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POTUS 45.31: "The Caravan is Coming.""The Caravan is Coming."

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Re: POTUS 45.31: "The Caravan is Coming.""The Caravan is Coming."

First off, new rates weren't in effect for half of your data set. Plus, have you ever tried to start a business? Do you think it'll be profitable overnight, or are they going to write off capital expenditures in the first quarter? Of course they're going to go down in the first three months, as that's how short-term economics work. Same thing happened in 2003. Let us know if the same trend is happening in about 2-3 years, because these were never meant to be short term fixes.

Couple things. Ryan said that tax income was rising from last year. Its not its falling. Second, the tax shortfall increased from the first half of the period (Q4 17) to the second half (Q1 18). Things are getting worse. Third, your comment about capital write offs in the first quarter is irrelevant. These are year over year comparisons...so seasonality is taken out of the equation. All of this speaks against what Ryan said and against increased tax revenues from the corporate sector.
 
Re: POTUS 45.31: "The Caravan is Coming.""The Caravan is Coming."

Couple things. Ryan said that tax income was rising from last year. Its not its falling. Second, the tax shortfall increased from the first half of the period (Q4 17) to the second half (Q1 18). Things are getting worse. Third, your comment about capital write offs in the first quarter is irrelevant. These are year over year comparisons...so seasonality is taken out of the equation. All of this speaks against what Ryan said and against increased tax revenues from the corporate sector.

Regarding Paul Ryan's comments, I'd take a look at the context of what he's stating, because it seems like he's referring to the economic excitement that happened in 2017 as a result of Trump getting into office, while you're looking at a comparison between Q4 2017 and Q1 2018, so you're comparing apples to oranges.

With your second point, once again, you're merely looking at things in a vacuum, and using short-term as the be all end all because it fits your doom-and-gloom narrative. Are nominal revenues going to show an immediate decline when you have a rate decrease? Absolutely. Anyone who has a basic understanding of mathematics is going to understand that one. The people who called for the rate cuts understood this. They knew it was going to be something that happens. So to say people lied because you set the goalposts at the point of the rate decrease is dishonest and reprehensible.

Thirdly, you're once again comparing apples to oranges regarding what I stated about capital expenditures. A rate decrease is done by a government in order to promote growth in a particular sector. In this case, business and industry. With the corporate cuts, I would look more closely to how small-to-mid-market businesses are expanding, and entrepreneurs are seeking to start businesses. That's the real direct growth that you're going to see, and revenues will naturally come as a part of it.
 
Re: POTUS 45.31: "The Caravan is Coming.""The Caravan is Coming."

<img src="https://media.giphy.com/media/AeWoyE3ZT90YM/giphy.gif" />

<img src="http://www.sharegif.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/01/tumblr_m59sbgVPD91qlnj48o1_.gif" />
 
Re: POTUS 45.31: "The Caravan is Coming.""The Caravan is Coming."

Flag's posts today remind me of that Beavis and Butthead episode when they attended poetry night at the coffee shop, and the organizers kept plying Beavis with cappuccino espressos in order for him to continue his Great Cornholio riffs up on stage. :D
 
Re: POTUS 45.31: "The Caravan is Coming.""The Caravan is Coming."

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-lang="en"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">The Resistance is infiltrating Trump Country <a href="https://t.co/S0L8TF1ky8">https://t.co/S0L8TF1ky8</a> <a href="https://t.co/EVzk0NzIeJ">pic.twitter.com/EVzk0NzIeJ</a></p>— Rolling Stone (@RollingStone) <a href="https://twitter.com/RollingStone/status/986705360110211072?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">April 18, 2018</a></blockquote>
<script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-lang="en"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">tRump evangelicals <a href="https://t.co/iWHtWHEbA7">pic.twitter.com/iWHtWHEbA7</a></p>— McSpocky™ ���� (@mcspocky) <a href="https://twitter.com/mcspocky/status/986606626571513857?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">April 18, 2018</a></blockquote>
<script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-lang="en"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">.<a href="https://twitter.com/Comey?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">@Comey</a> to <a href="https://twitter.com/TheView?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">@TheView</a>: "I used to think that at the heart of being a conservative...was first that character matters and second that values matter most of all. And I don't know where that is today in the Republican Party." <a href="https://t.co/hlJ7Ucl0aO">https://t.co/hlJ7Ucl0aO</a> <a href="https://t.co/tlWlBQNSuv">pic.twitter.com/tlWlBQNSuv</a></p>— ABC News Politics (@ABCPolitics) <a href="https://twitter.com/ABCPolitics/status/986625990502727682?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">April 18, 2018</a></blockquote>
<script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
 

PragerU ("Prager University") is a conservative digital media organization. Structured as a 501(c)3 non-profit, it creates videos on various topics from a conservative perspective. The videos are posted on Youtube, and usually feature a speaker who gives a mini-lecture for about five minutes. PragerU is not an academic institution and does not offer certifications or diplomas.

You. You are sitting in the echo chamber.
 
Re: POTUS 45.31: "The Caravan is Coming.""The Caravan is Coming."

He thinks Veritas is non-partisan.

I honestly have to give him credit for branching out and linking to non-Infowars websites (albeit still deep right) as of late. I can't wait until he discovers the New York Post and doesn't think it's a pure liberal rag!
 
Re: POTUS 45.31: "The Caravan is Coming.""The Caravan is Coming."

I honestly have to give him credit for branching out and linking to non-Infowars websites (albeit still deep right) as of late.

Every day in every way he is getting better and better.
 
Re: POTUS 45.31: "The Caravan is Coming.""The Caravan is Coming."

The Republican party (and plenty of politicians of both parties) was quite different in 1974 than it is in 2018. There is zero chance any republicans, let alone respected or influential ones, go to trump and force him to agree to resign. Zero chance. Unless Mueller's investigation reveals some horrific crime that anyone can relate to -- not collusion w/Russians, not some campaign finance crime or some other white collar crime that 99.99% of Americans will ever have the money to commit -- but something like evidence he literally paid to have someone killed in a business deal gone bad, he isn't getting indicted, and neither is anyone he is related to by blood or marriage. He doesn't have the self-awareness to do what Nixon did as the investigation ended up at his feet.

trump is going to be president until at least January of 2020. There are two ways I see that not being true. One, a true wave election gives democrats the House and and they sweep the Senate elections and end up with enough votes (with possibly a few scared as 5h!t republicans joining in) to convict following an impeachment in the house. The other way is the Russians find he has outlived his usefulness to their mob/government (remember, those are one and the same) and they assassinate him before he is able to reveal evidence of Russian transgressions that amount to actual modern, 21st century attacks on the United States. I think the latter though is much more likely if trump somehow gets elected to a second term. We'll see if voters though have learned their lessons in November of this year.

That's my point. He could prob easily get that charge, but no cost to Trump, no change happening. He's doing it all, and it's painful to wait, but it *should* be worth it.
 
Re: POTUS 45.31: "The Caravan is Coming.""The Caravan is Coming."

Another way Sniffles might not be at the White House until 2020 is if that Adonis (same height and weight as Albert Pujols!) strokes out.
 
Re: POTUS 45.31: "The Caravan is Coming.""The Caravan is Coming."

Another way Sniffles might not be at the White House until 2020 is if that Adonis (same height and weight as Albert Pujols!) strokes out.

You need stress to stroke out. Dumpy is a placid pig rolling in its own filth. There's no stress there. Stress implies thought.
 
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