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2022 MidTerms & State races- who ya got?

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Kepler said:
Just between us girls I have been abusing my drinking privileges tonight, and I am starting to lose a bit of focus. When I begin quoting Cicero, from memory, very badly, you'll know I have left the building.

tl; dr: I'm pretty fucked up now and am intending to get way more before this night is over. And *I* am leading a meeting tomorrow with the FBI. So that's gonna be just fine. We're gonna talk about PII compliance. Wheeeeeeee......
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LOL I'm right there with you.

I'll quote the simpsons badly. You quote cicrero badly.

My wife just said she only just finished her first glass of wine. I think I've lapped her. Twice.
 
AZ-Sen (Kelly) seems to be running pretty much on beam with Biden's actuals (a tight D win). Masters got supercharged with Thiel bribes and it got him close, but perhaps not enough. No idea how Hobbzzzzzzzz vs the Weather Girl is going.
 
dxmnkd316 said:
I mean, I actually agree with the concept, I just disagree with the idea that we have remotely the amount of info to be as confident as Nates et al

It's why I have ALWAYS said that Lite is by far far far the best 538 model. The Deluxe is the absolute worst. It takes beautiful raw data and only fucks it up.
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It ignores the context that we are more divided than ever before.
 
dxmnkd316 said:
LOL I'm right there with you.

I'll quote the simpsons badly. You quote cicrero badly.

My wife just said she only just finished her first glass of wine. I think I've lapped her. Twice.
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Srsly, tho, the last time I can remember being this enthusiastic post-wedding was when the Mets won the pennant in 2015. And I do not plan to stop for a while. I've never actually seen a country come through like this when it mattered before. I really thought this time last night that the lights were going out.
 
Kepler said:
AZ-Sen (Kelly) seems to be running pretty much on beam with Biden's actuals (a tight D win). Masters got supercharged with Thiel bribes and it got him close, but perhaps not enough. No idea how Hobbzzzzzzzz vs the Weather Girl is going.
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Last I saw Hobbs was crushing with 50% in but who knows.

If Kelly and Fetterman wins GA "doesnt matter". (It still does but not for control)
 
IL-13 confirmed to make up for Malinowski's fuck up, so we hold serve there. GOP is now +7R to +2D on CNN so there are a bunch still not called which are trending (e.g., at least +4D).
 
Michigan is tighter than I’d like so far, though they did just call Benson for SOS. Wayne is only reporting 8%, Ingham is essentially at 0%, Washtenaw is at 50%, and Kent is at 20%, so this shouldn’t end up all that tight for the statewide races.
 
CNN now catching up with Boebert being behind, OTOH NY-17 Maloney (D) choked so that is another is another push.
 
Govs: Whitmer, Hobbs look good. Evers, Kelly are up.

Raffensperger wins GA SecStat in the only GOP win I will celebrate.
 
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