Re: SCOTUS 15: Help Us, Ruth Bader Ginsburg! You're Our Only Hope!
In addition to your well stated analysis I'd also say that those lines were drawn 10 years ago when the electorate's leanings were a bit different. As in that was before educated people starting running for the door. Even with an extreme gerrymander Virginia's legislature was on a knife's edge before the courts stepped in and redrew the lines.
Unfortunately its going to be a state by state slog but its starting to pay dividends. Re-elect Whitmer and one more state supreme court justice to enforce the referendum and Michigan is on its way.
One thing about gerrymandering, though. It's great as long as you are close but it creates a cliff at about -8 points. All those votes you steal to flip the -3 suburban districts come from someplace and typically the geography doesn't let you take them from say +30 rural districts. You're taking them from +7/8/9/10 districts, so if the pendulum ever swings to a net -8 you don't just lose the districts you've been stealing you suddenly get destroyed in those districts you would have still held had you played fair.
The stinger in the tail of gerrymandering is when it finally falls apart you go into freefall. The GOP has been snickering along for a decade but eventually they're going to roll double sixes and when that happens they are so massively f-cked it barely bears thinking about.
In addition to your well stated analysis I'd also say that those lines were drawn 10 years ago when the electorate's leanings were a bit different. As in that was before educated people starting running for the door. Even with an extreme gerrymander Virginia's legislature was on a knife's edge before the courts stepped in and redrew the lines.
Unfortunately its going to be a state by state slog but its starting to pay dividends. Re-elect Whitmer and one more state supreme court justice to enforce the referendum and Michigan is on its way.