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The 4th Global War on Terror - Deja vu all over again!

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Re: The 4th Global War on Terror - Deja vu all over again!

The Senate has an idea -- http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs...tion-authorizing-force-against-syria/?hpid=z1

Members of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee reached an agreement late Tuesday on wording of a new resolution authorizing U.S. military force against the Syrian government.
The resolution would permit up to 90 days of military action against the government of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad, beginning with 60 days and the option of 30 more pending President Obama’s notification of Congress, according to a copy of the resolution provided by Senate aides.

The resolution also bars the deployment of U.S. combat troops into Syria, but would permit the deployment of a small rescue mission, in the event of an emergency, the aides said.

Obama also would be required within 30 days of enactment of the resolution to send Congress a plan for a diplomatic solution to end the violence in Syria, according to a senior Senate aide familiar with the agreement.

The committee is expected to begin debating the new resolution Wednesday and Senate Majority Leader Harry M. Reid (D-Nev.) is expected to schedule a vote for early next week, aides said.

What's the objective? What's the end game? And who in the heck thinks Syria is going to listen to a US diplomatic solution?
 
What (where) are the targets and what is the objective?

I've heard they won't bomb the chemical warfare depots because it may accidentally unleash the stuff.
Syria has moved the Scuds near or in civilian populations and we won't bomb them because we don't want to kill civilians.

Previously statements by the administration say that Command and Control installations are out as well are government targets.

If I'm the Syrian military, I disperse my forces for the 2 - 3 days while the missiles are incoming. After that is the status quo unchanged?? And what is to prevent Assad from using chemical weapons (if he did in the first place) again?

At least Syria does not allow same sex marriage. :D

I'm going to leave it up to the military to determine targets, but as Syria is in a desert I'm curious just how much of his military infrastucture he's going to be able to hide. He's going to have trouble parking fighter jets and lots of choppers in the middle of a marketplace. I would be looking for bases, heavy artillery, and aircraft.

As far as the goal, it is to pound Assad's military to the point where the risk/reward calculation for using chemical weapons becomes not worth it. Say you degrade his military by 25% by taking out his air force, air defenses, and some other assets. Is he going to launch poison gas to kill 1400 more civilians when he knows that will invite another strike that will further cripple his military? Probably not.

There's a popular myth that people who oppose military action like this tend to use, which is that it does no good. Tell that to Saddam Hussein, who as we now know had zero ability to replace anything that was bombed in the years of the no fly zone over his country. Tell that to Milosevic, who's homicidal henchmen were bombed into submission twice. If Putin wants to stand on the side of sarin gas being used on civilians, let him. He doesn't get to veto US action however.

BTW - With AIPAC coming out in favor of this, arguably the most powerful political lobby out there, expect a lot more Republicans to vote in favor of this. That endorsement was even more powerful than The Boner's.
 
Re: The 4th Global War on Terror - Deja vu all over again!

If you pound Assad until his military is weak, isn't his time as ruler over? Who fills the void? What if he lobs missiles at Israel, screw it I'm done, so lets F up the world? Who is going to protect his religious sect once the Sunni and ****es get power? We going to watch those folks get killed off? Lots of questions, no answers that are written in stone as I see it
 
Re: The 4th Global War on Terror - Deja vu all over again!

Don't get me wrong, I'm a humanitarian at heart... I want nothing more than others to enjoy peaceful and free societies. I do not see how this accomplishes either one. We are doing this solely because our leaders have been left looking feckless, impotent, and stupid. So in the end it is more about their personal emotions than EITHER national interest OR establishing liberty.

Causus belli is the emotions of the political class. This is not a good place to be working from.

This has been a political debacle in my opinion. Obama is making the wrong decision (we need to take action ourselves) for what is probably the right reason (the people of Syria)...but its just plain bad from a political standpoint. Why? Because it goes against one of liberals core values...and allows conservatives to flip flop on this issue.

Pat, I am assuming your conservative. Not saying you were...but someone like you would have been ardently behind the Iraq war. Liberals like me were against it from day one. In fact, 96% of conservatives supported the Iraq invasion...and 61% of liberals did. And Iraq was in a different solar system in terms of poor decisions and implications...i.e., there was no atrocities going on in Iraq and putting boots on the ground, upped the stakes a thousand fold for the US in terms of lives and spending.

So now liberal politicians have two choices: to support a bad decision on Syria when pretty much everyone sees a parallel (albeit a poor one) with a disasterous Iraq...or break ranks with their party. IMO Obama's handling of this (in addition to pushing healthcare in the middle of the crisis) will likely ensure that he is no better than an average president.
 
Re: The 4th Global War on Terror - Deja vu all over again!

As far as the goal, it is to pound Assad's military to the point where the risk/reward calculation for using chemical weapons becomes not worth it. Say you degrade his military by 25% by taking out his air force, air defenses, and some other assets. Is he going to launch poison gas to kill 1400 more civilians when he knows that will invite another strike that will further cripple his military? Probably not.

The problem with this thought process is two fold. First will the US and it's "allies" actually hit the Syrian military that hard. I doubt it. I have seen/read nothing to suggest that the military will do so. I keep hearing/reading the words "limited" and "proportional", neither of which suggest to me that the US will do anything remotely like what you state.

Secondly, you assuming that Assad is a logical and/or reasonable person. Both of which are untrue if we go under the assumption that it was the Syrian government that actually used the chemical weapons (I suspect they did but would not be at all surprised if it was the rebels). So, even if the US did destory 25% of his military capabilities there is nothing to suggest that Assad will act rationally afterwards (not use chemical weapons again).

There's a popular myth that people who oppose military action like this tend to use, which is that it does no good. Tell that to Saddam Hussein, who as we now know had zero ability to replace anything that was bombed in the years of the no fly zone over his country. Tell that to Milosevic, who's homicidal henchmen were bombed into submission twice. If Putin wants to stand on the side of sarin gas being used on civilians, let him. He doesn't get to veto US action however.

I would not use Iraq as a poster for saying that military action does "good". Yes, Hussein is dead, but at what cost? Are the Iraqi people really better off? Is the United States better off? I'm not totally sure about a majority Iraqi's being better off today, although they probably will be in a generation or two. I am positive that the US is not. So yes a bad person is out of power but I don't think it was a "win" for the US when the costs are taken into account.

I do agree that the bombing of the Serbian forces did what was intended. However, I think the two key points that happened then was that it was (at least) a NATO operation and there was a specific goal. So the US was not going cowboy on it and there was a specific goal was accomplished. Neither of which are happening so far in the current situation.


I am against a military action simply for two reasons: First, it will not in any way make the US any better off afterwards, nor will it punish Assad, and will most likely create a worse situation in both Syria and for terror attacks in the US. I do not feel that chemical weapon use is a "red line". That was a mistake by Obama to state such a thing. He has backed the US into a corner with saying that. He and his advisors made the mistake in thinking that Assad would be rational. Now he apparently feels the need to double down and make another mistake. And secondly the US needs to stop acting alone (or with just the few puppet nations and the Brits). Let another country take the lead on this. If Israel/Turkey/Saudia Arabia are so concerned they they should do something about it. It's in their backyard, let them take the lead. They all have the military to do it. It's not like they would be taking sharpened sticks as weapon in a modern fight. Bottom line for me right now, is that there is basically nothing to be gained, and the downside, while not huge, does outweigh what little If anything could be gained.


I will say that I could be swayed in favor of military action if there was a very specific goal and it's laid out to us what is to be gained, absolutely zero (in any situation) chance of troops being put into Syria, and that the UN gives it's support. Until that happens I will continue to voice my opinion with my Congressman (who so far is against a military strike) and Senators (who can't make a statement either way so far).
 
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Re: The 4th Global War on Terror - Deja vu all over again!

So now liberal politicians have two choices: to support a bad decision on Syria when pretty much everyone sees a parallel (albeit a poor one) with a disasterous Iraq...or break ranks with their party. IMO Obama's handling of this (in addition to pushing healthcare in the middle of the crisis) will likely ensure that he is no better than an average president.

If you'll pardon the ironic humor, he's been shooting par for quite some time.
 
Re: The 4th Global War on Terror - Deja vu all over again!

So now liberal politicians have two choices: to support a bad decision on Syria when pretty much everyone sees a parallel (albeit a poor one) with a disasterous Iraq...or break ranks with their party.

Unfortunately, for a vast majority of politicians its: political party loyalty trumps national (and constituent) interest every time. :(
 
Re: The 4th Global War on Terror - Deja vu all over again!

John McCain appears to want boots on the ground.. http://www.boston.com/news/nation/w...ution-syria/EN6FW0eL4gg4WGcDb9Tq3K/story.html

WASHINGTON (AP) — Sen. John McCain says he doesn’t support the latest Senate resolution to authorize military force against Syria.

McCain is an outspoken advocate of intervention against Syrian President Bashar Assad’s regime and wants more than cruise missile strikes and other limited action.

The Arizona Republican threatened earlier this week to vote against a White House draft resolution unless President Barack Obama promised greater support to Syria’s rebels. McCain then expressed support after meeting Obama at the White House.

He now opposes a resolution crafted by Democratic Sen. Bob Menendez of New Jersey and Republican Sen. Bob Corker of Tennessee. It puts a 90-day limit on action and says no American troops can be sent into Syria.

Asked if he supported it, McCain said, ‘‘In its current form, I do not.’’

© Copyright 2013 Globe Newspaper Company.
 
Re: The 4th Global War on Terror - Deja vu all over again!

If true, he is officially out of touch.

Nah, he just mad about losing at online poker and need to take it out on someone! ;)

Seriously, when he makes statements like this I am very happy that he is not our President.
 
Re: The 4th Global War on Terror - Deja vu all over again!

Nah, he just mad about losing at online poker and need to take it out on someone! ;)

Seriously, when he makes statements like this I am very happy that he is not our President.

McCain and Graham never met a war they didn't enjoy.
 
Re: The 4th Global War on Terror - Deja vu all over again!

You can't allow random chemical warfare attacks on civilians without a robust response. To that end, I agree that a pin***** bombing won't do the trick. We need to reserve judgement on that until we see the plan. Recall all the naysayers when the Bosnian operation didn't end after two days. :rolleyes:

Old liberal vs conservative designations with this are dead. There are very few hawks left in the GOP (McCain, etc) and far more isolationists (Rand Paul). Liberalism no longer has that 60's mindset, both from the interventions of the Clinton era and getting duped by faulty "evidence" to go along with the Iraq war. In fact, this brilliant article pretty much sums up the Republican response...
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The GOP wants to have it both ways on Syria
By Dana Milbank, Published: September 3
Jim Inhofe of Oklahoma, top Republican on the Senate Armed Services Committee, is in a spirited debate — with himself.

Four months ago, Inhofe demanded that “President Obama step up and exhibit the leadership required” to show Syria’s Bashar al-Assad “that his barbaric actions have consequences.” Writing in USA Today, Inhofe added: “Continued inaction by the president, after establishing a clear red line, will embolden Assad and his benefactors in Tehran to continue their brutal assault against the Syrian people.” Inhofe floated the idea of a “no-fly” zone or even “boots on the ground.”

But last week, as Obama moved toward military action to enforce his “red line,” Inhofe issued a statement saying that “[o]ur military has no money left” for a strike on Syria. On “Fox News Sunday,” Inhofe reiterated his position that “I would oppose going in and having military intervention against Syria.” He said that Obama should not have drawn a red line in the first place.

As Inhofe’s conversion on the road to Damascus indicates, Republicans don’t like what Obama is doing in Syria — whatever it is.

Some protested when Obama threatened to bomb Syria without congressional approval; others then criticized him for seeking congressional approval. They complain that Obama’s use-of-force resolution is too broad; they argue that it would amount to only a “pin*****.” They assert that he should have intervened long ago; they say that he has not yet made the case for intervening. They told him not to go to the United Nations; they scolded him for not pursuing multilateral action. They told him to arm the rebels and, when he did, they said he had done it too late and with insufficient firepower.

Genuine disagreements within the GOP can explain some of the contradictions. And it’s a fair criticism to say that Obama waited too long to act, even if there was never a consensus for action. But the one thing that seems to unite the opposition is the belief that Obama is wrong, no matter what.

Typical of that approach is Paul Ryan, the 2012 vice presidential nominee, who issued a have-it-both-ways statement Tuesday that offered no support for military action. “The President has some work to do to recover from his grave missteps in Syria,” Ryan said. “He needs to clearly demonstrate that the use of military force would strengthen America’s security.”

In 2011, Ryan called for a muscular response to Syria, which he accused of a “brutal crackdown” and killing its citizens. Said Ryan then: “We have a responsibility to speak boldly for those whose voices are denied by the jackbooted thugs of the tired tyrants of Syria and Iran.”

On Tuesday, House Republican leaders took steps to build support for authorizing the use of force. Still, they protected their right to criticize Obama when things go wrong. House Speaker John Boehner said he would support the resolution, but his office issued a statement saying, “It is the president’s responsibility to make his case.”

Majority Leader Eric Cantor said he, too, would support the resolution, but he added that “a one-off military strike is not by itself an adequate strategy” yet also said that force should be used “judiciously.”

That sort of waffling is unlikely to unify the fractious GOP.

On one side is Sarah Palin (who wrote a Facebook post titled “Let Allah Sort It Out”), isolationist Sen. Rand Paul (Ky.), George W. Bush adviser John Bolton and Iraq war architect Donald Rumsfeld (who hasn’t seen “what our national interest is” in a Syria strike). On the other side are Sens. John McCain (Ariz.) and Lindsey Graham (S.C.), who say that anything less than Assad’s ouster and an end to Syria’s civil war would be “an inadequate response.” George W. Bush administration veterans Karl Rove, Doug Feith, Paul Bremer, Elliott Abrams and Dan Senor joined leading neoconservatives in delivering a similar message.

As Republican lawmakers line up on both sides, the ambitious Sen. Marco Rubio (R-Fla.) honed his have-it-both-ways approach. “Because the President failed to act in the right way at the right time, we are now left with no good options,” he wrote last week. He suggested that Obama choose between all (a comprehensive plan “to remove Assad and replace him with a stable, secular government”) or nothing (“simply focus our resources on helping our allies in the region” deal with an unstable Syria).

Rest assured, Rubio will criticize Obama either way.

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I will also dispense with two talking points. 1) Obama shouldn't have drawn a red line. The world has drawn the red line on the use of nerve gas to attack a populace. Yes, there are instances where its occured, but its not Obama's red line. He just happens to control the military of the one country in the position to do something about it. As The Economist made the point this week, even Hitler refused to gas the Allied troops. 2) We shoudn't have signaled that we were going to attack. Will you people make up your freakin minds? Either you want him to go to Congress, which given their slow to decide nature would automatically give Assad time to act defensively, or you want to give Obama a blank check to bomb whenever and wherever he pleases under the guise of "we didn't want to give the enemy a head's up". Again, that didn't seem to help the Serbs, Iraqis, Libyans, Grenadians, or anybody else who's been subject to US military action previously.
 
Re: The 4th Global War on Terror - Deja vu all over again!


This senile bastard really just needs to go away.

I'm going to leave it up to the military to determine targets, but as Syria is in a desert I'm curious just how much of his military infrastucture he's going to be able to hide. He's going to have trouble parking fighter jets and lots of choppers in the middle of a marketplace. I would be looking for bases, heavy artillery, and aircraft.

Whether he tries to hide anything or not isn't going to make much difference. We already knew/know where it all is/was, and none of it is going anywhere without us knowing where it's going. If we want to take it out, we can.
 
Re: The 4th Global War on Terror - Deja vu all over again!

What's the objective?

What is whose objective?

It appears that Obama's objective is not to look like a wimp. sigh.

If you are asking, what should our objective be, well, let's think this through for a minute.

If the statement we want to make is, "the use of chemical weapons is totally unacceptable," then wouldn't the most logical objective be to go after the Assad brothers personally? (assuming of course that one has decided that Syrian forces used the chemical weapons and it was not the opposition using the weapons as a feint. It sounds like we have intelligence intercepts indicating that Syrian commanders ordered the use of the chemical weapons and that is the basis for our decision to go after the Syrian government).

"cut off the head of the snake and the body dies too."

As far as the end game, well, we already botched the end game in Iraq, I can't see us doing any better the second time.


I thought Kerry's speech laid out the stakes and the objectives quite well, actually, and I'm surprised to find myself writing that.
 
Re: The 4th Global War on Terror - Deja vu all over again!

Is this true???
Culture War Notes ‏@culturewarnotes 57m
#syria Didn't sign chem ban treaty, treaty doesn't ban use WITHIN a nation. We're bombing Syria for not violating a treaty it didn't sign.

Legalistic?

Well, reading the convention under Article II
9. "Purposes Not Prohibited Under this Convention" means:
(a) Industrial, agricultural, research, medical, pharmaceutical or other peaceful purposes;
(b) Protective purposes, namely those purposes directly related to protection against toxic chemicals and to protection against chemical weapons;
(c) Military purposes not connected with the use of chemical weapons and not dependent on the use of the toxic properties of chemicals as a method of warfare;
(d) Law enforcement including domestic riot control purposes.

Hair splitters will say that an insurrection against the established government can be construed as a "riot". And therefore the use within the Syrian borders is a justified use.

Keep in mind that the US cannot use tear gas against a foreign combatant under the Convention. But we use tear gas internally with very few complaints.
 
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Re: The 4th Global War on Terror - Deja vu all over again!

I will also dispense with two talking points. 1) Obama shouldn't have drawn a red line. The world has drawn the red line on the use of nerve gas to attack a populace.

Nice copying of a Whitehouse speach. Obama still referenced and drew the "red line" with regards to this situation. Those are his words and he needs to own up to them and not try to pass it off. I continually find Obama's mishandling of this situation amazing. He's screwed it up so far and there is no sign that he can stop screwing the pooch on this.

As The Economist made the point this week, even Hitler refused to gas the Allied troops.

You and The Economist look like fools for using Hitler as an example, even in this situation. Yea! Hitler didn't gas soldiers! Nevermind he gassed countless Jews. :rolleyes:
 
Nice copying of a Whitehouse speach. Obama still referenced and drew the "red line" with regards to this situation. Those are his words and he needs to own up to them and not try to pass it off. I continually find Obama's mishandling of this situation amazing. He's screwed it up so far and there is no sign that he can stop screwing the pooch on this.



You and The Economist look like fools for using Hitler as an example, even in this situation. Yea! Hitler didn't gas soldiers! Nevermind he gassed countless Jews. :rolleyes:

Your position seems to be one of 1) Do nothing, except for 2) blame Obama. If nothing is to be done in a bad situation, how exactly is that Obama's fault? That makes zero sense.

Its easy to do nothing, but it ignores the unique place of the US in the world. China or Russia are not going to tell dictators to stop slaughtering their own people. Should we then let those countries set the rules? No. Thanks. As the unquestioned world leader, its this country's job to tackle these problems. That's why any talk about China taking over as the world's premier nation are a joke...or at least they are until the US starts shirking its historical responsibilities.

So, regarding Syria, I completely agree that launching a few cruise missles and calling it a day are a waste of time. A robust bombing campaign is not, because you hit Assad in the one place where his power comes from, the military. I don't care how irrational he is, self preservation is a powerful motivator. Sometimes US intervention short of putting boots on the ground will do no good. Rwanda is a good example, and Somalia too, where there's few military targets to strike at from the air. However in this case its reasonably cut and dry as to what we're going after.

To the final question of what comes after, I don't think regime change is the goal. Ultimately the people of Syria have to decide who they want to lead them, and I fully expect it to get ugly. These transitions usually are and they can range from the relatively easier one in Tunisia to the much more difficult one in Egypt but they can sort that out. What Assad needs to learn the hard way is there's some things the world won't stand for and chemical warfare is one of them. Somebody has to stand for something and one has to wonder which German dialect we'd all be speaking right now if the "everybody's on their own" crowd" was running things back in WWII.
 
Re: The 4th Global War on Terror - Deja vu all over again!

Your position seems to be one of 1) Do nothing, except for 2) blame Obama. If nothing is to be done in a bad situation, how exactly is that Obama's fault? That makes zero sense.

Its easy to do nothing, but it ignores the unique place of the US in the world. China or Russia are not going to tell dictators to stop slaughtering their own people. Should we then let those countries set the rules? No. Thanks. As the unquestioned world leader, its this country's job to tackle these problems. That's why any talk about China taking over as the world's premier nation are a joke...or at least they are until the US starts shirking its historical responsibilities.

So, regarding Syria, I completely agree that launching a few cruise missles and calling it a day are a waste of time. A robust bombing campaign is not, because you hit Assad in the one place where his power comes from, the military. I don't care how irrational he is, self preservation is a powerful motivator. Sometimes US intervention short of putting boots on the ground will do no good. Rwanda is a good example, and Somalia too, where there's few military targets to strike at from the air. However in this case its reasonably cut and dry as to what we're going after.

To the final question of what comes after, I don't think regime change is the goal. Ultimately the people of Syria have to decide who they want to lead them, and I fully expect it to get ugly. These transitions usually are and they can range from the relatively easier one in Tunisia to the much more difficult one in Egypt but they can sort that out. What Assad needs to learn the hard way is there's some things the world won't stand for and chemical warfare is one of them. Somebody has to stand for something and one has to wonder which German dialect we'd all be speaking right now if the "everybody's on their own" crowd" was running things back in WWII.

You got it correct. I don't think the US should do anything in Syria at this time. I stated previously that the only way I would intervene in Syria is if US citizens were directly attacked by Syria. I and I think a good portion of the populace, are sick of being in wars; are sick of being the "world’s policeman"; are sick of bungling Presidents in these types of situations. As I have mentioned before, there are other countries that are more than capable of acting if the need is really there. Let them do it. Again, in my mind there is zero to be gained by attacking Syria. Heck the only reason the President (and I think you?) want to is you want to send a message that chemical weapons are bad and Assad should not have used them which is not a good enough reason for me.

I blame Obama because he is the President and I think he has and continues to handle this whole situation badly. And I don't think it is going to get any better. There certainly no indication of it.

The US only has this "unique place in the world" because past leaders have decided to make it our place. I don't believe that isolationism is the way to move forward, however, I do think we need to pull back from becoming involved seemingly every situation that the Government does not like. Only people with overinflated sense of the United States worth think that we need to "tackle these problems". There are plenty of other countries that can handle these problems if they really wanted to but they don’t because they can just wait until the US comes charging in. I don't give two ****s about our historical responsibilities; I only care about how we moved forward. It long past overdue that the United States starts to write a new history for ourselves instead of continually making the same mistakes over and over.
 
Re: The 4th Global War on Terror - Deja vu all over again!

You got it correct. I don't think the US should do anything in Syria at this time. I stated previously that the only way I would intervene in Syria is if US citizens were directly attacked by Syria. I and I think a good portion of the populace, are sick of being in wars; are sick of being the "world’s policeman"; are sick of bungling Presidents in these types of situations. As I have mentioned before, there are other countries that are more than capable of acting if the need is really there. Let them do it. Again, in my mind there is zero to be gained by attacking Syria. Heck the only reason the President (and I think you?) want to is you want to send a message that chemical weapons are bad and Assad should not have used them which is not a good enough reason for me.

I blame Obama because he is the President and I think he has and continues to handle this whole situation badly. And I don't think it is going to get any better. There certainly no indication of it.

The US only has this "unique place in the world" because past leaders have decided to make it our place. I don't believe that isolationism is the way to move forward, however, I do think we need to pull back from becoming involved seemingly every situation that the Government does not like. Only people with overinflated sense of the United States worth think that we need to "tackle these problems". There are plenty of other countries that can handle these problems if they really wanted to but they don’t because they can just wait until the US comes charging in. I don't give two ****s about our historical responsibilities; I only care about how we moved forward. It long past overdue that the United States starts to write a new history for ourselves instead of continually making the same mistakes over and over.
Does that make you an isolationist? Just asking, not pointing fingers.
 
Does that make you an isolationist? Just asking, not pointing fingers.

Makes him a libertarian as best I can tell, which isn't too dissimilar. While I don't agree in the least about abdicating the US's place in the world, its an interesting perspective.
 
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