2022 MidTerms & State races- who ya got?

[Kepler]

Thank god, another dumbfuck goes down:

Incumbent Maine Gov. Janet Mills has fended off a challenge by former Republican governor Paul LePage, keeping the governorship in Democratic hands and denying the scenery-chewing LePage his attempted comeback.

 

[dxmnkd316]

WHHOOOOOOOOOOOOAAAAAAAAA NOT SO FAST

Mandela just cut his outperform number by 70%. He's now only needing 2.5% outpeform instead of like 7%+

Holy fuck.

 

[Kepler]

Dx,

I just want Warnock to hit 50%.

Not possible mathematically, although if you watch the networks you'd never know.

Jesus Fucking Christ, am I the youngest person in America who can still do long division in his head in real time?

 

[Kepler]

WHHOOOOOOOOOOOOAAAAAAAAA NOT SO FAST

Mandela just cut his outperform number by 70%. He's now only needing 2.5% outpeform instead of like 7%+

Holy fuck.

Was there a flip? Remember how we lost the 2020 NC Sen race from a "win" because somebody keyed their precinct into the reporting tool backwards?

 

[Handyman]

Warnock going to get to 49.53% of the vote. Drawing my line in the sand now.

So would that trigger a recount?

 

[dxmnkd316]

Was there a flip? Remember how we lost the 2020 NC Sen race because somebody put there precinct report backwards?

Not sure. That's a huge ass change though with that many precincts reporting.

 

[Handyman]

Angie Craig is up!

 

[dxmnkd316]

So would that trigger a recount?

No idea. Good question. I think he would need to find 21,000 votes if that were the case.

 

[Kepler]

Lots of Crudites references tonight.

 

[Kepler]

Not sure. That's a huge *** change though with that many precincts reporting.

That smells like a SW error.

 

[Kepler]

Angie Craig is up!

With Legal Marijuana Now at 3.5%.

Jesus fuck.

 

[state of hockey]

Angie Craig is up!

Hope she manages to hang on. Being a Republican is bad enough, being someone that lies about combat experience is worse.

 

[psych]

That smells like a SW error.

According to MSNBC, it was the absentee ballots in Milwaukee County. 62,000 vote dump, 55,000 went for Barnes.

 

[French Rage]

Who does a GA runoff help?
- Walker won't be on the ballot with Kemp. I think there was more enthusiasm for Kemp versus holding their nose for Walker.
- Walker doesn't get to portray it as a national vote if it's already 50-49 Dems. It becomes all about Walker, and there was not enthusiasm for Walker.

Counter-arguments?

 

[dxmnkd316]

Whoa. DOwn to 1.6% for Mandela now. THe U-shaped returns are showing their teeth.

 

[Kepler]

Barnes running 1 point under Biden, if that holds he still loses. He is outperforming Biden in Milwaukee though. Maybe enough? Jesus please. RoJo is so fucking stupid.

 

[dxmnkd316]

Evers will win. Call coming shortly
22% underperform for Evers @ 90.9%+ is insurmountable.

 

[Handyman]

Lots of votes still available in the Blue areas in Sconnie...

 

[Spartanforlife4]

That smells like a SW error.

It looks like Milwaukee went from 65% to 76% and it was like 90% for Barnes. He had been getting 65% of the vote.

 

[Handyman]

Who does a GA runoff help?
- Walker won't be on the ballot with Kemp. I think there was more enthusiasm for Kemp versus holding their nose for Walker.
- Walker doesn't get to portray it as a national vote if it's already 50-49 Dems. It becomes all about Walker, and there was not enthusiasm for Walker.

Counter-arguments?

I think you nailed it. Walker will likely lose as the Kempers won't come out for him.