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RPI Engineers 2016-2017: 10 Years on

Re: RPI Engineers 2016-2017: 10 Years on

We need to try not going 0-for-7 on the power play. That said, a decently played game. One bad turnover created both of their goals.
 
Re: RPI Engineers 2016-2017: 10 Years on

Can anyone that attended these games confirm whether or not Ohio State's new coach was there?
 
Re: RPI Engineers 2016-2017: 10 Years on

Anybody have information on why Laura Horwood has missed the last couple games? I have to assume that is an injury...hopefully not serious.
 
Re: RPI Engineers 2016-2017: 10 Years on

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-lang="en"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Fantastic article about class of '16 Alum, Alexa Gurschow. Keep it up, Lex! <a href="https://t.co/gC7lLoatpP">https://t.co/gC7lLoatpP</a></p>— RPI Women's Hockey (@RPI_WHockey) <a href="https://twitter.com/RPI_WHockey/status/790579222045753345">October 24, 2016</a></blockquote> <script async src="//platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
 
Re: RPI Engineers 2016-2017: 10 Years on

Well, we're a week in so it's time to break these lovely posts back out. For the uninitiated, I simulate the season a million times using KRACH and figure out where RPI stands. It's a fun little exercise that means little beyond giving me ridiculous hope that we could challenge for a home playoff spot or something like that (right now it stands as an 0.6% chance, so don't bet on it). So right now we're just below the playoff line, but it's obviously incredibly early. The team is preparing to head on a four-game road trip with a pair of winnable games at Yale and Brown and a pair of reaches in the North Country. We're "expected" to pick up about 2.3 points on the trip, so in order to boost our standings and get over the playoff hump, we'll want to pull down at least three or four points in the four games.

RPI KRACH (RRWP): 60.49 (.4062)

MCTs (Mean/Median/Mode/Range):
Points - 17.61 / 18 / 18 / 3 - 34
Rank - 8.43 / 9 / 10 / 1 - 12
Playoffs - 46.7%
Most likely opponent - at SLU (18.9%)

Conference Rankings:
  1. SLU
  2. Clarkson
  3. Colgate
  4. Princeton
    —————
  5. Quinnipiac
  6. Cornell
  7. Yale
  8. Harvard
    —————
    —————
  9. RPI
  10. Brown
  11. Dartmouth
  12. Union
 
Re: RPI Engineers 2016-2017: 10 Years on

lugnut92 said:
Well, we're a week in so it's time to break these lovely posts back out. For the uninitiated, I simulate the season a million times using KRACH and figure out where RPI stands. It's a fun little exercise that means little beyond giving me ridiculous hope that we could challenge for a home playoff spot or something like that (right now it stands as an 0.6% chance, so don't bet on it). So right now we're just below the playoff line, but it's obviously incredibly early. The team is preparing to head on a four-game road trip with a pair of winnable games at Yale and Brown and a pair of reaches in the North Country. We're "expected" to pick up about 2.3 points on the trip, so in order to boost our standings and get over the playoff hump, we'll want to pull down at least three or four points in the four games.

RPI KRACH (RRWP): 60.49 (.4062)

MCTs (Mean/Median/Mode/Range):
Points - 17.61 / 18 / 18 / 3 - 34
Rank - 8.43 / 9 / 10 / 1 - 12
Playoffs - 46.7%
Most likely opponent - at SLU (18.9%)

Conference Rankings:
  1. SLU
  2. Clarkson
  3. Colgate
  4. Princeton
    —————
  5. Quinnipiac
  6. Cornell
  7. Yale
  8. Harvard
    —————
    —————
  9. RPI
  10. Brown
  11. Dartmouth
  12. Union
Click to expand...

Chance at points on an away weekend? And is the only way to watch is buying an ivy pass?
 
Re: RPI Engineers 2016-2017: 10 Years on

Splitting the weekend was pretty much what we expected to happen, though pulling a couple extra points out of New Haven would have been a huge help in securing a playoff spot. Now we get to go up to (basically) Canada and any point we earn is found money. We're basically tied with Cornell for 8th, and Yale/Harvard are just a couple points ahead, so an extra win could vault us up to 6th.

RPI KRACH (RRWP): 62.22 (.4138)

MCTs (Mean/Median/Mode/Range):
Points - 18.20 / 18 / 18 / 5 - 34
Rank - 7.98 / 8 / 9 / 2 - 12
Playoffs - 59.2%
Most likely opponent - at SLU (24.8%)

Conference Rankings:
  1. SLU
  2. Clarkson
  3. Colgate
  4. Quinnipiac
    —————
  5. Princeton
  6. Yale
  7. Harvard
  8. Cornell
    —————
    —————
  9. RPI
  10. Brown
  11. Dartmouth
  12. Union
 
Re: RPI Engineers 2016-2017: 10 Years on

Morgan Ondrick signing NLoI https://www.instagram.com/p/BMpygeHDqeT/

A web page mentioning Lauren Severson signing NLoI http://www.mystateline.com/sports/local-athletes-sign-with-college-choices.


Edit: MO has either removed the Instagram or made it private. This is the tweet which let me to the Instagram:
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-lang="en"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Officially an engineer!! So excited for these next 4 years &#55357;&#56888;&#55357;&#56892;&#55356;&#57298; <a href="https://t.co/otVR3nfrI2">https://t.co/otVR3nfrI2</a></p>— Morgan Ondrick (@MorganOndrick) <a href="https://twitter.com/MorganOndrick/status/796904583163420672">November 11, 2016</a></blockquote> <script async src="//platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
 
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Re: RPI Engineers 2016-2017: 10 Years on

Losing a pair of games to tough teams actually managed to increase our KRACH by a nominal amount, so hooray for strength of schedule. We weren't really expected to earn points, so nothing was lost, and because Harvard lost twice, we actually gained!

RPI KRACH (RRWP): 62.29 (.4141)

MCTs (Mean/Median/Mode/Range):
Points - 17.88 / 18 / 18 / 4 - 33
Rank - 7.85 / 8 / 8 / 3 - 12
Playoffs - 64.3%
Most likely opponent - at SLU (22.4%)

Conference Rankings:
  1. SLU
  2. Clarkson
  3. Colgate
  4. Quinnipiac
    —————
  5. Cornell
  6. Princeton
  7. Yale
  8. RPI
    —————
    —————
  9. Harvard
  10. Dartmouth
  11. Brown
  12. Union
 
Re: RPI Engineers 2016-2017: 10 Years on

lugnut92 said:
Losing a pair of games to tough teams actually managed to increase our KRACH by a nominal amount, so hooray for strength of schedule. We weren't really expected to earn points, so nothing was lost, and because Harvard lost twice, we actually gained!

RPI KRACH (RRWP): 62.29 (.4141)

MCTs (Mean/Median/Mode/Range):
Points - 17.88 / 18 / 18 / 4 - 33
Rank - 7.85 / 8 / 8 / 3 - 12
Playoffs - 64.3%
Most likely opponent - at SLU (22.4%)

Conference Rankings:
  1. SLU
  2. Clarkson
  3. Colgate
  4. Quinnipiac
    —————
  5. Cornell
  6. Princeton
  7. Yale
  8. RPI
    —————
    —————
  9. Harvard
  10. Dartmouth
  11. Brown
  12. Union
Click to expand...

Numbers may not show it but Clarkson is better
 
Re: RPI Engineers 2016-2017: 10 Years on

lugnut92 said:
Losing a pair of games to tough teams actually managed to increase our KRACH by a nominal amount, so hooray for strength of schedule. We weren't really expected to earn points, so nothing was lost, and because Harvard lost twice, we actually gained!

RPI KRACH (RRWP): 62.29 (.4141)

MCTs (Mean/Median/Mode/Range):
Points - 17.88 / 18 / 18 / 4 - 33
Rank - 7.85 / 8 / 8 / 3 - 12
Playoffs - 64.3%
Most likely opponent - at SLU (22.4%)

Conference Rankings:
  1. SLU
  2. Clarkson
  3. Colgate
  4. Quinnipiac
    —————
  5. Cornell
  6. Princeton
  7. Yale
  8. RPI
    —————
    —————
  9. Harvard
  10. Dartmouth
  11. Brown
  12. Union
Click to expand...

This is starting to look like what I would have expected. I think the Harvard position is pretty real and accurate despite it being a huge departure from history. And the bottom 3 are pretty much a lock...
 
Re: RPI Engineers 2016-2017: 10 Years on

Anybody know why we were missing 2/3 of our top line on the weekend ? Tomlinson was out of the line-up for both games...Rooney played against St. Lawrence but missed the Clarkson game.
 
Re: RPI Engineers 2016-2017: 10 Years on

hab said:
Anybody know why we were missing 2/3 of our top line on the weekend ? Tomlinson was out of the line-up for both games...Rooney played against St. Lawrence but missed the Clarkson game.
Click to expand...

Rooney out, I think shoulder, maybe clavicle.
 
Re: RPI Engineers 2016-2017: 10 Years on

lugnut92 said:
Losing a pair of games to tough teams actually managed to increase our KRACH by a nominal amount . . .
Click to expand...

Note: If your KRACH went up after a weekend when you got swept, it means that the teams you played earlier in the season did well, increasing your strength of schedule. One advantage KRACH has over RPI is that a loss never helps your rating, and a win never hurts it.
 
Re: RPI Engineers 2016-2017: 10 Years on

D2D said:
Most coaches today would just leave it as, "Upper Body", if even that specific.
Click to expand...

Yeah I probably changed the betting odds. So then Tomlinson upper body as well.
 
Last edited:
Re: RPI Engineers 2016-2017: 10 Years on

Eeyore said:
Note: If your KRACH went up after a weekend when you got swept, it means that the teams you played earlier in the season did well, increasing your strength of schedule. One advantage KRACH has over RPI is that a loss never helps your rating, and a win never hurts it.
Click to expand...

Thanks for the note. I don't think I ever put it together that strength of schedule can never override a loss because 0 wins is still 0, regardless of how many wins were expected.
 
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