As I said in another thread it's a mistake for UMD not to remain with the other Minnesota/Michigan DII schools.
Lets be clear on one thing. UMD will not entertain any thoughts of going DI in its other sports. Their athletic budget cannot handle it and they'd most likely run into Title IX issues. Their ability to get into a conference is an issue. So, lets end that silly talk.
UMD does not own their rink. They share revenues with the DECC putting more stress on their ability to raise revenue. If their budget is like most other schools in DII with DI hockey, they most likely lose money on all their other sports. The new league will exert additional stress on their athletic budget due to added travel costs. All away conference games are now flying trips (except UND). From a financial standpoint they'd be much better in a regional DII conference with rivalries.
As much as people think athletics lead to increased enrollment there are studies that show this simply is not true (Ohio University study). And, in a niche sport like hockey it's even less true.
A TV contract will not bail them out. The NCHC admitted in their press conference that a TV contract is not about revenue. It's about exposure. I highly doubt as a whole, the NCHC generates more than minimal interest. Please tell me what national audience gives a rat about UMD vs UNO, DENVER vs MIAMI, CC vs UNO. As things exist now, There's already a large number of games on various channels each weekend. And, the ratings are marginal.
Certainly the drafted blue-chippers get led in the direction of UND, DENVER and the BIG TEN schools. However, there are many quality players that nary have a clue about the school they are comitting to. I've had players tell me they've gone to a school simply because they liked the logo. They had a teammate go there. I've seen kids commit without a visit. Believe me even if the SCSU Huskies are in the leftover WCHA they'll get their share of recruits because they will have a newly remodeled rink with a great lockerroom, weight room & plyometrics area. And, because its affordable and because it's Minnesota and because the parents can travel to most home and away games. There are enough hockey players to make most college teams competitive against each other from any league.
The more I look at this the less concerned I am about the NCHC or the BIG TEN. The real beneficiary of this is UND. They beef up their non-conference schedule, get the conference tourney in Grand Forks and eliminate trips to UAA and MTU. bUT, UND is a totally different animal than most teams including Denver.
In the long run, from a competitive, budget and success standpoint UMD (as an island of MN schools) is in my opinion making a mistake. Time will tell.