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2022 MidTerms & State races- who ya got?

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You mean like in the last election? And in 2018? Participation by youth seems to be steadily rising...it is people our age that seem to be checking out more.

BTW some pollsters on Twitter are openly mocking the media for falling for the GOP spam polling that is out there right now. Apparently there is a lot of bad polling that is being referenced by everyone (and I guess never trust RCP as they are owned or run by Right Wingers or something) which is skewing arguments badly. Stuff is over my head but these are not partisans they are numbers people and they don't agree with any of the narratives or the sudden and abrupt shifts. Very weird to see so much nerd fighting!
 
Handyman said:
You mean like in the last election? And in 2018? Participation by youth seems to be steadily rising...it is people our age that seem to be checking out more.

BTW some pollsters on Twitter are openly mocking the media for falling for the GOP spam polling that is out there right now. Apparently there is a lot of bad polling that is being referenced by everyone (and I guess never trust RCP as they are owned or run by Right Wingers or something) which is skewing arguments badly. Stuff is over my head but these are not partisans they are numbers people and they don't agree with any of the narratives or the sudden and abrupt shifts. Very weird to see so much nerd fighting!
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The main thing is that there are far fewer non partisan polls of specific races than in years past, so all that are out there are partisan ones.

The generic ballot question is actually more prevalent, probably because it's cheaper to do. Hell, even Setzer did essentially a generic ballot question for the House races in Iowa rather than candidate-specific ones, probably because she could ask it state wide without needing to get specific numbers of respondents in each district.
 
unofan said:
The main thing is that there are far fewer non partisan polls of specific races than in years past, so all that are out there are partisan ones.

The generic ballot question is actually more prevalent, probably because it's cheaper to do. Hell, even Setzer did essentially a generic ballot question for the House races in Iowa rather than candidate-specific ones, probably because she could ask it state wide without needing to get specific numbers of respondents in each district.
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Yeah from what I could gather that was what the pollsters were saying. Most seem to think its about as 50/50 as it can get at this point taking no outside factors into account. Its interesting as a non-math nerd guy.
 
I have to assume the republican polls are inflating leads to strengthen the “fraud!!” Claims coming off any race they don’t win
 
Handyman said:
BTW some pollsters on Twitter are openly mocking the media for falling for the GOP spam polling that is out there right now. Apparently there is a lot of bad polling that is being referenced by everyone (and I guess never trust RCP as they are owned or run by Right Wingers or something) which is skewing arguments badly. Stuff is over my head but these are not partisans they are numbers people and they don't agree with any of the narratives or the sudden and abrupt shifts. Very weird to see so much nerd fighting!
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The cons are pushing that stuff to set up the narrative that Dems cheated and the election was stolen.
 
We’ve apparently all read some of the same articles noting the rise of partisan polls and dearth of non-partisan ones ahead of this election. Democrats should be getting destroyed based on Biden’s approval rating alone, much less the other midterm historical factors that influence elections, and yet, they’re a toss-up or better in the Senate, even in some of these partisan R polls. Two more years of Senate control (Democrats are almost certain to get drubbed in the Senate in 2024) will push more judges through, including maybe another Supreme Court Justice if Thomas can drop dead for the good of America, since he’s past the average lifespan of a black man.
 
Tulsi Gabbard endorses Kristi Noem in her re-election campaign, calling Noem’s opponent, Jamie Smith, an “extremist” and the reason she left the “Democrat Party.” Don’t you mean the reason you left the DemocratIC Party, you Russian sympathizer? Democrat. Kompromat. Putin’s a-shat.
Geezus, can we please beat the living fucking pulp out of these clowns in a week? Please?
 
I'd say it's a combination of being a re-tread and now having to unseat an incumbent GOP gov with the Democrats currently running the show federally. She was never going to win anyway, the GA GOP will suppress, obstruct, and challenge votes mercilessly wherever necessary.
 
FadeToBlack&Gold said:
I'd say it's a combination of being a re-tread and now having to unseat an incumbent GOP gov with the Democrats currently running the show federally. She was never going to win anyway, the GA GOP will suppress, obstruct, and challenge votes mercilessly wherever necessary.
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Yes, those parts I get, but we also forget that all Primitive Cultures stress machismo and violence, not just white rednecks and Prairietards. There are a lot of black farmers in Georgia, and they have the Jesus mindrot bad.



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I'll bet pro-choice isn't a big winner among them, either.

The irony of the Right getting racist chocolate in its fundyfuck peanut butter is poor blacks and particularly rural black males are a perfect seedbed for their stupidity, if only they could restrain themselves from throwing around the N word like meth, STDs, and daughters' pregnancies.
 
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