Re: 2020 Democratic Challengers: Who ISN'T Running At This Point?
I'm a little curious about the Brown race. It doesn't seem to me like they didn't try to contest it. It seems like the race never closed for them enough to not say "screw it" and focus elsewhere. Given that they invested in and won a high profile governor's face, clearly the GOP was engaged in Ohio last year and its not like them to give an arch progressive like Brown a free pass.
So what I'm curious about is where Brown's voters are coming from? He's either 1) winning crossover voters who are otherwise voting GOP, which would be interesting since again he's no Joe Manchin, or 2) lefties are coming out to vote for him and only him, and sitting out most other elections. Might be worth the time and effort to figure that out. I don't disagree with you about Ohio's rightward drift but its a good place to see if we can assemble a different coalition to win elections instead of relying on union members to use one example.
Move Ohio from your first list to your second one. I can't imagine there is a democrat running that will be within the margin of error when the votes are counted in November 2020. This state is lost. I don't mean it is lost to democrats, I mean it is lost. Don't be fooled by Sherrod Brown's 5 or 6 point win last November. He won because of incumbency and because the republicans did not bother trying to beat him because they are stupid. Had the party targeted the state and put funding and a viable candidate on the ballot, Brown would have been in for trouble. At best they'd still be counting the votes. I see more confederate flags here than I do in Alabama.
I'm a little curious about the Brown race. It doesn't seem to me like they didn't try to contest it. It seems like the race never closed for them enough to not say "screw it" and focus elsewhere. Given that they invested in and won a high profile governor's face, clearly the GOP was engaged in Ohio last year and its not like them to give an arch progressive like Brown a free pass.
So what I'm curious about is where Brown's voters are coming from? He's either 1) winning crossover voters who are otherwise voting GOP, which would be interesting since again he's no Joe Manchin, or 2) lefties are coming out to vote for him and only him, and sitting out most other elections. Might be worth the time and effort to figure that out. I don't disagree with you about Ohio's rightward drift but its a good place to see if we can assemble a different coalition to win elections instead of relying on union members to use one example.