'Watcher, now don't you go being obtuse on me …
I'm pretty sure I laid out the alternate possibility of "honest mistake" in addition to "bad faith modeling". That's a big difference, and doesn't accuse one of the latter when it could easily be the former. I'd like to think most modeling disconnects are from the former scenario, but it's hard to rule out the latter motive when huge gobs of money get attached to the outcomes. I doubt you are naïve to the point you don't believe bad faith modeling to achieve a desired agenda doesn't happen in the real world - and it can happen as easily with the (domestic) good guys and the bad guys.
But when even perfect modeling incorporates <s>bogus</s> suspect data - as in the case of the altruistic lovers of transparency over in China - well, those ARE the bad guys, and the data renders the modeling moot, no? I think that's kind of where I was driving at. Now … if you think I was extending the framework of that argument into other areas, you may be onto something.
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On the Biden thing this morning … listen, I'm not an admirer of the guy, but we have statutes of limitations in place for a reason, and it's to prevent folks from hatching un-rebuttable stories that are decades old, especially where there was nothing to prevent them from making a (much) earlier disclosure. Show me some contemporaneous evidence and extending circumstances, if you want me to even believe your story to begin with … but beyond that, if you're a late accuser of anyone, you'd better have a very good explanation for why you sat on your story for so long. Ulterior motives are very real, as we've seen with Justice Kavanaugh's appointment not too long ago … and in total fairness, this latest Biden thing is WAY too late for me to give it any real credence.
Might it have really happened? It's possible, sure. But if it did, who's to say it wasn't consensual?
I'll leave it at that … and HR, I'll match your DJT with JFK, LBJ and WJC. What you got now?