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Covfefe 19: now in 3D

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Re: Covfefe 19: now in 3D

Thanks. Are there current figures for % of Corona cases in Italy that needed hospitalization vs. US?
 
Re: Covfefe 19: now in 3D

And, documented cases jumped 20% overnight in Italy, because *shocker* those who were put under quarantine last week took Brent's advice and decided to keep living their life at town squares, ski resorts, and beaches and contracted the virus.
 
Re: Covfefe 19: now in 3D

SJHovey said:
But that’s what JD and I are saying. Italy’s 3.2 per 1000 translates to less than 200,000. Our 2.8 translates to 925,000. If you have 5000 cases in each, and you’re one of them, would you really prefer to be where the hospital beds are most dense per 1000 people in the country?
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So I think what you are saying is that if you are in a less populated place there may be a chance the beds are more plentiful and you would have a better chance of getting one.

Theoretically. Unfortunately on avg the system is at 95-97% capacity at any one given time. Even if it were significantly less the number of beds is something like 10 times what is available. It doesn't appear that anywhere has the capacity. You also have to look at burden of disease. In a lot of the Red states, esp down south the chronic disease rates are way higher so incidence of severe disease will be higher. Lots of moving parts
 
SJHovey said:
But that’s what JD and I are saying. Italy’s 3.2 per 1000 translates to less than 200,000. Our 2.8 translates to 925,000. If you have 5000 cases in each, and you’re one of them, would you really prefer to be where the hospital beds are most dense per 1000 people in the country?
Click to expand...

You’re not serious, are you?

Leswp1 provided a solid answer instead of sarcasm.
 
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aparch said:
And, documented cases jumped 20% overnight in Italy, because *shocker* those who were put under quarantine last week took Brent's advice and decided to keep living their life at town squares, ski resorts, and beaches and contracted the virus.
Click to expand...

That is exactly what happened. Such heroes.
 
Re: Covfefe 19: now in 3D

aparch said:
And, documented cases jumped 20% overnight in Italy, because *shocker* those who were put under quarantine last week took Brent's advice and decided to keep living their life at town squares, ski resorts, and beaches and contracted the virus.
Click to expand...

Nonononono. If you are quarantined STAY THE F HOME. If you are at risk, STAY THE F HOME. Read the details. JFC.
 
SJHovey said:
But that’s what JD and I are saying. Italy’s 3.2 per 1000 translates to less than 200,000. Our 2.8 translates to 925,000. If you have 5000 cases in each, and you’re one of them, would you really prefer to be where the hospital beds are most dense per 1000 people in the country?
Click to expand...

We have like 65,000 ICU beds, maybe 95,000 in an emergency situation
 
Re: Covfefe 19: now in 3D

Most hospitals go to capacity and divert a number of times during flu season. How many stories have you heard about people being in beds in the halls during that time? Only now they should be in isolation and there are no beds to divert to
 
Re: Covfefe 19: now in 3D

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Trying to explain asymptomatic transmission and the exponential growth of epidemics to a 5-year-old to explain why he can’t have a birthday party, and it’s...not going well.</p>— Chris Hayes (@chrislhayes) <a href="https://twitter.com/chrislhayes/status/1238849970800910336?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">March 14, 2020</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

Maybe he can explain to Brent next.
 
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