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Mid-term Prognostications 2018 -- Time to Shine like Silver!

Re: Mid-term Prognostications 2018 -- Time to Shine like Silver!

The Sicatoka said:
One more:

Highest mid-term voter turnout (gross numbers or by percentage of electorate) in last 100 years, and by percentage higher than at least one Presidential election year in the last 100.
Click to expand...

I need a ruling from the judges on this one ...

About 113 million Americans are estimated to have come out to exercise their right to vote on this election, according to an initial turnout estimate from Edison Research. That’s 49 percent of the total population eligible to vote, a record for a midterm election in the U.S.
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https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/ele...on-voter-turnout-33-flipped/story?id=59028795

...
...
...

Oh great. I get these guys for the call ...

<img src=https://thesportsdailydigital.files.wordpress.com/2018/11/under-review.jpg?w=500&h=300&crop=1 />
 
Re: Mid-term Prognostications 2018 -- Time to Shine like Silver!

Ballots going to Secretary of States office for ranked choice voting count in 2nd District. If Poliquin loses in ranked choice count which I think he will, its off to court.
 
Re: Mid-term Prognostications 2018 -- Time to Shine like Silver!

The Sicatoka said:
Right guy, wrong margin. I thought Beto'd be closer, but that still had Cruz sweating at 11 pm Eastern.
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HA. I think I'm going to nail the House prediction once those California ballots come in. I said a net of 40 taking into account the 2 or 3 they'd lose (PA, and two in Minny). Right now they've won or are leading in maybe 35 IIRC with 4 races in CA and the ME race still outstanding but with Goopers with a small lead.

Missed by a couple on Gov's (had 9, ended up 7). Missed on FL and OH but Dems gained KS.

Senate much worse at a current 3 seat loss unless some recounts go their way. I didn't have Nelson losing and had AZ as a win.
 
joecct said:
Pls explain.
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Since Maine is the first state to implement ranked choice voting, he's going to sue saying it shouldn't be allowed.

I doubt he wins, since states can set up their elections play much however they want.
 
The Sicatoka said:
Is that what Fargo, ND, just passed?
https://ballotpedia.org/Fargo,_North_Dakota,_Measure_1,_Approval_Voting_Initiative_(November_2018)
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No.

Approval voting means you can vote for multiple people, and the one with the most tallies wins. So a conservative could vote for both the GOP and the libertarian, while a liberal could vote for both the Dem and the Green party.

Ranked choice means you can rank candidates in order of preference. If no one gets 50%+1, the person with fewest votes is eliminated and they go to those voters' second choices. And so on and so forth until someone gets a majority.
 
unofan said:
No.

Approval voting means you can vote for multiple people, and the one with the most tallies wins. So a conservative could vote for both the GOP and the libertarian, while a liberal could vote for both the Dem and the Green party.

Ranked choice means you can rank candidates in order of preference. If no one gets 50%+1, the person with fewest votes is eliminated and they go to those voters' second choices. And so on and so forth until someone gets a majority.
Click to expand...
AKA a significantly better system of voting...
 
Re: Mid-term Prognostications 2018 -- Time to Shine like Silver!

unofan said:
Since Maine is the first state to implement ranked choice voting, he's going to sue saying it shouldn't be allowed.

I doubt he wins, since states can set up their elections play much however they want.
Click to expand...

The Supremes ruled it wasn't constitutional in the Maine Constitution so it wasn't used for governor or state legislature. They then said they don't have authority over federal office, so they left Senate and House alone.

So it's a cluster****
 
Re: Mid-term Prognostications 2018 -- Time to Shine like Silver!

unofan said:
Ranked choice means you can rank candidates in order of preference. If no one gets 50%+1, the person with fewest votes is eliminated and they go to those voters' second choices. And so on and so forth until someone gets a majority.
Click to expand...

Thanks for the info.

In a ranked system, are you allowed to pick "1" and not pick a "2" or "3" in a three-person race?
 
Re: Mid-term Prognostications 2018 -- Time to Shine like Silver!

jerphisch said:
https://www.google.com/search?q=how...e.1.69i57j0.5664j1j7&sourceid=chrome&ie=UTF-8
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What I glean from this (http://www.lwvme.org/RCV.html) is that if I only fill in a dot for first choice and my first choice is lowest in round one (and eliminated) I effectively abstain from round two if I don't make a second choice.


I can't wait to see how that'll work in Florida when someone picks Candidate X in all three rounds. That'll make hanging chads seem easy.

Or when someone picks X in round one, no choice for a second choice, but Z as a third choice. That'll be a hoot!
 
The Sicatoka said:
What I glean from this (http://www.lwvme.org/RCV.html) is that if I only fill in a dot for first choice and my first choice is lowest in round one (and eliminated) I effectively abstain from round two if I don't make a second choice.


I can't wait to see how that'll work in Florida when someone picks Candidate X in all three rounds. That'll make hanging chads seem easy.

Or when someone picks X in round one, no choice for a second choice, but Z as a third choice. That'll be a hoot!
Click to expand...

That's the point where we relegate Florida to a commonwealth and promote Puerto Rico to statehood.
 
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