Minnesota Gophers 2018-2019

[Puckdrop14]

With respect to the goaltending situation following the break, with Sydney Scobee's solid 30 save shutout performance on Saturday in mind, what do Gopher fans think the plan should be going forward?

a) Stay the course, with Alex Gulstene as the main tender - give her most of the starts until she falters, or simply could use a rest.
b) Reward Scobee by giving her more starting opportunities. Maybe not alternating each and every series, but increasing her playing time from what it's been up to this point (35% of the minutes played).
c) Go to a strict alternating strategy each series until one of them earns the clear No. 1, and stick with that person the remainder of the season (in which case the other would assume a true backup role from that point forward).

My opinion is that the team would be fine with any of these because each of them, for the most part, has played well. But maybe one of the three strategies stands out as the smartest way to proceed? Or maybe there's a forth option that makes the most sense?

Have at it, coaches!

Full stats here: https://gophersports.com/cumestats.aspx?path=whockey

If Scobee is healthy, give her the majority of the starts. That would be the option I would select, so option D.

 

[D2D]

Re: Minnesota Gophers 2018-2019

Woken also has the highest shooting percentage.

No disrespect whatsoever, but I never would have guessed it. Many of the high quality opportunities come on the power play, and compared to some others she gets far fewer power play minutes.

What isn't a surprise is which player leads the team in minutes spent in the penalty box.

 

[pokechecker]

Re: Minnesota Gophers 2018-2019

What isn't a surprise is which player leads the team in minutes spent in the penalty box.

getting 15 minutes in one game in the second weekend gave her an early lead that has proven tough to catch


stats are nice, people sometimes argue over what is the more important goalie stat, GAA or save %
well, here are two more: minutes per shot, and minutes per goal
OK, I'm going to add the stat I believe is most important of all: the number of shots you have to take to get a goal, in bold:
Abigail Levy 1:58 42:07 21.3
Janine Alder 1:33 25:53 16.6
Andrea Br舅dli 2:04 34:29 16.6
Kristen Campbell 3:42 54:28 14.7
Sydney Scobee 2:58 42:10 14.2
Maddie Rooney 1:44 22:48 13.1
Alex Gulstene 2:53 37:15 12.9
Emma Polusny 1:22 15:25 11.2
the average is 2:17 minutes per shot, and 34:20 per goal for this group
it is 2:33 and 34:07 for the WCHA

the interesting thing is that stats do not translate to W-L
Alder has much better stats than Polusny, but W-L isn't as good
Scooby has a little better stats, but Gulstene is far ahead in W-L

 

[D2D]

Re: Minnesota Gophers 2018-2019

Congrats to Miss Scobee on being named the WCHA's Goaltender of the Week! Here's a listing of all the Gophers who have won a WCHA weekly award so far this season:

2018-19 Gopher WCHA Weekly Award Winners

Oct. 1: Patti Marshall, Defense of the Week
Oct. 16: Taylor Heise, Forward of the Week
Oct. 30: Emily Brown, Defense of the Week
Nov. 6: Emily Oden, Rookie of the Week
Nov. 27: Kelly Pannek, Co-Forward of the Week
Nov. 27: Sophie Skarzynski, Defense of the Week
Nov. 27: Taylor Heise, Rookie of the Week
Dec. 4: Grace Zumwinkle, Forward of the Week
Dec. 11: Sydney Scobee, Goaltender of the Week

 

[Timothy A]

Re: Minnesota Gophers 2018-2019

Looks like the preseason RoTY favorite Heise is in a tight battle with UW's Shirley for that award.

 

[D2D]

Re: Minnesota Gophers 2018-2019

Congrats to ex-Gopher Natalie Darwitz on being just the 5th woman, and the first-ever Minnesotan, to be inducted into the U.S. Hockey Hall of Fame!

http://www.startribune.com/speedy-n...first-to-her-stellar-hockey-career/502515181/

Natalie Darwitz file
http://www.startribune.com/natalie-darwitz-at-a-glance/502517471/

 

[Puckdrop14]

Looks like the preseason RoTY favorite Heise is in a tight battle with UW's Shirley for that award.

I think that Levy is ahead by a country mile.

 

[ARM]

Re: Minnesota Gophers 2018-2019

I think that Levy is ahead by a country mile.

I agree. There are a lot of good rookies in the league this year: Brändli, Nylund, Hughes, Linser, Curl, LaMantia, Potomak ...

 

[Timothy A]

Re: Minnesota Gophers 2018-2019

I think that Levy is ahead by a country mile.

Great thought. Shirley and Heise are battle for the highest ranked loser.

 

[ARM]

Re: Minnesota Gophers 2018-2019

Shirley and Heise are battle for the highest ranked loser.

If you can hang the right banner, then kids get over any disappointment of not winning an individual award very quickly. Or at least, that's what the Clarkson fans claim.

 

[Still Eeyore]

Re: Minnesota Gophers 2018-2019

OK, I'm going to add the stat I believe is most important of all: the number of shots you have to take to get a goal, in bold:/QUOTE]

You do realize that this is nothing but Save Percentage with the numerator and denominator switched, right?

 

[pokechecker]

Re: Minnesota Gophers 2018-2019

OK, I'm going to add the stat I believe is most important of all: the number of shots you have to take to get a goal, in bold:/QUOTE]

You do realize that this is nothing but Save Percentage with the numerator and denominator switched, right?

it really isn't just flipping numerator and denominator, but yeah, it is expressing the same thing , but it is putting it into a number that is more easily interpreted, for example when the Gophers play MSU they will have to put up 21 shots to get one goal
if they give up a goal they will have to put 42 on net if they hope to win

at least on average

and it puts the difference between stats of the two Gopher goalies in perspective
if the opposition fires 14 shots on Scoobeedo they will get one goal
13 on Gulstene will get a goal
I'm sure a stat expert like you can explain why that isn't a significant difference

 

[Still Eeyore]

Re: Minnesota Gophers 2018-2019

it really isn't just flipping numerator and denominator, but yeah, it is expressing the same thing
, but it is putting it into a number that is more easily interpreted, for example when the Gophers play MSU they will have to put up 21 shots to get one goal
if they give up a goal they will have to put 42 on net if they hope to win

If you have that much trouble understanding the same thing expressed as a percentage, I can only conclude that you failed junior high school math. People like you are why St Cloud State feels the necessity to put shots, goals, and saves all on their scoreboard even though it's a trivial exercise to determine the third if you know the other two.

at least on average

and it puts the difference between stats of the two Gopher goalies in perspective
if the opposition fires 14 shots on Scoobeedo they will get one goal
13 on Gulstene will get a goal
I'm sure a stat expert like you can explain why that isn't a significant difference

Whichever method you use, the answer that you get based upon the assumption that their current save percentages will continue going forward is that Gulstene would give up one more goal than Scobee every six games. You can decide for yourself whether that's significant.

 

[Leather helmet]

Re: Minnesota Gophers 2018-2019

If you have that much trouble understanding the same thing expressed as a percentage, I can only conclude that you failed junior high school math. People like you are why St Cloud State feels the necessity to put shots, goals, and saves all on their scoreboard even though it's a trivial exercise to determine the third if you know the other two.



Whichever method you use, the answer that you get based upon the assumption that their current save percentages will continue going forward is that Gulstene would give up one more goal than Scobee every six games. You can decide for yourself whether that's significant.

I was told there wouldn't be any math.

 

[ARM]

Re: Minnesota Gophers 2018-2019

... for example when the Gophers play MSU they will have to put up 21 shots to get one goal ...

That's half of it. Viewed from the other side, the Gophers score one goal every nine shots. So the challenge is to make it look more like what Minnesota's offense usually creates, and not what the Mavericks defense typically will allow.

 

[shelfit]

That's half of it. Viewed from the other side, the Gophers score one goal every nine shots. So the challenge is to make it look more like what Minnesota's offense usually creates, and not what the Mavericks defense typically will allow.

The general average in women's hockey is that a goal is scored once per every 10-12 shots on goal, so anytime you can score on fewer attempts than that it becomes fairly impressive and it's going to win you a lot of games. Also, scoring 3 goals or more in a game will get you a W more often than not in our sport.

 

[vicb]

Re: Minnesota Gophers 2018-2019

If you can hang the right banner, then kids get over any disappointment of not winning an individual award very quickly. Or at least, that's what the Clarkson fans claim.

So true .

 

[pokechecker]

Re: Minnesota Gophers 2018-2019

That's half of it. Viewed from the other side, the Gophers score one goal every nine shots. So the challenge is to make it look more like what Minnesota's offense usually creates, and not what the Mavericks defense typically will allow.

well yes, I keep forgetting people here have trouble reading between the lines, I was trying to answer D2D's question with facts we know, EXCUSE me

if trying to answer who would win MSU or MN, yeah, including number of shots to get a goal by both teams would make for a better predictor

I’m really disappointed in Still Eeyore's analysis of the statistical difference. A statistical difference between two dependent variables loses validity when they are not measured to the same independent variable. Even though Gopher goalies played on successive nights against the same team, anybody who watched the games know both teams played at different levels the two nights. IOW, it isn’t comparing apples to apples and consequently the small statistical difference is meaningless.

So the answer to D2D’s question is keep playing both.

 

[FiveHoleFrenzy]

Re: Minnesota Gophers 2018-2019

So the answer to D2D’s question is keep playing both.

I think most would agree with this...

Speaking of goaltending, next years incoming recruit Makayla Pahl has had an interesting year so far playing for the Rochester Mayo girls high school team. Very un-Gopher like in that she has faced 352 shots in 8 games (44 shots a game). She has a .926 save percentage and a 3.13 GAA with one shutout. As you can guess her team has won very few games (2 of the 8).

 

[D2D]

Re: Minnesota Gophers 2018-2019

I think most would agree with this...

Speaking of goaltending, next years incoming recruit Makayla Pahl has had an interesting year so far playing for the Rochester Mayo girls high school team. Very un-Gopher like in that she has faced 352 shots in 8 games (44 shots a game). She has a .926 save percentage and a 3.13 GAA with one shutout. As you can guess her team has won very few games (2 of the 8).

Until this season she played boys' hockey, so her experience this year must be quite a change for her. As you might have surmised the girls' team in front of her is very weak, especially considering the fact that the quality of girls' high school hockey in that part of the state is traditionally weak as well. So I would guess she's been facing lots of point-blank shots, including breakaways, odd-man rushes and close-in rebounds, but then her opponent shooters aren't the greatest either. So it's hard to tell how much her decision to play girls this season is going to help her, or not.