Fun With Numbers '14-'15: USCHO Posters Poll, Pairwise What-Ifs, and Other Goodies

[TonyTheTiger20]

C'mon Grant, even someone from BU can type on the teacups.

Alright we're in line for Toy Story Midway Mania so I have some time #humblebrag

1) Dartmouth -- Adjusted: .7401, Unadjusted: .6482
UNH, Union, RPI wins removed

2) BC -- Adjusted: .6840, Unadjusted .6478
Cuse, PC, UVM, NU, UNH wins removed

4) Quinnipiac -- Adjusted: .6574, Unadjusted: .6369
Colgate, UNH, UConn wins removed

6) Clarkson -- Adjusted: .6005, Unadjusted: .5928
PC wins removed

7) Harvard -- Adjusted: .5994, Unadjusted: .5980
Union wins removed

Aaaaaand USCHO added where teams are in the polls to its composite schedule ( http://www.uscho.com/scoreboard/division-i-women/2014-2015/composite-schedule/ ) so now I need to edit my spreadsheet.

 

[TonyTheTiger20]

+2, technically speaking

+5 after 2 games, best +/- per game in America, maybe she'll catch up after all!

 

[pokechecker]

Re: Fun With Numbers '14-'15: USCHO Posters Poll, Pairwise What-Ifs, and Other Goodie

Pokechecker Index
some people are not going to be happy

1 MN 7

2 WI 12
3 BC 13

4 Harvard 21
5 Quinnipiac 24
5 Clarkson 24

7 BU 36

8 Murcyhurst 43
9 UMD 44
10 Dartmouth-UND-Bemidji-Ohio State

and lets keep in mind, if polls are to predict who is the the final 8
then Murcyhurst is a valid top ten (or #13 ) what with the CHA guarrateed a spot

 

[TonyTheTiger20]

Re: Fun With Numbers '14-'15: USCHO Posters Poll, Pairwise What-Ifs, and Other Goodie

pokechecker -- what are the rankings that the index uses?

 

[TonyTheTiger20]

Re: Fun With Numbers '14-'15: USCHO Posters Poll, Pairwise What-Ifs, and Other Goodie

I found it --

What I do is take the two coaches poll and come up with an average of them. Then I do the same for the Pairwise/RPI. Then I average the two composite rankings together

Not following your math, though... BC is 1st in both polls and behind only Dartmouth in the PWR/RPI?

Even if you're including Rutter, that still wouldn't be enough to get Minnesota ahead of BC (1-2-3 for BC, 2-3-1 for Minnesota).

 

[TonyTheTiger20]

Re: Fun With Numbers '14-'15: USCHO Posters Poll, Pairwise What-Ifs, and Other Goodie

I fixed the PWR spreadsheet from the first post.

Enhancements:

1) It works with USCHO's new thing of showing the poll rankings for each team on its schedule page. That change had broken the sheet entirely.

2) The sheet is a MUCH more manageable size. It's been cut from 42 MB to under 4 MB while keeping the exact same functionality.

3) I don't yet know if the Yale vs. Sacred Heart game is going to screw things up but I'll cross that bridge when we get there. For now, at a minimum it shouldn't break the sheet if you put a score in for that game.

4) BC is not in first right now but I'm hoping to have that bug fixed by the next update

The new link is in the first post in this thread and also here:

http://tinyurl.com/2015wihPWR

Instructions are in the first post of the thread.

 

[PuckRush]

Re: Fun With Numbers '14-'15: USCHO Posters Poll, Pairwise What-Ifs, and Other Goodie

1. BC
2. Minn
3. Wisc
4. Harvard
5. Quinnipiac
6. Clarkson
7. Minn-Duluth
8. Ummm... Bemidji?
9. Hmmm... Mercyhurst??
10. IDK... Boston University???

#'s 8 thru 10 are a bear to pick. Feel free to giggle at, criticize, ponder, get angry at, or raise an eyebrow at any of my last three choices.

 

[D2D]

Re: Fun With Numbers '14-'15: USCHO Posters Poll, Pairwise What-Ifs, and Other Goodie

1. Boston College
2. Wisconsin
3. Minnesota
4. Quinnipiac
5. Harvard
6. Clarkson
7. Bemidji State
8. North Dakota
9. Minnesota-Duluth
10. Mercyhurst

Also receiving consideration: Boston University, Northeastern, Cornell, Dartmouth

 

[wwhyte]

Re: Fun With Numbers '14-'15: USCHO Posters Poll, Pairwise What-Ifs, and Other Goodie

I may update after Tuesday as well, though only if BU lose or if there is any result whatsoever in the Hurst/OSU game. For now:

1-4 could be in any order:

1. Boston College -- LEARY AWAKES
2. Quinnipiac -- Bye week, yes, but their diet has been less cupcakey than BC's and Darkangelo may wake up after her good performance at 4 Nations
3. Minnesota
4. Wisconsin

5. Harvard -- who knows? They could pull a Cornell on us and be stinky or they could be as good as they look. Here for now because they've made fewer mistakes than anyone below them.

6. Boston University -- reflecting how good they'll be if Poulin gets healthy again.
7. Clarkson -- some tough games coming up for them too.
8. Mercyhurst -- even cupcakier schedule than BC and Quinni have had, so they need to win very consistently to stay rated
9. Bemidji State -- interested to see how they do against North Dakota
10. North Dakota -- interested to see how they do against Bemidji

Ready to come in next week if they keep it up against a serious team: Dartmouth
Under consideration: Princeton (good results against various Mite Bs), Vermont (would have been in if they'd beaten UNH), Ohio State (Hurst, 2xMinny, 2xNoDak coming up -- .5 over that would be extremely good)

Updated, BU get a bump down, MU get a bump up, my opinion of OSU and NoDak changes for no good reason, etc.

1. Boston College
2. Quinnipiac
3. Minnesota
4. Wisconsin
5. Harvard
6. Mercyhurst -- legit win v OSU
7. Clarkson
8. BU
9. OSU -- two wins over Bemidji getting them the nod here in a record that otherwise consists of beating who you'd expect, losing to who you'd expect, and slipping up against St. Cloud
10. Bemidji -- maybe just keeping the spot warm for North Dakota

On the doorstep: Dartmouth, Princeton, North Dakota. In principle UMD though it's hard to see how they can help themselves as much as they can harm themselves this weekend.

 

[TonyTheTiger20]

1) Boston College -- Could not be more thrilled to go 2-0 without the Four Nations Five and win the game where they played 2.33 games in 14 hours, too.
2) Minnesota -- Idle
3) Quinnipiac -- Idle
4) Wisconsin -- Idle
5) Harvard -- Idle

Now I throw my hands up in the air in frustration.

6) Bemidji State -- Idle
7) Clarkson -- Idle
8) Dartmouth -- Howdy
9) Mercyhurst -- Losing to Syracuse = WOMP
10) Boston University -- Will continue to plummet without Poutine.

Going to keep this as-is after today's results.

 

[NUWH DogHouse]

Re: Fun With Numbers '14-'15: USCHO Posters Poll, Pairwise What-Ifs, and Other Goodie

1. boston college
2. Minnesota
3. Quinnipiac
4. Harvard
5. Wisconsin
6. Bemidji St
7. Clarkson
8. Dartmouth
9. Mercyhurst
10. Northeastern

 

[TonyTheTiger20]

10. Northeastern

3-5-3

 

[Bhikukhu]

Re: Fun With Numbers '14-'15: USCHO Posters Poll, Pairwise What-Ifs, and Other Goodie

1. Boston College
2. Minnesota
3. Quinnipiac
4. Wisconsin
5. Harvard
6. Clarkson
7. Dartmouth
8. Bemidji
9. Mercyhurst
10. Boston University

 

[bc6696]

Re: Fun With Numbers '14-'15: USCHO Posters Poll, Pairwise What-Ifs, and Other Goodie

1. Boston College
2. Minnesota
3. Wisconsin
4. Quinnipiac
5. Harvard
6. Mercyhurst
7. Clarkson
8. BU
9. UMD
10. Dartmouth

 

[Eeyore]

Re: Fun With Numbers '14-'15: USCHO Posters Poll, Pairwise What-Ifs, and Other Goodie

1) Boston College
2) Minnesota
3) Wisconsin
4) Quinnipiac
5) Harvard
6) Clarkson
7) Bemdiji State
8) Minnesota-Duluth
9) Dartmouth
10) Mercyhurst

 

[vicb]

Re: Fun With Numbers '14-'15: USCHO Posters Poll, Pairwise What-Ifs, and Other Goodie

OK here are my picks for the week. Mercyhurst is out.

1. Boston College The Cupcake War Winner continues to win
2. Minnesota Resting up while the Stars are away
3. Wisconsin Ditto
4. Quinnipiac Cupcake War #2 Winner takes the weekend off
5. Harvard Big game with Clarkson this weekend in the North Country
6. Poulin-ton University Despite the tie with Yale minus Poulin
7. Clarkson A bye weekend getting ready for Hahvad
8. Ohio State Beat Bemidji
9. Minnesota-Duluth Tie with Minny Split with UNDakota
10. Bemidji State Beat and Tied Minny

Despite last nights results, I will keep things as is.

 

[ritBLKnORGsuit]

Re: Fun With Numbers '14-'15: USCHO Posters Poll, Pairwise What-Ifs, and Other Goodie

1. BC
2. Minnesota
3. Harvard
4. Quinnipiac
5. Wisconsin
6. Clarkson
7. Mercyhurst
8. Bemidji St.
9. UMD
10. BU

 

[Trillium]

1) Boston College continues to rack up impressive scores with depleted roster but need to play better teams to deserve #1 ongoing
2) Minnesota 2-6 enjoying holding positions based on having a break in play
3) Wisconsin
4) Quinnipiac
5) Clarkson
6) Harvard
7) Boston U drops down again based on tie vs Yale--how can you be handed 19 min in PP time and still not beat an unranked opponent?!
8) Bemidji 8-10 enjoying the break to build distance versus the rest of the pack
9) UND
10) UMD

Keeping it the same after Sun-Tues scores

 

[myStuff]

Re: Fun With Numbers '14-'15: USCHO Posters Poll, Pairwise What-Ifs, and Other Goodie

1. Boston College
2. Minnesota
3. Wisconsin
4. Clarkson
5. Harvard
6. Mercyhurst
7. Quinnipiac
8. Northeastern
9. Boston U
10. UMD

 

[5mn_Major]

Re: Fun With Numbers '14-'15: USCHO Posters Poll, Pairwise What-Ifs, and Other Goodie

After the weekend, Clarkson will actually have 5 TUC games (still a far cry of 12 TUC games commonplace in the west).

Dartmouth and Harvard have decided to actually go into uncharted waters by playing against a TUC...not to be outdone by BC's one TUC game, they'll just being playing a single TUC game themselves. Let's not go crazy here.