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pairwise nov 23

Re: pairwise nov 23

It makes sense as most non-conference games are done and that's where you get bigger fluctuation between teams in the rankings.
 
Re: pairwise nov 23

Red Cows said:
Serious question.

Is this a known fact, or, just your guess at what the percentage is?

I can't recall reading anything before on this topic in print or on the board before (it has to have come up, though, one would think) and it has me wondering just what percentage of teams in the top 16 in Pairwise on January 1st actually DO end up being in the tourney, historically.
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I do a thread every year on the pairwise starting January 1. (link to 2014 thread) Sadly all my data is on my crashed PC and I can't get to the hard drive but 72% of teams that are in the tournament as of Jan 1 make the eventual field.
 
Re: pairwise nov 23

Priceless said:
Way too early to look at the pairwise. January 1 is the day to start - 75% of teams that are in the January 1 pairwise make the tournament.

Of course, this thread isn't serious. It's just mookie trying to pad his lead for Poser of the Year.
Click to expand...

Priceless said:
I do a thread every year on the pairwise starting January 1. (link to 2014 thread) Sadly all my data is on my crashed PC and I can't get to the hard drive but 72% of teams that are in the tournament as of Jan 1 make the eventual field.
Click to expand...

Make up your mind. Is it 72% or 75%? :D
 
Re: pairwise nov 23

Ralph Baer said:
Make up your mind. Is it 72% or 75%? :D
Click to expand...

:p

I knew it was around 75% but it wasn't until I looked up the thread I saw it was 72%.

For last season, all of the top eight made it, and 10 of the top 14 (71%) Three others were in the top 20. I don't know where Colgate was ranked. If anyone knows how to break into my hard drive I can probably tell you :p

Edit: The 14 is because that's where the cut line was. Denver and Robert Morris got in via autobids.
 
Re: pairwise nov 23

Here's my brackets based on Nov 23 PWR:

Manchester NH
(1) Michigan Tech vs (4) Mass-Lowell
(2) Min-Duluth vs (3) Quinnipiac

Providence RI
(1) Minnesota vs (4) Harvard
(2) Boston Univ vs (3) Denver

South Bend IN
(1) Neb-Omaha vs (4) Penn State
(2) Miami vs (3) Vermont

Fargo ND
(1) Minn State vs (4) Rob Morris
(2) Bowling Green vs (3) North Dakota
 
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Re: pairwise nov 23

Grand Forks
#1 Mankato vs Denver
Bowling Green vs North Dakota

Manchester
#2 Duluth vs St Lawrence
Minnesota vs Vermont

Providence
#3 Omaha vs Merrimack
Harvard vs Boston U

South Bend
#4 Miami vs Robert Morris
Michigan Tech vs Yale
 
Priceless said:
Grand Forks
#1 Mankato vs Denver
Bowling Green vs North Dakota

Manchester
#2 Duluth vs St Lawrence
Minnesota vs Vermont

Providence
#3 Omaha vs Merrimack
Harvard vs Boston U

South Bend
#4 Miami vs Robert Morris
Michigan Tech vs Yale
Click to expand...

Isn't there a rule that the #1 overall team plays the #16 team and protects that #1 seed above all else?
 
Re: pairwise nov 23

Bale said:
Isn't there a rule that the #1 overall team plays the #16 team and protects that #1 seed above all else?
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Nope. The other #1 seeds are NCHC so Mankato would have to play #13 Denver. The precedent is the 2003 tournament, when #1 Cornell had to play #14...Mankato.
 
Re: pairwise nov 23

Priceless said:
Grand Forks
#1 Mankato vs Denver
Bowling Green vs North Dakota

Manchester
#2 Duluth vs St Lawrence
Minnesota vs Vermont

Providence
#3 Omaha vs Merrimack
Harvard vs Boston U

South Bend
#4 Miami vs Robert Morris
Michigan Tech vs Yale
Click to expand...

That would be Fargo.
 
Re: pairwise nov 23

I'll start my own thread January 1, but here is the current projection:

Fargo
#1 @MavHockey vs @RMUhockey
@UNDmhockey vs @GopherHockey

South Bend
#2 @UNO_hockey vs @Yale_Hockey
@UVMmhockey vs @BGFalconHockey

Providence
#3 @UMDhockey vs @MerrimackMIH
@mtuhky vs @TerrierHockey

Manchester
#4 @Harvard_Hockey vs @DU_hockey
@MiamiOH_Hockey vs @RiverHawkHockey

(They're in twitter format...sorry about that)

Had a question last night about Duluth's chances to land in Fargo, since it is the only true "western" regional this year. Seeing as North Dakota is the host, and a conference-mate of Duluth, that knocks them out if they are in the same band. It also knocks them out if they are in the opposite band (ie 2v3). So they have that hurdle. If they remain a 1-seed, they have to be the top Minnesota seed (right now that's Mankato) and they have to hope North Dakota doesn't finish as a 4-seed or rise above 6th, since it would be awkward to put the top overall seed with a host at #5. Given that, I'd put Duluth's chances of coming east at about 80%. Of course, the easiest way for Duluth to stay west is for North Dakota to miss the tournament entirely and be the top overall seed.
 
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Re: pairwise nov 23

Five NCHC and three WCHA?

I have a hunch one of the NCHC schools falls out, four/three NCHC/WCHA respectively seems more realistic.

B1G I think may have a surprise auto-bid winner to put two into the tourney. A quick hot streak of three wins at tournament time and a surprise winner is in.
 
Re: pairwise nov 23

aparch said:
Five NCHC and three WCHA?

I have a hunch one of the NCHC schools falls out, four/three NCHC/WCHA respectively seems more realistic.

B1G I think may have a surprise auto-bid winner to put two into the tourney. A quick hot streak of three wins at tournament time and a surprise winner is in.
Click to expand...

Four is probably likely but 5 is a definite possibility given the NCHC's strong OOC record that will bolster their pairwise across the conference. Also, I'd say given the competition and last year's result in the NCHC tournament, a team that is out of the top 16 PWR could add a 5th team.
 
Re: pairwise nov 23

Priceless said:
I'll start my own thread January 1, but here is the current projection:

Fargo
#1 @MavHockey vs @RMUhockey
@UNDmhockey vs @GopherHockey

South Bend
#2 @UNO_hockey vs @Yale_Hockey
@UVMmhockey vs @BGFalconHockey
Click to expand...

With all due respect to our Purple Cow friends in Mankato, we're Mavs, too.

In the FWIW category, UNO became the Mavericks in the summer of 1971. Our bovine friends to the North didn't adopt this moniker until July of 1977.

Therefore, we officially proclaim squatter's rights to the term "Mavhockey".:D
 
Re: pairwise nov 23

Red Cows said:
With all due respect to our Purple Cow friends in Mankato, we're Mavs, too.

In the FWIW category, UNO became the Mavericks in the summer of 1971. Our bovine friends to the North didn't adopt this moniker until July of 1977.

Therefore, we officially proclaim squatter's rights to the term "Mavhockey".:D
Click to expand...

Take it up with the respective athletic departments. They chose the twitter handles :p
 
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