At this point I think 4 NESCACs are in unless a combination of Plattsburgh, Adrian and GAC get upset but stay above the NESCAC schools in line with Pool C.
I think Amherst is a lock even if they go out in the NESCAC semifinal given that they're #1 right now.
I think Hamilton is also a lock unless a loss to Midd in their NESCAC semi is somehow impactful enough to knock them 4 slots down. If they stay in 4th or 5th they wouldn't have to worry about the nightmare (for the NESCAC) scenario where all three of Plattsburgh, Adrian and GAC because they would beat out GAC for the last Pool C in that scenario.
Midd and Colby need to worry about not only multiple of the three Pool As above being upset but if Eau Claire pulling off a win against River Falls in the WIAC Championship is enough to put the Blugolds ahead of one or both of them without knocking the Falcons behind them.
I think Amherst is a lock even if they go out in the NESCAC semifinal given that they're #1 right now.
I think Hamilton is also a lock unless a loss to Midd in their NESCAC semi is somehow impactful enough to knock them 4 slots down. If they stay in 4th or 5th they wouldn't have to worry about the nightmare (for the NESCAC) scenario where all three of Plattsburgh, Adrian and GAC because they would beat out GAC for the last Pool C in that scenario.
Midd and Colby need to worry about not only multiple of the three Pool As above being upset but if Eau Claire pulling off a win against River Falls in the WIAC Championship is enough to put the Blugolds ahead of one or both of them without knocking the Falcons behind them.