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He's dead, Jim.

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Re: He's dead, Jim.

Bernice Madigan, 115.

I only mention that to say this: we are down to 5 people, all women, still living that were born in the 1800's.
 
Re: He's dead, Jim.

Hammer said:
Bernice Madigan, 115.

I only mention that to say this: we are down to 5 people, all women, still living that were born in the 1800's.
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Over the years I think The Onion has had some pretty funny headlines on this topic, including:

"The oldest person in the world dies again."

"Oldest person in the world just happy everyone else on earth at time of her birth now dead."

:p
 
Re: He's dead, Jim.

Hammer said:
Bernice Madigan, 115.

I only mention that to say this: we are down to 5 people, all women, still living that were born in the 1800's.
Click to expand...

Is that just Americans?

Aren't there about 100,000 Japanese > 100? Even if the falloff curve looks like a continental shelf that would give us a few dozen > 115.

In the same vein, raise a glass to this fine girl.
 
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Kepler said:
Is that just Americans?

Aren't there about 100,000 Japanese > 100? Even if the falloff curve looks like a continental shelf that would give us a few dozen > 115.

In the same vein, raise a glass to this fine girl.
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3 Americans
1 Japanese
EDIT: 1 Italy

I think I read a while back that at age 114 there is over a 99% mortality rate before birthday #115. Only Calment has been documented to hit 120.
 
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Re: He's dead, Jim.

Hammer said:
3 Americans
1 Japanese
I forget the other.

I think I read a while back that at age 114 there is over a 99% mortality rate before birthday #115. Only Calment has been documented to hit 120.
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Interesting.

Question is, is the first person to hit 130 alive today?

Here's a wonderfully low production value site.

The other one is Italian.

And here's how you get from 1200 110-year olds to just 5 114-year olds.
 
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Kepler said:
Interesting.

Question is, is the first person to hit 130 alive today?
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Perhaps. I don't know what to make of those odds. That would theoretically put us out to 2145.

We've had, what, roughly 10 billion people walk this earth and we've confirmed exactly 1 that got to 120, with an effective upper limit of 115-117.
 
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Re: He's dead, Jim.

Hammer said:
Perhaps. I don't know what to make of those odds. That would theoretically put us out to 2145.

We've had, what, roughly 10 billion people walk this earth and we've confirmed exactly 1 that got to 120, with an effective upper limit of 115-117.
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Confirmation is part of the problem, since trustworthy record-keeping for anybody but a royal is less than 150 years old.

The other question is are we really moving the upper limit or are we just cramming more and more people into the race, both at the birth end and at each subsequent age due to improvements in medicine?

And eventually there's going to be a definitional issue.
 
Re: He's dead, Jim.

Regarding age maximums, I had a biochem/biomolecular prof back in college that I think said the maximum theoretical age that someone could reach was in the neighborhood of 140. Again, the details are hard to remember, but I think he said it had to do with the number of times a cell can split before it dies off.
 
Re: He's dead, Jim.

dxmnkd316 said:
Regarding age maximums, I had a biochem/biomolecular prof back in college that I think said the maximum theoretical age that someone could reach was in the neighborhood of 140. Again, the details are hard to remember, but I think he said it had to do with the number of times a cell can split before it dies off.
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The actuarial tables now in use by US life insurance companies assume that at age 120 the mortality rate is 1,000 out of 1,000.
 
Re: He's dead, Jim.

FreshFish said:
The actuarial tables now in use by US life insurance companies assume that at age 120 the mortality rate is 1,000 out of 1,000.
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So, I can get life insurance when I'm 120 as long as I'm willing to pay an infinite premium?
 
FreshFish said:
The actuarial tables now in use by US life insurance companies assume that at age 120 the mortality rate is 1,000 out of 1,000.
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I really hope this isn't an argument that humans can't make it past 120. That would take an astounding amount of belief In the clairvoyance of corporations that would even make a Walton blush.
 
Re: He's dead, Jim.

Kepler said:
Confirmation is part of the problem, since trustworthy record-keeping for anybody but a royal is less than 150 years old.

The other question is are we really moving the upper limit or are we just cramming more and more people into the race, both at the birth end and at each subsequent age due to improvements in medicine?

And eventually there's going to be a definitional issue.
Click to expand...

I've always been a fan of this story. Shirali Muslimov - the 168 year old man.

Guy was probably lying out of his behind, but he did have a passport with the birthdate.
 
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