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Fun With Numbers '14-'15: USCHO Posters Poll, Pairwise What-Ifs, and Other Goodies

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Re: Fun With Numbers '14-'15: USCHO Posters Poll, Pairwise What-Ifs, and Other Goodie

1) Wisconsin
2) Minnesota
3) Boston College
4) Harvard
5) Cornell
6) Boston University
7) Bemidji State
8) North Dakota
9) Yale
10) Quinnipiac
 
Re: Fun With Numbers '14-'15: USCHO Posters Poll, Pairwise What-Ifs, and Other Goodie

1) Wisconsin
2) Minnesota
3) Harvard
4) Cornell
5) Boston University
6) Boston College
7) Mercyhurst
8) Bemidji
9) North Dakota
10) MN Duluth
 
Re: Fun With Numbers '14-'15: USCHO Posters Poll, Pairwise What-Ifs, and Other Goodie

1.Wisconsin
2.Minnesota
3.Boston College
4.Harvard
5.Cornell
6.Boston University
7.Quinnipiac
8.Bemidji
9.Mercyhurst
10.UMD

It was a weird weekend, I'm pretty sure those ties gave SLU and UMD a ton of confidence.
 
Re: Fun With Numbers '14-'15: USCHO Posters Poll, Pairwise What-Ifs, and Other Goodie

1) Wisconsin
2) Boston College
3) Minnesota
4) Boston University
5) Cornell
6) Harvard
7) North Dakota
8) Clarkson
9) Bemidji State
10) Quinnipiac
 
Re: Fun With Numbers '14-'15: USCHO Posters Poll, Pairwise What-Ifs, and Other Goodie

1. Wisconsin
2. Minnesota
3. BC
4. Harvard
5. Cornell
6. Boston University
7. Mercyhurst
8. Bemidji State
9. North Dakota
10. Quinnipiac
 
1. Wisconsin
2. Minnesota
3. BC
4. Harvard
5. Boston U
6. UMD
7. Cornell
8. Clarkson
9. Quinnipiac
10. Bemidji
 
Re: Fun With Numbers '14-'15: USCHO Posters Poll, Pairwise What-Ifs, and Other Goodie

1. Wisconsin
2. Minnesota
3. Boston College
4. Harvard
5. Cornell
6. Boston University
7. Clarkson
8. North Dakota
9. Minnesota-Duluth
10. Bemidji State
 
Re: Fun With Numbers '14-'15: USCHO Posters Poll, Pairwise What-Ifs, and Other Goodie

1. Wisconsin - no doubt about it
2. BC - head scratcher weekend...
3. Minnesota - gots lots to work on...
4. Harvard - be nice to see what they can do
5. Cornell - ditto
6. BU
7. Mercyhurst
8. Bemidji
9. UND
10. Quinnipiac
 
Re: Fun With Numbers '14-'15: USCHO Posters Poll, Pairwise What-Ifs, and Other Goodie

1. Wisconsin
2. Minnesota
3. UND
4. Boston College
5. Boston University
6. Clarkson
7. Quninnipiac
8. UMD
9. Bemidji State
10.Mercyhurst
 
Re: Fun With Numbers '14-'15: USCHO Posters Poll, Pairwise What-Ifs, and Other Goodie

1. Wisconsin
2. Minnesota
3. Harvard
4. BC - not because a tie against SLU is bad, considering SLU at home also beat Clarkson, but because this tons of shots on net / very few goals song is one we've heard before
5. Cornell
6. BU
7. Mercyhurst
8. Bemidji
9. Quinnipiac
10. UND
 
Re: Fun With Numbers '14-'15: USCHO Posters Poll, Pairwise What-Ifs, and Other Goodie

The contenders:

1. Wisconsin -- Unblemished, and they've looked better than Minnesota anyway
2. Minnesota -- Mortal. Duluth tie better than SLU tie
3. Boston College -- Mortal. BC soundly dominated both games even if the score didn't show it.
4. Cornell -- Flipping them above Harvard, only because I found out this week that Harvard is getting back less than I originally thought
5. Harvard -- See Cornell

The pretenders:

6. BU -- Can't believe I'm saying this but giving them a pass on their Blades loss. DogHouse is not going to be happy about this.
7. Bemidji State -- Unblemished.
8. Mercyhurst -- Pretty blah results against Maine, but then just about everyone had blah results this weekend. Also dominated the shot totals. Carbon copy of BC's weekend.
9. Quinnipiac -- See Mercyhurst but swap in "Penn State" for "Maine'.
10. North Dakota -- Welcome back to the show.

Duluth gets credit for tying Minnesota but I don't feel right ranking a team that is 1-3-2 regardless of who they've played. Especially when one of those ties was to UConn.
 
Re: Fun With Numbers '14-'15: USCHO Posters Poll, Pairwise What-Ifs, and Other Goodie

As an aside -- it seems weird that outside of the Ivies, the PWR is looking surprisingly correct after so few games.
 
1. Wisconsin
2. Minnesota
3. UND
4. Boston College
5. Boston University
6. Clarkson
7. Quninnipiac
8. UMD
9. Bemidji State
10.Mercyhurst

1. Wisconsin (no doubt the team to beat this year)
2. Minnesota (still feel they have a leg up on Boston Colllege)
3. BC (just cause with all the players on USA team .....)
4. Harvard (Just cause with all those players that play for the ex Olympic coach...)
5. Cornell (I guess cause all those Canadians???)
6. UMD (cause they tied the #1 team in the country)
7. UND (cause they are in the WCHA)
8. BU (need I have to say cause they have Poulin and Lefort but O'Neil is the intangible).
9. Clarkson
10. Mercyhurst (having seen Quinnipiac play and then tie to PSU).
 
Re: Fun With Numbers '14-'15: USCHO Posters Poll, Pairwise What-Ifs, and Other Goodie

1. Wisco
2. Harvard
3. Minny
4. Cornell
5. BC
6. Bemidji
7. Mercyhurst
8. UND
9. UMD
10.Quinnipiac
 
Re: Fun With Numbers '14-'15: USCHO Posters Poll, Pairwise What-Ifs, and Other Goodie

1) Wisconsin (have outscored their opponent 30-4)
Gap
2) Minnesota (this weekend will decide who 1 and 2 will be) I suspect a Badger sweep at home
3) Boston College( BC vs UNH SH goals won't cut it for UNH this weekend with the lack offense BC could win this 6-0 maybe 6-1 if Curtis gets a shorty)
Gap
4) Bemidji State (4-0 and have outscored opponents 16-3)
5) Mercyhurst
6) Cornell
7) Harvard
8) Boston U
9) Clarkson
10) North Dakota
 
Re: Fun With Numbers '14-'15: USCHO Posters Poll, Pairwise What-Ifs, and Other Goodie

1 UW
2 UM
3 Hawvawd
4 Cornell
5 BC
6 Mercy
7 Clarkson
8 UND
9 Bemiji
10 UMD

I dropped NE and RIT, added Cornell (an oversight on my previous top 10's) and UMD, they played UW tough and did tie the rodents.
 
Re: Fun With Numbers '14-'15: USCHO Posters Poll, Pairwise What-Ifs, and Other Goodie

From WCHA, the only team I like for Top 10, other than Wisconsin or Minnesota (although what the heck was that effort on Sat??) is Bemidji - they are a possible contender and I rank them as such. ECAC is potentially loaded with Harvard, Cornell, Clarkson (staying in rankings only based on last year) and Quinnipiac (tie was a 46 to 18 sog, shoulda, woulda, coulda game)... and then Yale could cause havoc. Hockey East is top heavy with BC (not so dominant against SLU), BU, and Northeastern (although their unimpressive showing this weekend casts doubt).

1. Wisconsin - you might want to crown them now
2. Boston College - way too much talent for what we saw v SLU
3. Minnesota - disappointing weekend, this will be an angry team
4. Harvard - can't wait to see this team play
5. Boston University
6. Cornell
7. Quinnipiac - lunch pail team that needs to learn to score
8. Clarkson - one hit wonder? well i'm wondering
9. Bemidji State - fast start, is it real? if yes, they'll be moving up
10. Yale - two words... Phoebe Staenz
 
Re: Fun With Numbers '14-'15: USCHO Posters Poll, Pairwise What-Ifs, and Other Goodie

The 2014-2015 Pairwise Calculator is LIVE

Last year's calculator is available for the 2014-2015 season in the form of a massive (42 MB) Excel spreadsheet. I will put this in the first post in the thread as well.

Here is the link:

http://tinyurl.com/wih1415pwr

Instructions:

1) Download the file to your computer. You can't play with it on Google docs because it's too big.
1a) No, it does not have any viruses.
2) Let the file open. It will take a while, possibly a couple minutes. Let it do its thing, even if it looks like it's frozen.
3) When the file opens it will ask you if you want to update the links to external data. Click yes and this will update the scores for all of the games already played.
4) There are tabs on the bottom. The tabs "PWR," "RPI," and "Composite" are the ones you'll want to play with.
-"Composite" is where you'll go to change any results. Find the game you want and change the score as you see fit. Do not change the name of the teams, only change the scores. Margin of victory, obviously, doesn't matter.
-"RPI" will show you the RPI based on the scores in the "Composite" tab. Note that right now all of the Ivies have errors because they haven't played, so they are all screwed up with divide-by-zero errors. To play around with it now I would just change the RPI to 0 for those teams. That should give you workable RPI/PWR tabs. Just make sure you don't save the file that way for later on.
-"PWR" will show you - surprise! - the PWR based on the scores in the "Composite" tab. Sometimes the rankings don't automatically sort after the composite tab is updated which is far as I can tell is just an annoying glitch. Save and reopen the file (and click 'no' on the next open when it asks you to update external data) and it should fix itself.

Note that anytime you click "yes" when it asks to update external data, the "Composite" tab will reset to all of the real scores for all of the games already played and will delete any others. In short, clicking yes will give you the most current PWR.

Have fun with it and let me know if you have any problems. It's fun to play with to see "what if" later in the year. For example, come December or so it will be interesting to see how much this weekend's ties hurt Minnesota/BC, etc. But for now with so few results there's not really enough data to play with just yet.
 
For example, come December or so it will be interesting to see how much this weekend's ties hurt Minnesota/BC, etc.
Minnesota plays a series with SLU in January, so that's when we'll learn if the Eagles' results versus the Saints were good or bad in the BC/UM PairWise comparison.
 
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