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Covfefe-19 The 12th Part: The Only Thing Worse Than This New Board Is TrumpVirus2020

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The best is not seeing what is being responded too cause the conversation actually makes more sense...though it is kind of weird assuming I am the one Jebbers is upset with even though I never mentioned him ;-)
 
415k by New Year's Day.

F-ck the GOP and f-ck "conservative" voters.

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Kepler said:
415k by New Year's Day.

F-ck the GOP and f-ck "conservative" voters.

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The follow up tweet is all that should be needed to show people what needs to be done:

https://twitter.com/passantino/statu...95989907398657

This is just the “most likely” scenario but there’s a huge spread in outcomes. "If a herd immunity strategy is pursued.. then the death toll could increase to 611,784” vs "Increasing mask use to the levels seen in Singapore would decrease the cumulative US death toll to 298,589"
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It should be noted though that there are other models that arent as bad. The IHME is one data point. I think all of them though are expecting a surge of some kind...
 
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Hey at least we know we can trust the CDC is giving us the real numbers and information in spite of the Moron on Chief...

Ummm....

The health department’s politically appointed communications aides have demanded the right to review and seek changes to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention’s weekly scientific reports charting the progress of the coronavirus pandemic, in what officials characterized as an attempt to intimidate the reports’ authors and water down their communications to health professionals.

In some cases, emails from communications aides to CDC Director Robert Redfield and other senior officials openly complained that the agency’s reports would undermine President Donald Trump's optimistic messages about the outbreak, according to emails reviewed by POLITICO and three people familiar with the situation.

CDC officials have fought back against the most sweeping changes, but have increasingly agreed to allow the political officials to review the reports and, in a few cases, compromised on the wording, according to three people familiar with the exchanges. The communications aides’ efforts to change the language in the CDC’s reports have been constant across the summer and continued as recently as Friday afternoon.

The CDC's Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Reports are authored by career scientists and serve as the main vehicle for the agency to inform doctors, researchers and the general public about how Covid-19 is spreading and who is at risk. Such reports have historically been published with little fanfare and no political interference, said several longtime health department officials, and have been viewed as a cornerstone of the nation's public health work for decades.

But since Michael Caputo, a former Trump campaign official with no medical or scientific background, was installed in April as the Health and Human Services department's new spokesperson, there have been substantial efforts to align the reports with Trump's statements, including the president's claims that fears about the outbreak are overstated, or stop the reports altogether.
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Caputo's team also has tried to halt the release of some CDC reports, including delaying a report that addressed how doctors were prescribing hydroxychloroquine, the malaria drug favored by Trump as a coronavirus treatment despite scant evidence. The report, which was held for about a month after Caputo’s team raised questions about its authors’ political leanings, was finally published last week. It said that "the potential benefits of these drugs do not outweigh their risks."
In one clash, an aide to Caputo berated CDC scientists for attempting to use the reports to "hurt the President" in an Aug. 8 email sent to CDC Director Robert Redfield and other officials that was widely circulated inside the department and obtained by POLITICO.

"CDC to me appears to be writing hit pieces on the administration," appointee Paul Alexander wrote, calling on Redfield to modify two already published reports that Alexander claimed wrongly inflated the risks of coronavirus to children and undermined Trump's push to reopen schools. "CDC tried to report as if once kids get together, there will be spread and this will impact school re-opening . . . Very misleading by CDC and shame on them. Their aim is clear."
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Oh my God Jebbers, you keep proving my point!

"a region of little or no change in a graphic representation."

And then you post a picture explaining it.

Oh my God. Thanks for the laughs. Now if you'll excuse me. I'm going to go enjoy a night out. And wear a mask.
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Chuck the U.S. is presently 11th in the world for Deaths / 1 M population and in competition with such illustrious countries as Andorra, Chile, Bolivia, Ecuador, Peru and Brazil. You're right though - the U.S. is literally killing it.
 
Slap Shot said:
Chuck the U.S. is presently 11th in the world for Deaths / 1 M population and in competition with such illustrious countries as Andorra, Chile, Bolivia, Ecuador, Peru and Brazil. You're right though - the U.S. is literally killing it.
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whatever happened to that "American excellence" they go on and on about?
 
Sturgis Debunked by the Wall Street Journal

https://www.wsj.com/articles/the-sturgis-statistical-misfire-11599694411

Holy Hell’s Angels. Last month’s motorcycle rally among the deplorables in Sturgis, South Dakota, contributed to 266,796 Covid-19 cases and $12.2 billion in public-health costs—or so claims a new study widely flogged by the media. Here is another example of how flawed statistical models can generate grossly exaggerated projections.

The annual 10-day rally with live performances, races and bike shows drew 460,000 Americans from around the country to the small town of Sturgis (population: 7,000). South Dakota is among the few states that never imposed a shelter-in-place order or face-mask mandate. It has also let restaurants and bars operate without restrictions.

[…]

Never fear, the modelers as always are here. San Diego State University’s Center for Health Economics & Policy Studies sought to quantify the rally’s COVID impact in South Dakota and nationwide by analyzing the (anonymous) cell-phone data of attendees. They then compared case trends in counties with high, moderate and low numbers of attendees.

They found that cases increased by 3.6 to 3.9 per 1,000 in South Dakota in the three weeks after the rally, translating to between 3,185 and 3,441 more cases statewide. To put this number in perspective, New York state has recorded as many cases in the last week even with its stringent public-health rules.

[…]

Where the study jumps off the rails is linking all of the relative increase in virus cases in counties with attendees compared to those without rally participants. The modelers multiplied the percent increase in cases for counties with attendees by their pre-rally cumulative cases to get a total of 263,708 additional cases—266,796 including South Dakota’s increase.

But many “high inflow” counties like Los Angeles, Maricopa (Arizona), Clark (Nevada) and El Paso were experiencing flare-ups before the rally. These counties may have shared other characteristics like higher population density that contributed to their increases. There could be other “endogenous” variables—for instance, counties with more people who attended the motorcycle rally may also have had populations less observant of social distancing.

The study’s authors nonetheless assign each of these 266,796 COVID cases a public-health cost of $46,000—ergo $12.2 billion—though the vast majority of all virus cases are mild or moderate. Talk about a case study in statistical overreach—and double standards.

+++++++++++++++++

... and yet another bogus, narrative-driven "statistical analysis" falls by the wayside ...
 
Slap Shot said:
Chuck the U.S. is presently 11th in the world for Deaths / 1 M population and in competition with such illustrious countries as Andorra, Chile, Bolivia, Ecuador, Peru and Brazil. You're right though - the U.S. is literally killing it.
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You seem to be overlooking the FACT that genius Dem governors of states like NY and NJ, and a Trump-hating RINO gov in deep blue MA, greatly inflated the early impact of COVID deaths in nursing homes by ordering those already infected to return to their nursing homes and "share the wealth", with predictably disastrous results. It's not a surprise - unless you're living in a stupor-induced liberal bubble - that these three deep blue states still lead the country (by a wide margin) as a result.

Without those avoidable and needless deaths, our (below-world average) ratio of deaths per population would probably be another 25-30% lower - and that's a conservative estimate.

Now, this is where you counter with "orange man bad", and ignore that the data isn't on your side ...
 
FadeToBlack&Gold said:
How many 9/11s are we at now? Or would our resident trunts prefer it in Bengahzi units?

#CoronaAintGoinAway
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65 9/11s

48,418 Benghazis

16 Swine Flus

96,835 Ebolas

2 2017-18 Influenza Seasons

5 All motor vehicle crash deaths 2018

3,654 Yearly lightning strike deaths

2.6 Louisiana Superdomes

3.6 WWI US Deaths

193,670 Jeffery Epsteins
 
Also, we’re beyond factors of attacks or disasters.

We’re in multiplicative terms of disasters and attacks.

What are we really at? 9/11 times Oklahoma Coty?
 
Chuck Murray said:
You seem to be overlooking the FACT that genius Dem governors of states like NY and NJ, and a Trump-hating RINO gov in deep blue MA, greatly inflated the early impact of COVID deaths in nursing homes by ordering those already infected to return to their nursing homes and "share the wealth", with predictably disastrous results. It's not a surprise - unless you're living in a stupor-induced liberal bubble - that these three deep blue states still lead the country (by a wide margin) as a result.

Without those avoidable and needless deaths, our (below-world average) ratio of deaths per population would probably be another 25-30% lower - and that's a conservative estimate.

Now, this is where you counter with "orange man bad", and ignore that the data isn't on your side ...
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I didn't ignore anything Baby Huey but you're ignoring that Trump has done nothing about the pandemic. Also NY figured things out months ago meanwhile several red states are trending in the wrong direction. And as such the country is on pace for 285k days by EOY. That doesn't fall solely on NY and NJ.

Next.
 
I think there's a typo in DX's post, but we're:

1,153 Oklahoma City Bombings
or
30% of Oklahoma City's population
 
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