Seeing a few experts leave Bemidji out. Of all years, good enough record, did ok against Mankato and LSSU...put em in.
Didn't the committee say that the Pairwise might still be used when comparing teams from the same conference? Based on that, I wouldn't be shocked if Bowling Green was ahead of them when considering bubble teams. It also puts Connecticut ahead of Providence, and Canisius ahead of Army. Army has received some mention for bubble teams; but, Canisius really hasn't.
If I were on the committee, I would not give any conferences a 4th bid this year given the limited non-conference play. So for me, the last 3 at-large spots would be:
Canisius
Bowling Green/Bemidji
Quinnipiac/Army I'm not convinced a 3 team conference deserves 2 bids, unless that top team is clearly better than others under consideration. I'm not sure Quinnipiac is clearly better.
So, I probably wind up going with Bowling Green (based on Pairwise) and Army. That would be the ECAC auto bid, and the top 3 in the Pairwise from the other 5 conferences.
I would give AIC a 3 seed, and the #4's would be Bowling Green, Canisius, Army, and St Lawrence.
However, because of who's on the committee, I'll be shocked if Omaha doesn't get that last spot & they'll keep Quinnipiac in. I do think there's a chance they go with Bowling Green vs Bemidji - that will be interesting to see.