Re: New Poll Predictions for 2/8
This is assuming Wentworth wins tomorrow...
Not an easy week with all the losses in the top 15. But, I dont think there will be much moving around. A lot of people might think Plattsburgh and Elmira should fall a bit. Maybe below Williams and GAC, but I dont think it will happen.
Here's my take:
1.Oswego
2.Norwich
3.St. Scholastica
4.St. Norbert
5.Plattsburgh
6.Elmira
7.Williams
8.Gustavus Adolphus
9.Hamline
10.Middlebury
11.Amherst
12.Adrian
13.River Falls
14.Wentworth
15.Bowdoin
I can't really disagree with you on this. I basically came up with the same thing when I tried to make my own prediction. I only have a couple of thoughts about this:
-Should St. Scholastica should pass St. Norbert in the poll? I agree with your explanation, that SNC tying UW-Superior while CSS beat UW-Stevens Point could be enough to move them up. The question is, will it actually happen? My guess is SNC's record (and name) will be enough to keep them ahead.
-Should Williams pass Elmira and/or Plattsburgh in the polls? The Soaring Eagles and the Cardinals both lost this week, while the Ephs gave Norwich their first loss of the season. Last time Williams had a week like this (1/18-1/24, they tied Plattsburgh and beat St. Anselm and NEC), they went from
#15 to
#9 in the polls. I haven't seen any of these teams play, but I would say from my research through the box scores, Williams deserves to pass them both. Will it actually happen? I don't think it will.
There's not much else to really think about this week. With Norwich losing, Oswego will almost certainly pick up all 20 first place votes. With Manhattanville's poor showing against Neumann, they'll almost certainly fall out of the top 15. Bowdoin the first in line to replace them, and with their wins against Amherst and Hamilton, they should entert the top 15.
The only other thought I've got is: Who will be the teams on the bubble, just outside the top 15? It wasn't a good week for those teams this week. Out of the teams "also receiving votes" last week, only Bowdoin and Augsburg got through this week without losing or tying anyone (Colby lost to Hamilton and tied Amherst, Fredonia tied both of their games, Curry lost, Hamilton lost, Stout lost). With all of these negative results this week, how will the voters vote this week?
OK, done ranting.