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ECAC Playoff 2012 thread

P

PrincetonFan

Baker Rink Irregular
The pairings are set:

QUARTERFINALS (Friday-Sunday, February 24-26 - Best-of-three games)
No. 8 BROWN at No. 1 CORNELL
Friday: 3:30 p.m.
Saturday: 2 p.m.
Sunday: 2 p.m. (if necessary)

No. 7 PRINCETON at No. 2 HARVARD
Friday: 3:30 p.m.
Saturday: 3 p.m.
Sunday: 3 p.m. (if necessary)

No. 6 QUINNIPIAC at No. 3 CLARKSON
Friday: 7 p.m.
Saturday: 4 p.m.
Sunday: 4 p.m. (if necessary)

No. 5 ST. LAWRENCE at No. 4 DARTMOUTH
Friday: 3:30 p.m.
Saturday: 2 p.m.
Sunday: 2 p.m. (if necessary)

Any chance of a lower seed winning? Will any series go to three games? Have at it here.
 
Re: ECAC Playoff 2012 thread

Clearly the teams playing the best now are Cornell, Harvard, Clarkson, and SLU in no particular order.

Cornell over Brown and Clarkson and Quinnipiac are probably the easiest to pick in 2. Qunnipiac has been lousy since Christmas, 0-7-1 against the playoff teams. Quinnipiac stepped up a bit in the playoffs last year, but this team has been much worse, and I see them just turning on a switch. Clarkson went ahead 3-0 in both head-to-head matchups.

I'll go Harvard over Princeton in 2 as well. Surely I don't read too much into the 10-1 score since Princeton also held Harvard to the same score without the 1 in the tens place. But for whatever reason Harvard has been really successful in the ECAC quarters over the years, so I'd take them in 2, but with a bit less confidence than the other two picks.

As for SLU-Dartmouth, SLU's clearly played the best of anyone in the ECAC other than Cornell since Thanksgiving, losing only to Cornell, and SLU already beat Dartmouth on home ice once already. I'll say SLU in 3.
 
ECAC Playoff 2012 thread

What are the rules as to ties? How many OT's and then is it a shootout?
I see Harvard and Clarkson taking care of business quickly- in two. St Lawrence isn't the usual St Lawrence this season. And I am impressed with them. That weekend (What IS a weekend ?) where they went into Boston and went away with wins over BC and Northeastern wasn't it (but NOT the ghastly losses to Cantabs twice...)? Green will need to stay focused/healthy/at work to emerge here. Might go three. And I believe Brown may take the Big Red at least into overtime, if not more...

Ah-Ha!
 
Re: ECAC Playoff 2012 thread

Okay I'll throw my two cents in. I think Harvard will beat Princeton in two but it won't be by any blowouts. Harvard still struggles to finish and Princeton has been tough on us in the past. For the other series, it's Cornell routing Brown in two and neither game will be close, Clarkson defeating Quinnipiac in three (yes, I do think this goes three because for some reason, I think the Bobcats will find a way to win one game) and SLU beating Dartmouth in two. Dartmouth has had problems at home this year and SLU has been on fire for the past three months. Dartmouth has had success in the playoffs against SLU (I think SLU's last win over Dartmouth in the postseason came in the ECAC semis in '08. Dartmouth returned the favor in '09 in the championship game) but I just feel this year SLU steps up.
 
Re: ECAC Playoff 2012 thread

Harvard v Princeton

Princeton fan, thanks for the post. Good work.

One possible glitch though. My tickets for the game are in my hand and say 4PM Friday and 3PM Saturday. Harvard website says the same. No Sunday tickets sold yet and I was told that if a Sunday game is needed the time has not yet been set.

As to picks, I would expect it to be Harvard in two games. However Josephine Pucci, very valuable on defence and record of 4 goals, 19 points was injured today and did not come back into the game. Given what I saw I would suspect it might be a concussion (but I am not a doctor and have not even played one in a TV commercial) I do hope she can play. Valuable player and a really nice kid too.
 
Re: ECAC Playoff 2012 thread

I'll throw my two cents into these predictions:

Cornell vs Brown and Harvard vs Princeton will both be over in two.

Clarkson vs Quinnipiac will be a three game series, with Clarkson winning the decider. This will be a real grind series.

Dartmouth vs SLU is the most unpredictable. I see SLU winning this one in three. SLU has been hot down the stretch, and Dartmouth not so much.
 
Re: ECAC Playoff 2012 thread

Veritas said:
Harvard v Princeton

Princeton fan, thanks for the post. Good work.

One possible glitch though. My tickets for the game are in my hand and say 4PM Friday and 3PM Saturday. Harvard website says the same. No Sunday tickets sold yet and I was told that if a Sunday game is needed the time has not yet been set.
Click to expand...

I cut and pasted from the ECAC site. They have updated the times:

No. 8 BROWN at No. 1 CORNELL
Friday: 3:30 p.m.
Saturday: 2 p.m.
Sunday: 2 p.m. (if necessary)

No. 7 PRINCETON at No. 2 HARVARD
Friday: 4 p.m.
Saturday: 3 p.m.
Sunday: 3 p.m. (if necessary)

No. 6 QUINNIPIAC at No. 3 CLARKSON
Friday: 7 p.m.
Saturday: 4 p.m.
Sunday: 4 p.m. (if necessary)

No. 5 ST. LAWRENCE at No. 4 DARTMOUTH
Friday: 3:30 p.m.
Saturday: 2 p.m.
Sunday: 2 p.m. (if necessary)
 
Re: ECAC Playoff 2012 thread

Why are others here more optimistic about Quinnipiac? Just curious. Looks to me like a team that shows flashes of brilliance but has been consistently incapable of playing consistently. I'm not sure you can just flip a switch and start playing for a full 60.
 
Re: ECAC Playoff 2012 thread

dave1381 said:
Why are others here more optimistic about Quinnipiac? Just curious. Looks to me like a team that shows flashes of brilliance but has been consistently incapable of playing consistently. I'm not sure you can just flip a switch and start playing for a full 60.
Click to expand...

I can't speak for others; Just based on what I have seen from Quinny either in person at Bright or on video (yesterday's game vs RPI for example). I agree they seem to either look great or flat so one never knows but if Vigilante plays up to her capabilities, anything is possible and I just have a feeling they will make this a difficult series for Clarkson.
 
Re: ECAC Playoff 2012 thread

Sorry for the interloping but any idea about prices for these games? HEA regulates playoff prices I was wondering if ECAC does too, because I was thinking about popping over to Harvard for a game or two.

Also I hope either Dartmouth or SLU sweeps.
 
Re: ECAC Playoff 2012 thread

NUWH DogHouse said:
Thanks. Should be worth it to get my weekly fill since we are on the bye.
Click to expand...

That's if you order online before the game. If you show up looking to buy a ticket at the window, it will be $15. They started charging extra this year.
 
Re: ECAC Playoff 2012 thread

Skate79 said:
That's if you order online before the game. If you show up looking to buy a ticket at the window, it will be $15. They started charging extra this year.
Click to expand...

$15. That is pretty steep. What happened to the $8 tickets you see at most places ?.
 
Re: ECAC Playoff 2012 thread

According to the pundits on the weekly ECAC poll, no less that 52 voters (15%) think the most likely upset is Brown to win over Cornell.


Weekly poll asks which series is most likely to produce an upset.......


From http://www.ecachockey.com/women/index :

Which road team has the best chance to post an upset series win in the upcoming tournament?

Results todate are:

No. 8 Brown over No. 1 Cornell (52) 15%

No. 7 Princeton over No. 2 Harvard (72) 21%

No. 6 Quinnipiac over No. 3 Clarkson (67) 19%

No. 5 St. Lawrence over No. 4 Dartmouth (145) 43%

Find the number of voters choosing the first two series remarkbly high.
Personally think Brown's changes are less than 2-3% and Princeton's less than 10% to move on in a best 2 of 3 vs Cornell and Harvard. IMHO Chances for an upset in the SLU-Dartmouth series are close to 50%.

The Clarkson - Quinny and SLU-Dartmouth series do promise to be riveting.
 
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Re: ECAC Playoff 2012 thread

OnMAA said:
According to the pundits on the weekly ECAC poll, no less that 52 voters (15%) think the most likely upset is Brown to win over Cornell...
Click to expand...
A lot of those votes are probably as reality based as TTT picking BU to lose against Vermont or UConn. The question may be posed as what will happen, but voters answer in terms of what they'd like to see happen.
 
Re: ECAC Playoff 2012 thread

ARM said:
A lot of those votes are probably as reality based as TTT picking BU to lose against Vermont or UConn. The question may be posed as what will happen, but voters answer in terms of what they'd like to see happen.
Click to expand...

So does that mean the good news is that there are still a lot of Brown Fans ?....Or do they want to see Cornell lose, so they don't have to face them later on ??

BTW...My vote went to the SLU - Dartmouth series.

As indicated earlier, that promises to be riveting. While Dartmouth is at home, they have not exactly said the worl on fire recently, suffering losses to both Princeton and RPI, giving up five goals to Yale, and desparate enough to pull a goalie in a tied game in OT to secure a win over Brown in order to secure ice. Meanwhile, SLU has gone 15-2-1 to close out the season, with their only two losses in their last 18 games at the hands of Cornell.

Quinnipiac - Clarkson does also promise to be riveting. Similarly to SLU, Clarkson was hot down the stretch, and aside from a small speed bumb during the break when they lost to NU and BC while missing Rattray, they have a similar record to SLU down the stretch, including a Win and a OT loss to Cornell. However, Quinnipiac is coached by the former Golden Night bench Boss, and after a miserable late January/Early February, they did finish the season with two convicing wins. Expect this one will go three games. Could end up a great goalie duel between Howe and Vigilante.
 
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Re: ECAC Playoff 2012 thread

According to KRACH, these are the probabilities of each lower seed winning: (no home-ice adjustment)
Brown 1%
Princeton 13%
Quinnipiac 30%
SLU 52%

These are the probabilities of each team being the lowest seed advancing from the quarterfinals:
Brown 1%
Princeton 13%
Quinnipiac 26%
SLU 31%
Dartmouth 29%

The probability of each team being the lowest seed, conditional on some road team winning:
Brown 1%
Princeton 19%
Quinnipiac 36%
SLU 44%

The Princeton vote share is actually fairly reasonable. The Brown-Cornell number is the only one totally out of whack.
 
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