

WARNING! ACTUAL HOCKEY TALK FOLLOWS.
I'm not sure how miniscule North Dakota's chances are, but I think it's a pretty safe bet to say that if both teams play equal, Minnesota will advance far more often than not. The Gophers are a more talented and complete team than this Sioux squad. They have balanced scoring, and great defense. Throw in a Hobey Finalist in Net, and I'm not sure if there is a more balanced team in the country. North Dakota is similar in that nature (balanced scoring, strong defense, and a good goalie), but they just aren't as talented in each aspect as Minnesota.
For example:
Balanced Scoring?
- Minnesota has 9 players with 7 or more goals (nobody with more than 15) (Minnesota actually has 9 players with 9+ goals)
- North Dakota has 9 players with 7 or more goals (nobody with more than 17)
Production from the Blue Line?
- Minnesota's defense accounts for 27 goals and 71 assists (98 points)
- North Dakota's defense accounts for 31 goals and 82 assists (113 points)
Team Scoring?
- Minnesota averages 3.51 Goals per game
- North Dakota averages 3.07 Goals per game
Team Defense?
- Minnesota allows 2.00 Goals per game
- North Dakota allows 2.44 Goals per game
Goaltending?
- Wilcox is 25-5-6 with a 1.89 GAA and a SV% of 93.4
- Gothberg is 20-9-3 with a 1.99 GAA and a SV% of 92.6
In sum, it's not that North Dakota is a bad team. They are quite similar to Minnesota in how they win games. However, Minnesota is the more talented team, and as a result does the same things better than North Dakota...leading to a better record. Consequently, Minnesota should be considered the favorite, and they likely will beat North Dakota. Of course, just because Team A should beat Team B doesn't mean they will...just ask North Dakota and Michigan fans about 2011.