Re: The Greatest Programs of All-Time: #1-#59
Wow! I'm surprised (but very pleasantly). I especially would have bet against UND catching Michigan this year had I known Michigan was going to score nearly 9 points themselves, as I had guessed UND would score less than 40 points given their rather unimpressive performance in the NCHC Final Four. Despite that, UND put up the most points in a single season so far in FS23's formula. I'm rather impressed with the ground UND closed on Michigan over the last 5 years!
North Dakota's 2015-2016 season ranked #14 all-time in my best teams of the NCAA era list. Union's 2013-2014 campaign ranked #45, so I wasn't too surprised that UND put up more points this season than Union in 2013-2014. North Dakota only lost 6 games all season and had a pretty dominating performance in the NCAA Tournament.
Of course, had Michigan's Kyle Connor won the Hobey Baker, Michigan would have stayed atop the rankings by less than a tenth of a point.
That being said, here is the outlook for 2017:
#1 - North Dakota and Michigan are extremely close. Whoever has the better season in 2016-2017 will likely be #1.
#3 - Minnesota can't catch North Dakota or Michigan, and BC can't catch Minnesota, so the Gophers will stay at #3.
#4 - The race for #4 is BC's to lose. BU, DU, and Wisconsin can all theoretically overtake BC with a national title. DU would likely need to at least make the national title game to have a shot at #4, and BU could overtake the Eagles with just a Regional Final and otherwise strong regular season (see Michigan this season).
#7 - Wisconsin is almost certain to stay at #7, absent a national title (see #4 above). They can't be caught by...
#8 - Michigan State will stay #8 for the foreseeable future. They are probably 2-3 national title runs behind Wisconsin, but are probably 2 national title runs ahead of anyone from #9 and below.
#9 - Maine is the favorite to stay at #9, but could be surpassed by Michigan Tech (with a Frozen Four run or better); Cornell (with a National Title Game appearance or title); Lake Superior State (with a National Title Game appearance or title); Colorado College (with a National Title); Harvard (with a strong National Title season); and Clarkson (with a great National Title season). This also represents the list of teams with realistic Top 10 chances.
Top 15 - The Top 15 will be difficult to crack, but the following schools could do it: Minnesota Duluth (National Title Game appearance/title); RPI (National Title); and New Hampshire (strong National Title season).
Top 20 - Bowling Green is barely hanging onto the #20 spot, and could be caught by any of the following: Northern Michigan (likely just needs a better season than BGSU); Yale (Strong Regional Final run or better); St. Lawrence (National Title Game appearance/title); Union (National Title); Miami (National Title); Quinnipiac (National Title); Notre Dame (Strong National Title season); Dartmouth (Strong National Title season); and Ferris State (great National Title season).
At this point pretty much any program can jump into the top 30 with a national title run. Obviously, the bottom half of the rankings are pretty fluid, and a strong season can shakeup those rankings quite a bit.