The 2015 Pairwise, Bracketology and History Thread

[JimDahl]

Re: The 2015 Pairwise, Bracketology and History Thread

With only RIT/Canisius left, I'm taking a break. Here's my last tweet on the subject:

Nothing else will be decided by RIT/Can tonight. BG 2%, MN 97% if loss, Prov 50%, Harv 53% if win, Yale up to 20%

 

[umhockey91]

Re: The 2015 Pairwise, Bracketology and History Thread

It would be a shame to see UMass-Lowell miss the tourney. I think that they are built for a deep run if they make it.

I know that PWR involves a lot of number crunching but I look at some of the mediocre records and wonder how a team like UML at 21-12-6 would be out while 19-18-1 St. Cloud would be in.

 

[Patman]

Re: The 2015 Pairwise, Bracketology and History Thread

If all higher seeds win tomorrow:

Fargo
#2 North Dakota vs RIT
Omaha vs Minnesota

South Bend
#3 Miami vs Harvard
Michigan Tech vs St Cloud

Providence
#1 Mankato vs Providence
Denver vs Colgate

Manchester
#4 Boston U vs Quinnipiac
Duluth vs Boston C

I categorically reject this reality

 

[Patman]

Re: The 2015 Pairwise, Bracketology and History Thread

It would be a shame to see UMass-Lowell miss the tourney. I think that they are built for a deep run if they make it.

I know that PWR involves a lot of number crunching but I look at some of the mediocre records and wonder how a team like UML at 21-12-6 would be out while 19-18-1 St. Cloud would be in.

we dropped the ball mid-season, and HEA dropped the ball in non-conf.

 

[Priceless]

Re: The 2015 Pairwise, Bracketology and History Thread

How's this for awkward: Yale has to hope Harvard wins tomorrow night.

 

[RL3AO]

Re: The 2015 Pairwise, Bracketology and History Thread

It would be a shame to see UMass-Lowell miss the tourney. I think that they are built for a deep run if they make it.

I know that PWR involves a lot of number crunching but I look at some of the mediocre records and wonder how a team like UML at 21-12-6 would be out while 19-18-1 St. Cloud would be in.

I understand how that would be frustrating, but St. Cloud has played 27 games (after tomorrow) against teams that would be in the NCAA Tournament in Priceless' latest bracketology. UMass-Lowell has played 12 (after tomorrow). So yes, it seems odd that a near .500 team will make it (and probably get a 3 seed), but I think they're certainly a top 16 team.

 

[Shirtless Guy]

Re: The 2015 Pairwise, Bracketology and History Thread

It would be a shame to see UMass-Lowell miss the tourney. I think that they are built for a deep run if they make it.

I know that PWR involves a lot of number crunching but I look at some of the mediocre records and wonder how a team like UML at 21-12-6 would be out while 19-18-1 St. Cloud would be in.

An overemphasized quality win bonus and the non-con record of NCHC.

 

[LTsatch]

Re: The 2015 Pairwise, Bracketology and History Thread

How's this for awkward: Yale has to hope Harvard wins tomorrow night.

After the way that team played against Yale, they deserve it! Remember, if Yale had not tanked in the 2013 ECAC tourney, they may have not won it all. This could be another grand strategy by Allain!

 

[yaledoc]

Re: The 2015 Pairwise, Bracketology and History Thread

Not awkward at all.......Go Crimson !!!

 

[Shirtless Guy]

Re: The 2015 Pairwise, Bracketology and History Thread

Is it now impossible for MTU to be a #1 seed without winning tomorrow?

 

[LTsatch]

Re: The 2015 Pairwise, Bracketology and History Thread

Not awkward at all.......Go Crimson !!!

Ahhh, the Doctor returns!

 

[mcfarljd]

An overemphasized quality win bonus and the non-con record of NCHC.

Simple solution.

Play better teams.

 

[Critical Thinker]

Re: The 2015 Pairwise, Bracketology and History Thread

I think Bowling Green is out. If anyone has a scenario where they make it, please post it.

bgsuhockey.com says BG is in with wins by MTU, BU, Harvard, Miami, and Minnesota.

 

[J.D.]

Re: The 2015 Pairwise, Bracketology and History Thread

we dropped the ball mid-season, and HEA dropped the ball in non-conf.

hockey east had the 2nd best non-league record but without looking it up again, perhaps that was primarily built up against atlantic hockey.

 

[yaledoc]

Re: The 2015 Pairwise, Bracketology and History Thread

LT.....I am never far away when it comes to the Bulldogs !!!

 

[Shirtless Guy]

Re: The 2015 Pairwise, Bracketology and History Thread

Simple solution.

Play better teams.

im serious, we took the away the TUC Cliff which was a good thing and replaced it with an adjusted RPI that is the tiebreaker for all comparisons and made it impossible to turn a comparison without playing head to head...that's wrong. I posted before how I think the QWB should be used, I'll do the math again after the regular season is over and show the difference. QWB is a good thing but it should not be incorporated into the first comparison and tiebreaker comparison.

 

[MSchvatz44]

Re: The 2015 Pairwise, Bracketology and History Thread

Essentially what we have is this

In:
Mankato, Michigan Tech
North Dakota, Miami, Denver, Duluth, Omaha, St Cloud
Boston University, Boston College
ECAC Champ
AHA Champ

4 open spots

Still alive, playing, can be at-large
Minnesota, Harvard

Still alive, playing, need AQ
RIT, Mercyhurst
Colgate
Michigan
Lowell

Still alive, not playing:
Providence
Quinnipiac
Yale

I think Bowling Green is out. If anyone has a scenario where they make it, please post it.

I have ran through numerous scenarios and cannot find one in which Quinnipiac does not make the tournament. Have you been seeing similar results?

 

[Patman]

Re: The 2015 Pairwise, Bracketology and History Thread

hockey east had the 2nd best non-league record but without looking it up again, perhaps that was primarily built up against atlantic hockey.

IIRC I think our (HEA) atlantic hockey was something and one.

 

[Priceless]

Re: The 2015 Pairwise, Bracketology and History Thread

Miami, BU, Duluth, Denver and Michigan Tech are all still alive for 1-seeds. They can all finish as high as 3 overall.

If they all win:
3) Michigan Tech
4) Boston U
5) Miami
6) Denver
7) Duluth

If they all win, but Tech loses, everyone moves up and Tech drops to 6. UMD stays 7.

If BU and Tech both lose, it becomes Miami-DU-BU-Tech-UMD

UMD's path to #1: Have everyone lose tomorrow. If Minnesota wins the B1G they move up to 3 overall.

 

[klbaum1077]

bgsuhockey.com says BG is in with wins by MTU, BU, Harvard, Miami, and Minnesota.

I just ran that and they come up 16 but Are out because of the aha auto bid