Re: Completely Unwoven: Business, Economics, and Tax Policy 4.0
Nothing stops you from having a job, though. It just removes the gun from your head.
I think one thing it would do is make awful jobs a lot more lucrative. Now we
keep a population near subsistence level so we have a labor supply that is forced to do awful jobs. A significant GI would mean people would say, "yeah, I'll clean your toilets for you. Shall we say $300k to start?" And if the robots can do it cheaper, fine. I mean, until they revolt and enslave us all...
I agree you really can't test it absent some sort of weird deliberate "human subject rules be d-mned" socio-psych experiment where you ship 1000 people to an island off Borneo and come back fifty years later to see if they've built the Workers Paradise or just settled into the same ol' wage slavery crap we always wind up with.
Removing the gun from people's head sounds like a pretty good long-term goal for society. It was once argued that slavery was absolutely required by economics, but it turns out it's actually pretty wasteful along with being, you know, morally sub-optimal. Maybe "work or live in grinding poverty" will come to be regarded in the same way.* Maybe in a prosperous future work will be optional. Right now work is optional for lots of people, and they still do it. Just on their terms.
We could do anything assuming we can achieve a sufficient surplus. We may not be there yet, but it's a decent target for say a century or a millennium. It will require a completely different set of ethics, because now "not working" equals a parade of disparagements (unless you're rich). But our ethics will change over time; we've seen that happen again and again. It was once unthinkable to live according to any clock less granular than the seasons. Factory work changes our thinking. Our thinking will probably be unrecognizable to us in 500 years.
Effective immortality via medical advance might make non-force work a necessity. No population is going to accept working eternally. Our word for that is hell. We can really only get away with treating so many people so badly now because they know life is short.
* I thought of a better example. In the Greek city states citizenship was originally granted based on having fought in the army. This was considered completely rational. If you didn't do this, society would literally come apart. Somebody had to do it; no free riders. In future eyes, our instincts about having to work to escape poverty may be regarded the same way. It all depends how good we get at generating useful productiveness out of minimal (or zero) human work.