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Campaign 2016 Part XXIII: The Penultimate Thread
- Thread starter joecct
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Re: Campaign 2016 Part XXIII: The Penultimate Thread
What backup plan?
I wonder how Rover's backup plan is coming along.
What backup plan?
Kepler
Si certus es dubita
Re: Campaign 2016 Part XXIII: The Penultimate Thread
It is a bit strange that a bunch of otherwise silent racists are supposed to rise up and give PA to Trump when they weren't enough to beat the Kenyan Muslin Commie.
Interesting that in the final days the Trumpettes' strategy has been to be as misogynistic as possible. The polls are tightening so maybe they're right. Maybe there is enough crud at the bottom of the American barrel that scraping away at it will be a net positive for them.
Well if he's going to do that why not give Trump Minnesota and New York while he's at it.
I never understand why an Obama won state he's at best tied in (say FL or OH) is put in Trump's column, while a red state that he's tied in.....is put in Trump's column (NC, AZ). Pretty good deal if you can get it.
It is a bit strange that a bunch of otherwise silent racists are supposed to rise up and give PA to Trump when they weren't enough to beat the Kenyan Muslin Commie.
Interesting that in the final days the Trumpettes' strategy has been to be as misogynistic as possible. The polls are tightening so maybe they're right. Maybe there is enough crud at the bottom of the American barrel that scraping away at it will be a net positive for them.
Kepler
Si certus es dubita
Re: Campaign 2016 Part XXIII: The Penultimate Thread
Yeah, Dr. Mrs. and I were curled up last night talking about what we'd do. We are both in business lines where a Trump presidency would mean we would almost certainly have to quit. I have no interest in being a Good German.
Yeah, Dr. Mrs. and I were curled up last night talking about what we'd do. We are both in business lines where a Trump presidency would mean we would almost certainly have to quit. I have no interest in being a Good German.
Re: Campaign 2016 Part XXIII: The Penultimate Thread
Ya know, I didn't coin the phrase "Bedwetting Liberals" which is part of the political lexicon now, but occasionally it applies.
Races always tighten towards the end. The underdog is always "within striking distance" (cue the ominous music). Before needing to change your undies, once again keep an eye on early voting and remember two things: 1) Based on 2012 Dems have a 5M vote cushion, even higher when new voters are factored in, and 2) unless Trump starts winning educated voters by Romney margins at least, there aren't enough old angry uneducated white guys to put him over the top.
Ya know, I didn't coin the phrase "Bedwetting Liberals" which is part of the political lexicon now, but occasionally it applies.
Races always tighten towards the end. The underdog is always "within striking distance" (cue the ominous music). Before needing to change your undies, once again keep an eye on early voting and remember two things: 1) Based on 2012 Dems have a 5M vote cushion, even higher when new voters are factored in, and 2) unless Trump starts winning educated voters by Romney margins at least, there aren't enough old angry uneducated white guys to put him over the top.
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Re: Campaign 2016 Part XXIII: The Penultimate Thread
It's not just trump- he's got a PAC here in Michigan who is running ads against Suzanna Shkeri pointing out that she's the "establishment" candidate, being evil and all- and the only two other people being picture in the ad is Hillary Clinton (which makes some sense, running for President), and Nancy Pelosi. No other Democrat leader is pictured anywhere on the ad. Not Harry Ried- who is quoted FAR more than Ms Pelosi is, not Steny Hoyer who is Pelosi's #2, not Pat Leahy who is Ried's #2.
And while few of us can get solid answers of the Hillary Hate, I've got no idea what so ever why Pelosi is so hated as well.
But there it is- an ad against a women, featuring two other "bad" women.
Nobody even notices it, it seems to me.
How women justify this is beyond me.
It's not just trump- he's got a PAC here in Michigan who is running ads against Suzanna Shkeri pointing out that she's the "establishment" candidate, being evil and all- and the only two other people being picture in the ad is Hillary Clinton (which makes some sense, running for President), and Nancy Pelosi. No other Democrat leader is pictured anywhere on the ad. Not Harry Ried- who is quoted FAR more than Ms Pelosi is, not Steny Hoyer who is Pelosi's #2, not Pat Leahy who is Ried's #2.
And while few of us can get solid answers of the Hillary Hate, I've got no idea what so ever why Pelosi is so hated as well.
But there it is- an ad against a women, featuring two other "bad" women.
Nobody even notices it, it seems to me.
How women justify this is beyond me.
Kepler
Si certus es dubita
dxmnkd316
Lucia Apologist
Re: Campaign 2016 Part XXIII: The Penultimate Thread
jfc, glad I hovered over that before clicking.
jfc, glad I hovered over that before clicking.
Wisko McBadgerton
Teaching you how to Bucky.
Re: Campaign 2016 Part XXIII: The Penultimate Thread
Today's RCP No Toss Up Map has the Entire Fate of the Free World left to the whims of people in "Live Free" New Hampshire or "Free Hemp" Colorado.
I've been to both on occasion and that's seems a bit of a frightening prospect no matter who you are.
Today's RCP No Toss Up Map has the Entire Fate of the Free World left to the whims of people in "Live Free" New Hampshire or "Free Hemp" Colorado.
I've been to both on occasion and that's seems a bit of a frightening prospect no matter who you are.
Kepler
Si certus es dubita
The Sicatoka
Kicizapi Cetan
Re: Campaign 2016 Part XXIII: The Penultimate Thread
At their morning coffee junkets in 2008 and 2012 they'd decided he couldn't win (or win again) so they stayed home. Will they stay home the third time?
Like I said, 2016 comes down to who actually shows up.
It is a bit strange that a bunch of otherwise silent racists are supposed to rise up and give PA to Trump when they weren't enough to beat the Kenyan Muslin Commie.
At their morning coffee junkets in 2008 and 2012 they'd decided he couldn't win (or win again) so they stayed home. Will they stay home the third time?
Like I said, 2016 comes down to who actually shows up.
Re: Campaign 2016 Part XXIII: The Penultimate Thread
Too bad Toronto's version of Trump-lite snorted himself to death.
Too bad Toronto's version of Trump-lite snorted himself to death.
trixR4kids
Well-known member
Re: Campaign 2016 Part XXIII: The Penultimate Thread
Yeah he himself has done nothing to deserve that characterization
Yeah he himself has done nothing to deserve that characterization
Kepler
Si certus es dubita
Re: Campaign 2016 Part XXIII: The Penultimate Thread
RCP's map has been consistently more pro-Trump than any of the aggregators who try to rate pollsters based on their methodology. To them, Rasmussen (C+) or LA Times (not even a true poll) are weighted equally with ABC/WaPo (A+) and Fox News (A), and no house effect is considered. (538 pollster grade in quotes)
Here are the most recent (through 10/25) national polls from outlets which have at least an A- on 538:
T +1
C +2
C +4
C +2
She can't afford to drop much more without causing serious anxiety (and maybe a stock market crash), but she's still OK. using Polls Plus, her worst of the three scenarios at the moment, she's still at 68.2%. She does need to pull out of her dive.
And all you little bastids and your family and friends need to vote. This is it, Kittens. It's up to you to stop the American Reich before it starts.
RCP's map has been consistently more pro-Trump than any of the aggregators who try to rate pollsters based on their methodology. To them, Rasmussen (C+) or LA Times (not even a true poll) are weighted equally with ABC/WaPo (A+) and Fox News (A), and no house effect is considered. (538 pollster grade in quotes)
Here are the most recent (through 10/25) national polls from outlets which have at least an A- on 538:
T +1
C +2
C +4
C +2
She can't afford to drop much more without causing serious anxiety (and maybe a stock market crash), but she's still OK. using Polls Plus, her worst of the three scenarios at the moment, she's still at 68.2%. She does need to pull out of her dive.
And all you little bastids and your family and friends need to vote. This is it, Kittens. It's up to you to stop the American Reich before it starts.
Re: Campaign 2016 Part XXIII: The Penultimate Thread
Ironically, markets are declining because of the tightening race. They are nervous about tdon. So it would suck if they go down, and his numbers go up because it it.
Wisko McBadgerton
Teaching you how to Bucky.
Re: Campaign 2016 Part XXIII: The Penultimate Thread
Indeed. The world's first Commie-Nazi is an incredibly despicable character. I can hardly think of anything worse.
Yeah he himself has done nothing to deserve that characterization
Indeed. The world's first Commie-Nazi is an incredibly despicable character. I can hardly think of anything worse.
Handyman
Hug someone you care about...
Re: Campaign 2016 Part XXIII: The Penultimate Thread
It isnt the tightening that is bugging me...I knew it would get "close" because that is all part of the script. What isnt though is X-Factors like the FBI and whatever is going on with them. That doesnt pass the smell test and it is gettig me worried. Not Scooby worried or anything...but more on edge than I was on Friday.
All I want is some good news to remind me this isnt Conspiracy Novel
It isnt the tightening that is bugging me...I knew it would get "close" because that is all part of the script. What isnt though is X-Factors like the FBI and whatever is going on with them. That doesnt pass the smell test and it is gettig me worried. Not Scooby worried or anything...but more on edge than I was on Friday.
All I want is some good news to remind me this isnt Conspiracy Novel
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