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Somehow you have to include lawyers in there but yes
Are they voting for Bill or for Hillary?? I submit that nostalgia is a factor. Bill is well liked and it helps his wife. Bush43 is currently not in favor so it drags down Jeb.I sure do wish the Dems would find someone other than Clinton! Don't want a candidate who's well known and up double digits on all GOP rivals running for the nomination dammit!
From ABC:
--ANALYSIS -- ABC's RICK KLEIN: Ex-presidents aren't created equal. Or, at least, they're not equal by the time history gets to judge. George W. Bush fans are likely to be Jeb Bush fans, just as Bill Clinton fans overwhelmingly favor Hillary Clinton in 2016, according to the new ABC News/Washington Post poll. But Hillary has a deeper pool to draw from than W.: Bill Clinton has a 73 percent approval rate, while George W. Bush's is at 47 percent. Enough said? Unless you also say: Barack Obama has an identical 47 percent approval rating in the poll. Hillary Clinton's is down to 49 percent -- 18 points below her high point, which came as she was leaving office as Secretary of State. In a race with echoes of history, it looks like which history major candidates are able to tap into could be determinative. As for now, Clinton leads her major possible rivals in head-to-head matchups. She would beat Jeb Bush by 12 points; Scott Walker by 14, Marco Rubio by 15, and Ted Cruz by 17.
47% for Bush? Kinda sounds like Romney's final vote %.
However, more to your point I like winning, and therefore backing the strongest horse.
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An excellent point. That's why Paul Ryan was the natural VP choice last time. His budget is where the GOP was/still is, so make him part of the ticket.
This time around, Ted Cruz is where the GOP is. Small wonder he's surging in polls right now (yes, yes its early). Plus, he has the trump card no one else has, which is when he causes a govt shutdown in the weeks before the first primary and gets gold plated press coverage from the right. Pundidiots, who again should be noted tend to be 60-70 year old white males, still think the country wants the scion of a famous family, WASPy, super wealthly patrician image that Jeb Bush projects because that's what sold 30 years ago. The base wants confrontation, not moderation. Witness the fury over the backtracking by Pence in Indiana on the Right to Discriminate law. Bet your bottom dollar Cruz would have stuck to his guns (literally