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ECAC Pick the Standings 2021-2022

Here are the statistics so far (not including the Random Number and Dr. Two Years Ago; n=17):
Code: 
Team       | Mean?SD  | Median(Range) |
---------------------------------------
Quinnipiac |  1.2?0.5 |   1   ( 1- 3) |
Clarkson   |  2.9?1.2 |   3   ( 1- 5) |
Cornell    |  3.1?1.1 |   3   ( 1- 5) |
Harvard    |  3.4?1.0 |   3   ( 2- 5) |
SLU        |  5.7?1.3 |   6   ( 3- 8) |
Colgate    |  5.9?1.3 |   6   ( 3- 8) |
RPI        |  6.5?1.3 |   7   ( 3- 8) |
Dartmouth  |  7.8?1.3 |   8   ( 5-10) |
Union      |  9.7?1.1 |  10   ( 8-12) |
Yale       | 10.1?1.2 |  10   ( 9-12) |
Princeton  | 10.7?1.3 |  11   ( 8-12) |
Brown      | 11.2?1.0 |  11   ( 9-12) |
 
1. Quinnipiac
2. Harvard
3. Cornell
4. Colgate
5. Clarkson
6. Dartmouth
7. SLU
8. RPI
9. Brown
10. Union
11. Yale
12. Princeton
 
And now for my own entry:
  1. RPI
  2. Quinnipiac
  3. Cornell
  4. Harvard
  5. SLU
  6. Clarkson
  7. Yale
  8. Colgate
  9. Dartmouth
  10. Princeton
  11. Brown
  12. Union
 
1. Quinnipiac
2. Colgate
3. Cornell
4. Clarkson
5. Harvard
6. SLU
7. RPI4.
8. Dartmouth
9. Brown
10. Union
11. Yale
12. Princeton
 
1) Colgate
2) Harvard
3) Quinnipiac
4) Clarkson
5) Cornell
6) Rensselaer
7) St. Lawrence
8) Union
9) Brown
10) Yale
11) Dartmouth
12) Princeton
 
1. Quinnipiac
2. Clarkson
3. Harvard
4. Cornell
5. Colgate
6. St. Lawrence
7. Dartmouth
8. RPI
9. Princeton
10.Union
11.Yale
12.Brown
 
1. Harvard
2. Quinnipiac
3. St. Lawrence
4. Clarkson
5. Cornell
6. Brown
7. Colgate
8. RPI
9. Dartmouth
10. Princeton
11. Yale
12. Union
 
1. Quinnipiac
2. Harvard
3. Clarkson
4. Colgate
5. Cornell
6. SLU
7. RPI
8. Dartmouth
9. Union
10. Brown
11. Yale
12. Princeton
 
Jenny RN selections (she had trouble logging into the site so she asked me to post

Quinnipiac
Clarkson
Cornell
Harvard
St. Lawrence
RPI
Colgate
Dartmouth
Union
Yale
Princeton
Brown

She pretty much agrees that the top 4 and the bottom 4 are fairly straight forward to select and that the order of these might only vary slightly.
 
Here are the statistics so far (not including the Random Number and Dr. Two Years Ago; n=26):
Code: 
Team       | Mean?SD  | Median(Range) |
---------------------------------------
Quinnipiac |  1.3?0.6 |   1   ( 1- 3) |
Harvard    |  3.2?1.1 |   3   ( 1- 5) |
Clarkson   |  3.4?1.4 |   3   ( 1- 6) |
Cornell    |  3.4?1.4 |   3   ( 1- 7) |
Colgate    |  5.4?2.0 |   6   ( 1- 8) |
SLU        |  5.6?1.3 |   6   ( 3- 8) |
RPI        |  6.5?1.8 |   7   ( 1-10) |
Dartmouth  |  7.9?1.5 |   8   ( 5-11) |
Union      |  9.9?1.2 |  10   ( 8-12) |
Yale       | 10.0?1.3 |  10   ( 7-12) |
Brown      | 10.6?1.5 |  11   ( 6-12) |
Princeton  | 10.9?1.2 |  11   ( 8-12) |
red133883, unless you correct your post, I am assuming that the second instance of Clarkson in your list should be Yale.
 
Well no one made any more picks after my last summary, but here are some graphs!
IoXe87E.png


(left: Mean ? SD, right: heat map of votes)
As in previous seasons, we're all pretty darn sure about number one, with Quinnipiac earning 20 of 26 first place votes and no picks below third overall. On the other end of the spectrum, there is very little consensus on Colgate. No team was picked in every position, and no position had every team picked (Colgate was picked in 8 different positions, and 5th/8th each had 7 teams picked).
With only four games played and half the league waiting to play their first game, I'm just going to post ranks relative to The Fan Average to start us off. Bothman has the entry closest to the fan average, and I am the human poster furthest away (though Dr. Two Years Ago and The Random Number are further still).
Code: 
Rk Post#         Contestant  Raw
 1    33    The Fan Average    0
 2    31            bothman    4
 3     2        The Coaches    8
 4     3          CLKHockey   10
 5     2          The Media   14
 6    14         GoldenBear   14
 7    32            JennyRN   14
 8     7            drshoen   16
 9    30   Earl_Leatherland   16
10    26              BobNY   16
11    22            apple2k   18
12     5         Ralph Baer   20
13    13            Rainman   20
14    15             cudmud   20
15    18           sshablak   22
16    16           TchrBill   24
17     4  iowabasedtraveler   26
18    10           sezenack   26
19    12           Dutchman   26
20    19          DrDemento   26
21    24               Turk   26
22     9         slumulva88   34
23    25            Rjm7272   38
24    17         Go Puckman   42
25    29        Mike Hutter   58
26    27          red133883   70
27    23           lugnut92   84
28     2  Dr. Two Years Ago   96
29     2  The Random Number  386
 
It certainly did not take long for my wife to take a large lead over me! I am not sure how she usually does it and i don't ask. A few years ago she picked each and every NFL game correctly and she has never even seen one of the NFL football games and cannot name more than a couple teams. When I asked her, she admitted that she picked the teams by how many letters were in their names and when teams had the same number of letters she picked the one that started alphabetically last. I give up!!!
 
Well, it's early, but I'm winning, so I think we might have to just call it all now. Even with a topsy turvey set of current standings, The Random Number is still floundering in last place, though red133883 isn't far ahead.

Code: 
Rk Post#         Contestant  Raw
 1    23           lugnut92  148
 2     9         slumulva88  156
 3    29        Mike Hutter  158
 4    17         Go Puckman  180
 5     5         Ralph Baer  190
 6     7            drshoen  194
 7    10           sezenack  196
 8    12           Dutchman  198
 9    16           TchrBill  200
10    14         GoldenBear  206
11     3          CLKHockey  210
      18           sshablak  210
      30   Earl_Leatherland  210
14     4  iowabasedtraveler  214
15    32            JennyRN  216
16    26              BobNY  218
17    22            apple2k  224
18    15             cudmud  226
      31            bothman  226
      33    The Fan Average  226
21    19          DrDemento  228
22     2        The Coaches  236
23     2          The Media  252
24    25            Rjm7272  258
25    24               Turk  264
26     2  Dr. Two Years Ago  266
27    13            Rainman  294
28    27          red133883  304
29     2  The Random Number  322
 
Congrats to Ralph Baer for jumping up into the top spot this week! Things are definitely falling into place, as The Fan Average score was nearly halved from last week to this week.

Code: 
Rk Post#         Contestant  Raw
 1     5         Ralph Baer   76
 2    17         Go Puckman   80
 3     7            drshoen   88
      30   Earl_Leatherland   88
 5    10           sezenack   90
 6    12           Dutchman   92
      16           TchrBill   92
      23           lugnut92   92
      32            JennyRN   92
10    19          DrDemento   94
11     9         slumulva88   96
12     4  iowabasedtraveler  102
13    15             cudmud  104
14    26              BobNY  106
15    14         GoldenBear  112
      18           sshablak  112
17     2  Dr. Two Years Ago  116
       2        The Coaches  116
       3          CLKHockey  116
      33    The Fan Average  116
21    29        Mike Hutter  118
22     2          The Media  120
23    31            bothman  130
24    22            apple2k  136
25    24               Turk  170
26    13            Rainman  172
27    25            Rjm7272  174
28    27          red133883  266
29     2  The Random Number  348

Note: Princeton and Quinnipiac are in a perfect tie by the ECAC tiebreakers right now, but I am giving Quinnipiac 5th based on their better overall win percentage.
 
Another massive improvement overall this week, as Dutchman shoots to the top and literally everyone but Dr. Last Year's score improved.

Code: 
Rk Post#         Contestant  Raw
 1    12           Dutchman   10
 2     7            drshoen   18
 3     4  iowabasedtraveler   20
 4    26              BobNY   24
 5     9         slumulva88   26
      14         GoldenBear   26
      15             cudmud   26
 8     5         Ralph Baer   28
      18           sshablak   28
      32            JennyRN   28
11    10           sezenack   30
12    30   Earl_Leatherland   32
13     2        The Coaches   34
14    33    The Fan Average   36
15     3          CLKHockey   40
16    31            bothman   44
17    22            apple2k   46
18    24               Turk   48
19     2          The Media   50
      17         Go Puckman   50
21    19          DrDemento   52
22    16           TchrBill   56
23    13            Rainman   58
24    29        Mike Hutter   60
25    25            Rjm7272   80
26    23           lugnut92   82
27     2  Dr. Two Years Ago  118
28    27          red133883  128
29     2  The Random Number  334
 
Harvard beat Brown and swapped spots with Quinnipiac, but Dutchman didn't swap with anyone.

Code: 
Rk Post#         Contestant  Raw
 1    12           Dutchman   16
 2     4  iowabasedtraveler   22
       7            drshoen   22
 4     9         slumulva88   28
      26              BobNY   28
 6    14         GoldenBear   30
 7    15             cudmud   32
      18           sshablak   32
 9     5         Ralph Baer   34
      32            JennyRN   34
11    10           sezenack   36
12     2        The Coaches   38
      30   Earl_Leatherland   38
      33    The Fan Average   38
15     3          CLKHockey   42
16    31            bothman   46
17     2          The Media   48
      22            apple2k   48
19    24               Turk   56
20    16           TchrBill   58
      17         Go Puckman   58
      19          DrDemento   58
      29        Mike Hutter   58
24    13            Rainman   66
25    25            Rjm7272   78
26    23           lugnut92   86
27     2  Dr. Two Years Ago  122
28    27          red133883  130
29     2  The Random Number  338
 
Actually a fair bit of movement this week, and sezenack shoots up into first place! Meanwhile, the bottom five is rock solid, and we like it that way.

Code: 
Rk Post#         Contestant  Raw
 1    10           sezenack   18
 2     5         Ralph Baer   32
 3    30   Earl_Leatherland   40
 4    14         GoldenBear   42
 5    29        Mike Hutter   44
 6    12           Dutchman   46
      17         Go Puckman   46
 8    32            JennyRN   50
 9     4  iowabasedtraveler   54
10     7            drshoen   56
      33    The Fan Average   56
12     9         slumulva88   58
13    31            bothman   60
14    15             cudmud   64
15     2          The Media   66
      22            apple2k   66
      24               Turk   66
18     2        The Coaches   68
19     3          CLKHockey   70
      18           sshablak   70
21    26              BobNY   72
22    13            Rainman   76
      16           TchrBill   76
24    19          DrDemento   82
25    25            Rjm7272   84
26    23           lugnut92   88
27     2  Dr. Two Years Ago  118
28    27          red133883  170
29     2  The Random Number  372
 
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