anchorage (11-11-4 / 26 pts). Getting to 28 points makes them 12-12-4. They split the season series, and the Lakers win the #2 comparison.
4. BG (11-11-4 / 26 pts). If the Falcons split with Bemidji, they're at 28, and the Lakers are 3-1 against them on the year.
5. BSU (10-12-4 / 28 pts). They have to sweep the Falcons, but the Beavers win the HTH comparison (1-3-0 for LSSU).

So, you need to sweep, have Tech get swept, hope for Ferris to win tonight, hope for a split in Alaska next weekend, and hope that BG and BSU split. IF ALL THAT HAPPENS, then yes, the Lakers would get home ice. OR you can hope that all but one of those happens, although you don't want BSU to sweep.

GFM
 
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Re: The New WCHA IV (2013-14): Unlocked and Cocked

gfmorris said:
A sweep of FSU gets you to 14-14-0 / 28 pts. If any two of the below make it to 29 points, it's over for the Lakers' home ice hopes.

1. MTU is already at 28 points (12-10-4). If MTU is swept by Mankato (probable), they finish 12-12-4. The teams split their four-game series, and LSSU would get points on the conference win tiebreaker.
2. Alaska (12-11-2 / 26 as of this writing). If they pick off FSU or split with the Seawolves next week, they'd be at 28 points, and LSSU would get the #2 tiebreaker.
3. Alaska-Anchorage (11-11-4 / 26 pts). Getting to 28 points makes them 12-12-4. They split the season series, and the Lakers win the #2 comparison.
4. BG (11-11-4 / 26 pts). If the Falcons split with Bemidji, they're at 28, and the Lakers are 3-1 against them on the year.
5. BSU (10-12-4 / 28 pts). They have to sweep the Falcons, but the Beavers win the HTH comparison (1-3-0 for LSSU).

So, you need to sweep, have Tech get swept, hope for Ferris to win tonight, hope for a split in Alaska next weekend, and hope that BG and BSU split. IF ALL THAT HAPPENS, then yes, the Lakers would get home ice. OR you can hope that all but one of those happens, although you don't want BSU to sweep.

GFM
Click to expand...

The woman was wondering what I was doing, with all the hockey tabs going....showed her your post. I think her mind melted in a ball of confusion. :D
 
Re: The New WCHA IV (2013-14): Unlocked and Cocked

Alaska is currently leading Ferris. Things could be seriously shaken up after this weekend.
 
Re: The New WCHA IV (2013-14): Unlocked and Cocked

9 min left in the FSU game. Don't have a feed, relying on this site for a score.
 
Re: The New WCHA IV (2013-14): Unlocked and Cocked

It would appear that Alaska has clinched a playoff berth. Because Bemidji and BG play each other next week, it's impossible for both to overtake the 'Nooks.
 
Re: The New WCHA IV (2013-14): Unlocked and Cocked

gfmorris said:
This isn't exhaustive, and it isn't perfect, but as my grandaddy used to say, "If I ain't got it all, I got enough": http://uahhockey.com/blog/2014/03/02/2014-wcha-playoff-race-bestworst/

GFM
Click to expand...
CAN ACC MISS THE PLAYOFFS???

"YES

1) UAF sweeps UAA. 2) BSU and BG split. 3) Ferris becomes #1 AND Lake picks up a game, which means a Tech sweep of Mankato (or one point for the Mavs, but come on, I’m at 2350 words and two hours at this point). 4) NMU sweeps UAH."
 
Re: The New WCHA IV (2013-14): Unlocked and Cocked

Going off the grid for the next week! I am sure I will see some "shock and awe" next Sunday.
 
Re: The New WCHA IV (2013-14): Unlocked and Cocked

So it comes down to what happens between the two Alaska teams.
You flatlanders need to stay up late.
 
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