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2022 MidTerms & State races- who ya got?

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Jimjamesak said:
Endless government shutdowns to look forward to.
Click to expand...

Yes. But that won't go over well with the economy not great. That was a game those irresponsible fucks could only play because we were recovering from their buddies' last skullfuck of the treasury. This time around their animus will have slowed us into recession.
 
dxmnkd316 said:
-8.9%.
Fuck me. That was hard to do. TOtally different calculation because the feed was completely different. So, -8.9% @ 67% average county reporting is good. BUt the ones with 0% in are all moderate republican counties.
Click to expand...

Wow. Here's to hoping Frisch pulls it off! FWIW, Boebert is not a good fit for that district. She's a wackadoodle, and the District is probably "only" a R+10 or so.
 
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Kepler said:
Yes. But that won't go over well with the economy not great. That was a game those irresponsible fucks could only play because we were recovering from their buddies' last skullfuck of the treasury. This time around their animus will have slowed us into recession.
Click to expand...

Yep if they shut it down and hold endless Hunter Biden hearings they will lose in '24.
 
Kepler said:
Yes. But that won't go over well with the economy not great. That was a game those irresponsible fucks could only play because we were recovering from their buddies' last skullfuck of the treasury. This time around their animus will have slowed us into recession.
Click to expand...
I'm not saying it's necessarily a bad thing, I'm just saying it's gonna happen.

Problem is they can't control the stupid and the stupid will sink any negotiated deal on a budget.
 
Look, I don't want to get ahead of myself, but GA senate is really looking good. As is Fetterman.

I'm also looking at the county-by-county results in Minnesota for Governor and I'll be honest, it's a mixed bag. I think Walz wins, but there are some not-so-good signs.
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Spartanforlife4 said:
Is there enough outstanding in Atlanta for Warnock to comeback? I see dx’s chart, but Walker keeps increasing his lead each update.
Click to expand...

DeKalb is only 70% in, they have a lead of 160K of what is in so far, and are only behind by 30K statewide. So that alone continuing would flip it and then some. Plus remember, either needs 50% for a direct win; otherwise, runoff.
 
It does turn out to have been a successful move for the Dems to push Dumpies, who are getting bent over.

But, as gross as this is, I agree with Drew. t's not a good long term strategy, because there is literally no low to which Republican voters will not sink, and if we keep doing that we will eventually have lightning strike and these Nazis will win elections. And yeah I know right now the Right is so craven and sick there's no substantive difference between Nazis and normal Republicans, but remember this a difference.

A normal Republican will say they want to genocide blacks and LGBTQs and Leftists and non-Christians, in order to gain power and wealth, because they are stupid and amoral.

But Dumpies actually are driven by their fanaticism to genocide blacks and LGBTQs and Leftists and non-Christians, because they are stupid and mentally ill.

I am glad Drew recognizes this difference.
 
Wisconsin is closer than I thought it would be at this point, but looks like Milwaukee is already over 50% in. Generally they’re later and giving huge bumps to Dems.
 
So something I haven't seen anyone talk about is the U-shaped election returns.

Everyone knows the heavy D swing for mail-in and early voting. Then come the same-day votes. but there's a very important subdivision within the same day. The middle returns are all going to be red-heavy, quick to close, quick to report. But as the night goes on, you start to have the deeply urban precincts that are heavily D where the GOP has fucked them with too few voting machines. So they have to sit in line for hours after polls close to get those results. I think the longer GA and PA hang out there, the better it is for Democrats.

The U-shaped returns are a very important characteristic.
 
Kepler said:
It does turn out to have been a successful move for the Dems to push Dumpies, who are getting bent over.

But, as gross as this is, I agree with Drew. t's not a good long term strategy, because there is literally no low to which Republican voters will not sink, and if we keep doing that we will eventually have lightning strike and these Nazis will win elections. And yeah I know right now the Right is so craven and sick there's no substantive difference between Nazis and normal Republicans, but remember this a difference.

A normal Republican will say they want to genocide blacks and LGBTQs and Leftists and non-Christians, in order to gain power and wealth, because they are stupid and amoral.

But Dumpies actually are driven by their fanaticism to genocide blacks and LGBTQs and Leftists and non-Christians, because they are stupid and mentally ill.

I am glad Drew recognizes this difference.
Click to expand...

100% agreed. It worked now, but it won't work always and it's going to fuck us hard at some point.

Sometimes you set fires to act as firebreaks. Sometimes you get burned alive by the fire you set. You really need to know what you're doing if you're going to do that.
 
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