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2nd Term Part VIII - The Thin Red Line

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Re: 2nd Term Part VIII - The Thin Red Line

It doesn't matter if your average Joe understands the true UE rate or not, the reported rate is the same metric as it ever was.
 
Re: 2nd Term Part VIII - The Thin Red Line

No, the point is the bolded portion is NOT a true statement. Although we all agree the rates are too high, if "more and more people are having to work part time versus full time" then the higher U rates would be climbing, not falling.

The economy is definitely still very weak, especially in jobs (you can thank a financial system that rewards banks for hoarding the bailout money we gave them and a tax structure that redistributes wealth upwards, leaving the middle class too poor to consume). However, if U6 is falling that means by definition that a larger percentage of the workforce is working full time rather than part time.

Now, we'd still have a big systemic problem with people leaving the workforce even if we had a booming economy because The Worst Generation is starting to retire. That's a different problem that frankly nobody has put forth a good solution to. Well, almost nobody.
If U5 falls more (raw number of people as opposed to %) than part time employed raw number goes up, then it seems that U6 still can do down as a %. The issue of people getting converted from full to part time is something that I think we'll increasingly see rather than something that has already occurred to a high degree. I didn't say that a larger % are working part time vs full time. As far as the "Worst Generation" retiring, it's FDR and LBJ (and to a lessor extent Bush 2) who caused the systemic entitlement problem.
 
Re: 2nd Term Part VIII - The Thin Red Line

I don't really understand how Udall is not walking away with the CO Senate election. Anybody out there from CO want to comment? He's got a great name and more money than God. The gun-humpers were mad at him but I don't think even the NRA has enough muscle to swing a Senate seat that by all rights ought to be +5 or +6. He opposes Keystone so the Kochtopus is probably after him, too.

(Note: need to go --> Polls --> Colorado to get the full polling history on CO)
 
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Re: 2nd Term Part VIII - The Thin Red Line

It's the same ****ing idea over and over and over and over and over again.

http://www.msnbc.com/rachel-maddow-show/the-pressing-need-more-tax-breaks-the-rich

Speaking of Voodoo Economics.

http://www.nytimes.com/2014/10/06/o...icmst=1409232722000&bicmet=1419773522000&_r=0

First, voodoo economics has dominated the conservative movement for so long that it has become an inward-looking cult, whose members know what they know and are impervious to contrary evidence.

Is Kepler ghost writing as Paul Krugman?
 
Re: 2nd Term Part VIII - The Thin Red Line

I don't really understand how Udall is not walking away with the CO Senate election. Anybody out there from CO want to comment? He's got a great name and more money than God. The gun-humpers were mad at him but I don't think even the NRA has enough muscle to swing a Senate seat that by all rights ought to be +5 or +6. He opposes Keystone so the Kochtopus is probably after him, too.

(Note: need to go --> Polls --> Colorado to get the full polling history on CO)
Seems like there's a lot of interesting close Senate races out there this go around, from Kansas to Colorado to North Carolina and on and on.

We've got a pretty tight governor's race here in AZ, with Ducey, a pretty conservative Republican neck-and-neck with Duval, a Dem who is trying to play to the center on at least some issues, like border security. Of course he is making the typical Dem offers of spending more money on a variety of things, without saying much about how he'd pay for it.

And our Dem AG candidate has picked up a few major Rep endorsements, including former governor Fife Symington (a mixed bag getting his endorsement, given some of what went on during his time as governor) and maverick former AG Grant Woods.
 
Re: 2nd Term Part VIII - The Thin Red Line

Ted Cruz goes full Derp on the Supreme Court.

http://www.msnbc.com/rachel-maddow-show/cruzs-tragic-and-indefensible-reasoning
“The Supreme Court’s decision to let rulings by lower court judges stand that redefine marriage is both tragic and indefensible,” said Sen. Cruz. “By refusing to rule if the States can define marriage, the Supreme Court is abdicating its duty to uphold the Constitution. The fact that the Supreme Court Justices, without providing any explanation whatsoever, have permitted lower courts to strike down so many state marriage laws is astonishing.

“This is judicial activism at its worst.”

I guess he's too stupid to realize that if the Supreme Court had taken the case then Gay Marriage would be legal in all 50 states. By not taking the case they've at least delayed it.
 
Re: 2nd Term Part VIII - The Thin Red Line

Seems like there's a lot of interesting close Senate races out there this go around, from Kansas to Colorado to North Carolina and on and on.

We've got a pretty tight governor's race here in AZ, with Ducey, a pretty conservative Republican neck-and-neck with Duval, a Dem who is trying to play to the center on at least some issues, like border security. Of course he is making the typical Dem offers of spending more money on a variety of things, without saying much about how he'd pay for it.

And our Dem AG candidate has picked up a few major Rep endorsements, including former governor Fife Symington (a mixed bag getting his endorsement, given some of what went on during his time as governor) and maverick former AG Grant Woods.

Interesting, thanks.

Are the Udalls and Babbitts still Gods in AZ? My wife's family thinks they're their bee's knees, even the Republican black sheep side. :)
 
Re: 2nd Term Part VIII - The Thin Red Line

Ted Cruz goes full Derp on the Supreme Court.

http://www.msnbc.com/rachel-maddow-show/cruzs-tragic-and-indefensible-reasoning


I guess he's too stupid to realize that if the Supreme Court had taken the case then Gay Marriage would be legal in all 50 states. By not taking the case they've at least delayed it.

TC isn't stupid, he knows exactly what he's doing. He's marking this as territory that he can mine for evergreen resentment.

BTW, I love now that not ruling is "activism." We're one step closer to the mask dropping completely: when it's a ruling they don't like it's "activism," when it's a ruling they like it's "strict construction," and there's no element of honest intellectual evaluation beyond that. Geez, at least Scalia used to fake it.
 
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Re: 2nd Term Part VIII - The Thin Red Line

Interesting, thanks.

Are the Udalls and Babbitts still Gods in AZ? My wife's family thinks they're their bee's knees, even the Republican black sheep side. :)
The names still are widely recognized in AZ, but I think it's gradually fading, as there haven't been Babbitts and Udalls in the public eye very much for awhile now. But, if someone came on the ballot with one of those last names, say a next generation Babbitt or Udall, I would guess it would garner a bit more attention than some other unknown last name and probably pick up some extra votes from folks who recognize the name.
 
Re: 2nd Term Part VIII - The Thin Red Line

TC isn't stupid, he knows exactly what he's doing. He's marking this as territory that he can mine for evergreen resentment.

BTW, I love now that not ruling is "activism." We're one step closer to the mask dropping completely: when it's a ruling they don't like it's "activism," when it's a ruling they like it's "strict construction," and there's no element of honest intellectual evaluation beyond that. Geez, at least Scalia used to fake it.

Well when the truth is against you and even those on your side dont back your play you can either change your view or continue to add to the conspiracy against you. Since changing your mind is seen as weakness what other choice did the Texas Canadian have?
 
Re: 2nd Term Part VIII - The Thin Red Line

Well when the truth is against you and even those on your side dont back your play you can either change your view or continue to add to the conspiracy against you. Since changing your mind is seen as weakness what other choice did the Texas Canadian have?

Twas ever thus.

Today I have stood, where once Jefferson Davis stood, and took an oath to my people. It is very appropriate then that from this Cradle of the Confederacy, this very Heart of the Great Anglo-Saxon Southland, that today we sound the drum for freedom as have our generations of forebears before us done, time and time again through history. Let us rise to the call of freedom-loving blood that is in us and send our answer to the tyranny that clanks its chains upon the South. In the name of the greatest people that have ever trod this earth, I draw the line in the dust and toss the gauntlet before the feet of tyranny . . . and I say . . . segregation today . . . segregation tomorrow . . . segregation forever.

The Washington, D.C. school riot report is disgusting and revealing. We will not sacrifice our children to any such type school system--and you can write that down. The federal troops in Mississippi could be better used guarding the saftey of the citizens of Washington, D.C., where it is even unsafe to walk or go to a ballgame--and that is the nation's capitol. I was safer in a B-29 bomber over Japan during the war in an air raid, than the people of Washington are walking to the White House neighborhood. A closer example is Atlanta. The city officials fawn for political reasons over school integration and THEN build barricades to stop residential integration--what hypocrisy!

Let us send this message back to Washington by our representatives who are with us today . . that from this day we are standing up, and the heel of tyranny does not fit the neck of an upright man . . . that we intend to take the offensive and carry our fight for freedom across the nation, wielding the balance of power we know we possess in the Southland . . . . that WE, not the insipid bloc of voters of some sections . . will determine in the next election who shall sit in the White House of these United States . . . That from this day, from this hour . . . from this minute . . . we give the word of a race of honor that we will tolerate their boot in our face no longer . . . . and let those certain judges put that in their opium pipes of power and smoke it for what it is worth.
 
Re: 2nd Term Part VIII - The Thin Red Line

and let those certain judges put that in their opium pipes of power and smoke it for what it is worth.

It's really a shame politicians don't speak like this anymore.
 
Re: 2nd Term Part VIII - The Thin Red Line

I'm throwing this out there for our Obama experts

What if the Smartest Guy in the Room shouldn't be? It's hubris a problem for this administration?
 
Re: 2nd Term Part VIII - The Thin Red Line

What if the Smartest Guy in the Room shouldn't be? It's hubris a problem for this administration?

I think it was a problem in the beginning. In particular, the decision to firewall people with any lobbying experience from serving in the administration was, while well-intentioned, criminally naive and very hurtful to the efficient functioning of the executive during the first couple years. Part of the motivation was fulfilling the campaign promise to diminish the influence of iron triangles, which is laudable, but IMHO part of it was the White House thinking they were just so smart they could take on and reform government all by themselves. Whatever the reasons, it was bringing a knife to a gunfight and they got their butts handed to them again and again until they wised up and rescinded the restriction.

But generally speaking "hubris" is deployed as an evergreen criticism of the left by the right because it feeds that paranoid delusion that "those gol' durned college boys think they know better'n us and are comin' to take our guns and our Bibles!" Nobody wants your guns and Bibles, kitten. You can fondle them to your heart's content. Just don't think they are a viable basis for 21st century government.

"Hubris" as the perennial charge by the Echo Chamber against any Democrat is a dog whistle.
 
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