Re: Harvard Crimson 2013-2014
No question that the AI and the academic schedule make it much harder for Harvard to recruit top players. It was much easier when there were fewer programs to compete for a national title. With more programs coming on line and as Dave mentioned, Cornell and BU (and I might add Clarkson to that mix) nabbing the top Canadian prospects, it makes it that much more challenging for Harvard to get to the Frozen Four. I don't want to use the above as excuses because the Crimson do expect to get to the Frozen Four every year; that's the goal. Achieving it is another matter entirely.
It's interesting that Harvard's recruiting and impact on roster composition as compared to other Top 10/NCAA tournament teams and its other ECAC competition shows striking differences, with fewer Canadians as well as being more skewed towards local talent. It's unclear whether this is a deliberate, or acccidental recruiting strategy.
Other than BC with 2 (always notable for their generally US-only tendencies), no other top team had as few Canadians as Harvard with 3. (Minnesota 4, Wisconsin 9, Clarkson 18, Cornell 17, Quinnipiac 10, Mercyhurst 10, RMU 19, UND 5, BU 9).
Harvard has also become much more New England/East Coast-focused disproportionately versus these other teams as well with 10 players from New England. This compares to Minnesota 0, Wisconsin 2, Clarkson 0, BC 8, Cornell 2, Quinnipiac 3, Mercyhurst 2, RMU 0 and BU 10.
These observations also hold relative to Harvard's other Ivy competitors. Every other Ivy has at least three times as many Canadians (Cornell 17, Princeton 10, Yale 11, Dartmouth 14, Brown 9), and far fewer east coast locals (Cornell 2, Princeton 4, Yale 5, Dartmouth 3, Brown 6). Like Clarkson and Quinnipiac, other ECAC schools eg. SLU (11 Canadians/1 New England) and Colgate (9 Canadians/2 New England) also contrast similarly versus Harvard.
Clearly Harvard is a big draw for local New England-based talent, with BU and BC close behind. The question is, if you have national title aspirations is there sufficient high level local talent to go around between these schools as a roster focus?
The top WCHA school rosters, in addition to their Canadians, not surprisingly, are skewed heavily towards Mid-West-based and local players. Minnesota 15, Wisconsin 10, Clarkson 3, Cornell 1, BC 6, Quinnipiac 7, Mercyhurst 2, RMU 0, UND 15, BU 3. Harvard currently has 4.
Of course, for any school, it's always harder to recruit talent far from home, since distance is typically a key factor in school selection.