Re: Big Ten Hockey Conference
I've been lurking here for a bit and wanted to provide some input from a Big Ten perspective. While I'm not a college hockey guy as an Illinois alum, I do have some insight on how the Big Ten thinks, the way the Big Ten Network works and how the conference approaches expansion decisions (as I'm the writer of Frank the Tank's Slant, which is a blog that has been focused on college realignment for the past year). A few things to think about regarding the prospect of a BTHC:
Frank - love your blog and all the commentary on Big Ten expansion over the past year. It's been great to read.
(2) Remember about online streaming - Maybe even more important than the BTN on TV is leveraging hockey to build out the BTN's online streaming component via PPV and/or season passes. While people note that college hockey games aren't necessarily great general ratings draws, it's actually a perfect vehicle for online streaming - a sizable niche audience that's rabid enough to pay to watch games online. Since football and men's basketball games are all on TV and women's sports don't draw great online interest, it's hockey that provides the best opportunities to build up the BTN online and make that platform into a money-maker. Don't underestimate this as more and more viewers are watching games online - building out that online site is an extremely high priority for the BTN.
(3) Ohio State and Penn State have NO sympathy for Minnesota and the Gophers will fall into line - There are tons of comments in this thread refer to how Minnesota could lose out on local TV money and WCHA rivalries with the formation of the BTHC. While that might be true for the hockey program specifically, it's a "penny wise pound foolish" argument from the perspective of the entire athletic department and university. Note that before the BTN was formed, Michigan, OSU and PSU all looked into starting their own school networks with football and basketball, which would've been worth a gazillion times more to those schools than the Minnesota FSN hockey package. Jim Delany persuaded those schools to give up those plans for the greater good of the Big Ten conference and pool those TV rights together to form the BTN. As a result, the Minnesota athletic program featuring a football team that can't beat FCS teams from the Dakotas has literally made tens of millions of dollars per year off of the backs of Ohio State and Penn State. Minnesota makes more TV money than Notre Dame (even with its NBC contract), Florida, Texas and USC all because of the Big Ten's TV revenue that's equally distributed among members. This means that OSU and PSU will rightfully tell Minnesota to go ****** itself if it whines about any revenue it would supposedly lose with a BTHC - the Gophers are making a whole lot more money off of OSU and PSU than the other way around and the least it could do is provide something of value in the one sport that it's actually considered to be a power.
I think point #2 is spot on, but I'd also note 4four4's comment:
Live streaming in Minnesota will not go over very well especially since every Wild game is on television.
One key element of the original BTN sales pitch was that once the BTN had carriage agreements with all the local cable providers, every single school saw the number of games their team was on TV for football or basketball increase over the previous arrangement.
As point #3 notes, there's no sympathy for Minnesota's lost revenue from the other Big Ten hockey schools, all of whom carry more weight than Minnesota does when it comes to football and basketball. However, there will be a revolt if Big Ten hockey means fewer Minnesota Gopher hockey games are available on basic cable in the Twin Cities.
I love the idea of trying to bolster the streaming video market online, but asking Minnesota to go from having nearly 100% of their games, home and road, on expanded basic cable TV to some number less than 100% will be a very difficult lift. With the beginning of the BTN, all you had to do was wait for carriage agreements. If the BTN starts putting Gopher Hockey online, then that's a problem.
Not that it would be a great idea to do so anyway, the Gophers get good ratings in the Twin Cities. Maybe the solution is to somehow regionalize hockey broadcasts - the Twin Cities get the game that Minnesota is playing, Milwaukee gets the Badgers, etc. However, asking Minnesota to decrease the coverage their team receives will be a very difficult ask.
The overall point is that there WILL be a Big Ten Hockey Conference - there's no "if" here. It's wasted breath in lamenting its formation because it's a foregone conclusion from the conference's perspective. Note that the Big Ten was willing to throw schools like Iowa State (which is a neighborly public school with Big Ten member Iowa), Missouri and Kansas to non-BCS conferences like the Mountain West when it took Nebraska from the Big 12 (and almost triggered the dissolution of that conferences if Texas and its minions had moved to the Pac-10). The Big Ten also casts a Grim Reaper shadow over the Big East if the Big Ten ever decides to expand again. So, if you think it's going to care one bit about the smaller hockey schools, you're extremely naive. Therefore, the WCHA and CCHA schools really need to have a game plan to cope with the loss of the Big Ten schools (because it's going to happen whether the hardcore college fans like it or not).
Yes, the WCHA and CCHA do need to plan for this proactively, rather than wishing that it won't happen.
That said, a scenario where a BTHC plays 20 conference games and 14-16 non-conference games gives those conferences a window of opportunity. Reducing the number of conference games for all teams in college hockey would be a welcome change, and might make this transition a little smoother.