Re: 2nd Term Part VIII - The Thin Red Line
Fair enough. That being said Brownback got what he wanted in Kansas. Are we saying he's not at fault? That's the way people vote. My saying fault is with the governor is just shorthand for the perception and reality of what should or is likely to happen at the ballot box. You want the top job then you get stuck with the results. That's the way it is and frankly the way it should be.
I think he is definitely at fault, and if he gets booted he has no complaints.
First, he was delusional in thinking that whatever he could push through at a state level would have significant impact, especially in the short term, on jobs or the economy. At the state level he can cause some immediate harm by cutting 10-15% of the public sector jobs, but any benefit his state will see due to a favorable tax climate will take years, decades to materialize (if ever). He promised a quick recovery from the recession for his state, a promise he had no chance of keeping no matter what policy he dictated. Even if he had gone the opposite way, he would have likely only seen the slow, stilted recovery the rest of us saw.
Second, as other midwestern governors and legislatures before him, he misunderstood or misrepresented the ability of a state like Kansas to draw business and industry to that state.
Tech and internet companies aren't going to locate there. There aren't any shipping ports.
The state runs on agriculture and the public sector jobs that you find in every city and county. To think you could cut 10% of your public sector jobs with the hope that GE relocates there is silly. It doesn't happen.
You get outside of Kansas City and Topeka and the economies revolve around the farms (and their supporting businesses), schools, the courthouses and the municipal offices.
Are there states where ideas like Brownback's might, over the long term, have some chance of producing? Possibly. I think of a state like Michigan which has certain geographical advantages, a certain base level of population and industry. Getting businesses to stay in or relocate to Michigan, over say Ohio, Indiana or Pennsylvania, might have some benefit. But it isn't going to happen in Kansas.