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2024 Elections: One Last Chance for Democracy

[insert usual caveats about polling here especially so early in her campaign]

Whatever foothold Trump was starting to get in Minnesota has evaporated. Faux has him down I believe 6 points here to Harris and the local ABC affiliate (a rather conservative station) has him down 10 to her.

Also, Faux has every swing state tied or around a 1 point.

Now again usual caveats in play here and of course she is getting a nice bump from stealing all of the air out of the room for almost a week so far but assuming Trump has any politicians working for him that actually know what they are sweating. I mean the dude got shot and he had his convention and he has remained flat. His Hillary like obsession with "expanding the map" is not going well at all. And if you go back to a post I made yesterday some of the places where vote.org is showing increases in registration are places like Michigan, NC, and Pennsylvania. If they aren't in Pennsyltucky he has issues. And if Harris takes another week or more to find a running mate she is going to continue to take up a lot of the press...except the stuff Trump definitely doesn't want in the cycle. (i.e. JD Vance and Project 2025)

Harris needs to take her time with this both because it will strangle his coverage and the wrong pick will kill momentum. Personally I think she needs to avoid Shapiro like the plague because of Israel. If Kelly can't fix his union issue I think you need to keep him away as well. (unless the unions, especially UAW approve) Beshear, Secretary Pete and Walz would be my short list but I am a nobody in the suburbs of Minneapolis so my opinion aint worth much.
 
"But he can't be a bigot - he's employed Jewish accountants!" :rolleyes:

My dad, always on the lookout for antisemitism (most Boomer Jews are) once said "if he hates Jews so much why did his daughter marry a Jew and convert?" and I didn't have the heart to explain to him how it was all transactional and I guarantee he puts the extra stank on Jew when he says it to anyone not named Kushner.
 
[insert usual caveats about polling here especially so early in her campaign]

Whatever foothold Trump was starting to get in Minnesota has evaporated. Faux has him down I believe 6 points here to Harris and the local ABC affiliate (a rather conservative station) has him down 10 to her.

Also, Faux has every swing state tied or around a 1 point.

Now again usual caveats in play here and of course she is getting a nice bump from stealing all of the air out of the room for almost a week so far but assuming Trump has any politicians working for him that actually know what they are sweating. I mean the dude got shot and he had his convention and he has remained flat. His Hillary like obsession with "expanding the map" is not going well at all. And if you go back to a post I made yesterday some of the places where vote.org is showing increases in registration are places like Michigan, NC, and Pennsylvania. If they aren't in Pennsyltucky he has issues. And if Harris takes another week or more to find a running mate she is going to continue to take up a lot of the press...except the stuff Trump definitely doesn't want in the cycle. (i.e. JD Vance and Project 2025)

Harris needs to take her time with this both because it will strangle his coverage and the wrong pick will kill momentum. Personally I think she needs to avoid Shapiro like the plague because of Israel. If Kelly can't fix his union issue I think you need to keep him away as well. (unless the unions, especially UAW approve) Beshear, Secretary Pete and Walz would be my short list but I am a nobody in the suburbs of Minneapolis so my opinion aint worth much.

After seeing the Shapiro Gaza mess, he's off my radar entirely.

I think the odds are completely different. Walz, Kelly if he figures out the labor issues
then cooper, then Pete

The media has found stuff on almost everyone they started to dig into. Except Walz and Pete.
 
Bloomberg says it's down to Kelly, Walz, and Shapiro.

I am not sure I trust Bloomberg...I would wait until I get it from a source that is likely closer to the Veep. I just don't see those 3 as the "Final 3" as I doubt there is one yet. To me that stinks of "Everyone else is saying these names so lets try and get in front with our hot take version".

The Shapiro thing is all so...easy. Everyone jumps to the conclusion that because Shapiro is Governor of Pennsylvania that means he can deliver the state. Conventional wisdom says otherwise. Veeps bring demos more than they bring states and what demo does Shapiro bring? Youth is already involved, Jews are already involved...so who? And does that offset the likely backlash you will get from the Tlaib crowd (who has not endorsed her last I saw) in Michigan and Philadelphia. (also has a huge Muslim population) It made sense at first but he hasn't even proven he can win another election in Pennsylvania yet let alone help on the big stage. It is just kind of lazy to me.

If Kelly can get UAW (who also has yet to endorse) to support him he makes a great pick for a dozen reasons...I just am not sure that can happen.

Walz is a great messenger and I am so far in the tank for him it is ridiculous...but I just don't know. I know he is getting a lot of press time and he is shining brightly (he was the first to call the GOP "weird" and he upsets almost no one) David Miles Hogg (gun activist) is all in on him so the youth does like him and despite looking older he is the same age as Harris roughly. And Dems do well when they have a Minnesota Veep ;)

I just don't see a final list that doesn't have Pete in it unless he is pushing someone else which wouldn't surprise me.
 
If true, great choices all. Can’t go wrong with any of them. Of those three, as a native Minnesotan, I want Walz.

Someone pointed out that all those people have been stumping for Harris positioning themselves as VP candidates. Roy Cooper has quietly been going about his gubernatorial duties with nary a peep.
 
Someone pointed out that all those people have been stumping for Harris positioning themselves as VP candidates. Roy Cooper has quietly been going about his gubernatorial duties with nary a peep.

My guess is while Cooper loves Harris there is no need for him he doesn't add much and he is 67. He seems like someone who will be in the administration if he so chooses.

Beshear is also out stumping though not nearly as much as Walz. Walz is the leader in the clubhouse when it comes to stumping...
 
Sorry I'm posting a lot...

https://www.threads.net/@griffinkyl...QGzAw3Hg4J7LlpP2EqAq0dvgFjQVUj_MbyVeFkpVsjn2w

Voto Latino says it has seen a 117% increase in Latinos registering to vote in the days since Vice President Harris announced her bid, compared to the previous week.
Voto Latino registered more than 15,000 voters from July 21-25.

The top states represented in the new registrations: Georgia, North Carolina, Arizona, Florida, and Texas.
https://punchbowl.news/archive/72624-am/card/21/#group-21

I know Trump owns the Latino vote because he did a commercial in Spanish once but this seems like good news for The Good Guys!
 
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