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2018 Midterms 2: I Need A Drink!
- Thread starter Handyman
- Start date
Re: 2018 Midterms 2: I Need A Drink!
But Scooby said....
Anyway, yes I agree. I find it funny when pundidiots say the Dems have no message aside from anti-Trump when by and large they ran their swing district races with nary a mention of him. Dems have two BIG issues to run on. 1) Healthcare, where the GOP is in total retreat, and 2) Voting rights. Both of these issues completely unify the Dem base from Manchin to Sanders and everyone in between. Everyone is in favor of the continued Medicaid expansion on the left, and on the right 3 more dark red states quietly voted via public referendum for expansion as well (Utah, Idaho and Nebraska). When its all said and done only 13 states will be left not taking part and I'd suspect Kansas (who's legislature passed a bill that Brownback vetoed) and Wisconsin may soon join them with Dem Gov's at the helm.
But Scooby said....
Anyway, yes I agree. I find it funny when pundidiots say the Dems have no message aside from anti-Trump when by and large they ran their swing district races with nary a mention of him. Dems have two BIG issues to run on. 1) Healthcare, where the GOP is in total retreat, and 2) Voting rights. Both of these issues completely unify the Dem base from Manchin to Sanders and everyone in between. Everyone is in favor of the continued Medicaid expansion on the left, and on the right 3 more dark red states quietly voted via public referendum for expansion as well (Utah, Idaho and Nebraska). When its all said and done only 13 states will be left not taking part and I'd suspect Kansas (who's legislature passed a bill that Brownback vetoed) and Wisconsin may soon join them with Dem Gov's at the helm.
ScoobyDoo
NPC
Re: 2018 Midterms 2: I Need A Drink!
Minnesota got the House back. The Senate stayed Red. Minnesota also stayed 5-3 on Federal Reps. Which means we had (4) flips, two red, two blue. We may not be going red but we're not exorcising the demon either.
But Scooby said....
Anyway, yes I agree. I find it funny when pundidiots say the Dems have no message aside from anti-Trump when by and large they ran their swing district races with nary a mention of him. Dems have two BIG issues to run on. 1) Healthcare, where the GOP is in total retreat, and 2) Voting rights. Both of these issues completely unify the Dem base from Manchin to Sanders and everyone in between. Everyone is in favor of the continued Medicaid expansion on the left, and on the right 3 more dark red states quietly voted via public referendum for expansion as well (Utah, Idaho and Nebraska). When its all said and done only 13 states will be left not taking part and I'd suspect Kansas (who's legislature passed a bill that Brownback vetoed) and Wisconsin may soon join them with Dem Gov's at the helm.
Minnesota got the House back. The Senate stayed Red. Minnesota also stayed 5-3 on Federal Reps. Which means we had (4) flips, two red, two blue. We may not be going red but we're not exorcising the demon either.
Re: 2018 Midterms 2: I Need A Drink!
Shocking, what you would have done would have resulted in vacancies that were filled by Obama instead being filled by Trump.
Hey, who cares if McConnell comes away with total victory, so long as he can't point the finger at me later!
Shocking, what you would have done would have resulted in vacancies that were filled by Obama instead being filled by Trump.
Hey, who cares if McConnell comes away with total victory, so long as he can't point the finger at me later!
Handyman
Hug someone you care about...
Re: 2018 Midterms 2: I Need A Drink!
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-lang="en"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">The House race in Georgia's 6th was called for Lucy McBath this morning. McBath's win over Republican Karen Handel flips the seat to Democrats. <a href="https://t.co/PxcYcshedx">https://t.co/PxcYcshedx</a> <a href="https://t.co/e4ySWNZzNm">pic.twitter.com/e4ySWNZzNm</a></p>— POLITICO (@politico) <a href="https://twitter.com/politico/status/1060578926051975168?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">November 8, 2018</a></blockquote>
<script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-lang="en"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">The House race in Georgia's 6th was called for Lucy McBath this morning. McBath's win over Republican Karen Handel flips the seat to Democrats. <a href="https://t.co/PxcYcshedx">https://t.co/PxcYcshedx</a> <a href="https://t.co/e4ySWNZzNm">pic.twitter.com/e4ySWNZzNm</a></p>— POLITICO (@politico) <a href="https://twitter.com/politico/status/1060578926051975168?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">November 8, 2018</a></blockquote>
<script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
Re: 2018 Midterms 2: I Need A Drink!
Ummm....Scoobs the state Senate "stayed Red" because there was only 1 race on the ballot! Do you work for Fox News?
Ummm....Scoobs the state Senate "stayed Red" because there was only 1 race on the ballot! Do you work for Fox News?
ScoobyDoo
NPC
Re: 2018 Midterms 2: I Need A Drink!
Fair enough. Still disappointed we netted zero gains at the Federal Level.
Fair enough. Still disappointed we netted zero gains at the Federal Level.
Handyman
Hug someone you care about...
Re: 2018 Midterms 2: I Need A Drink!
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-cards="hidden" data-lang="en"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">JUST IN: Gillum may ask for recount in Florida governor's race <a href="https://t.co/3vV8cMwVlr">https://t.co/3vV8cMwVlr</a> <a href="https://t.co/l5RubSkVhA">pic.twitter.com/l5RubSkVhA</a></p>— The Hill (@thehill) <a href="https://twitter.com/thehill/status/1060578701035880448?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">November 8, 2018</a></blockquote>
<script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
Oh goody...
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-cards="hidden" data-lang="en"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">JUST IN: Gillum may ask for recount in Florida governor's race <a href="https://t.co/3vV8cMwVlr">https://t.co/3vV8cMwVlr</a> <a href="https://t.co/l5RubSkVhA">pic.twitter.com/l5RubSkVhA</a></p>— The Hill (@thehill) <a href="https://twitter.com/thehill/status/1060578701035880448?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">November 8, 2018</a></blockquote>
<script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
Oh goody...
ScoobyDoo
NPC
FadeToBlack&Gold
Microlot Marxist
Re: 2018 Midterms 2: I Need A Drink!
Who wants a recount?
Who! Who! Who Who!
Who wants a recount?
Who! Who! Who Who!
Who wants a recount?
Who! Who! Who Who!
Who wants a recount?
Who! Who! Who Who!
Re: 2018 Midterms 2: I Need A Drink!
Don't be. Minny did its job offsetting 2 probably losses by booting out 2 incumbent Goopers one of which was particularly loathsome. Then console yourself with a 35-40 seat pickup for Dems in the House, which is outstanding considering that extreme gerrymanders in places like OH, WI and NC stopped them from picking up any Congressional seats in these states. The North Carolina gerrymander isn't long for this world now that the Dems solidified their hold on the state Supreme Court. Time will tell on the other two (Dems would need to win another WI state supreme court seat IIRC before a lawsuit would prevail).
Don't be. Minny did its job offsetting 2 probably losses by booting out 2 incumbent Goopers one of which was particularly loathsome. Then console yourself with a 35-40 seat pickup for Dems in the House, which is outstanding considering that extreme gerrymanders in places like OH, WI and NC stopped them from picking up any Congressional seats in these states. The North Carolina gerrymander isn't long for this world now that the Dems solidified their hold on the state Supreme Court. Time will tell on the other two (Dems would need to win another WI state supreme court seat IIRC before a lawsuit would prevail).
ScoobyDoo
NPC
Re: 2018 Midterms 2: I Need A Drink!
On the positive side they're both automatic now.
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-lang="en"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Those Florida races getting extremely tight:<br><br>Scott: 50.1%<br>Nelson: 49.9%<br><br>DeSantis: 49.6%<br>Gillum: 49.1%<br><br>Both currently within 0.5% margin to spark automatic recount.</p>— Jim Sciutto (@jimsciutto) <a href="https://twitter.com/jimsciutto/status/1060545135480594432?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">November 8, 2018</a></blockquote>
<script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
On the positive side they're both automatic now.
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-lang="en"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Those Florida races getting extremely tight:<br><br>Scott: 50.1%<br>Nelson: 49.9%<br><br>DeSantis: 49.6%<br>Gillum: 49.1%<br><br>Both currently within 0.5% margin to spark automatic recount.</p>— Jim Sciutto (@jimsciutto) <a href="https://twitter.com/jimsciutto/status/1060545135480594432?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">November 8, 2018</a></blockquote>
<script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
Kepler
Si certus es dubita
Re: 2018 Midterms 2: I Need A Drink!
House D+37
Gov D+7
State Leg Seats D+350
State Leg Chambers D+6
In Senate races we went 23-12. We'd have needed to go 25-10 just to hold serve.
This was a blue wave, it just wasn't a tsunami. I don't know what people expected.
Do you mean overall?
House D+37
Gov D+7
State Leg Seats D+350
State Leg Chambers D+6
In Senate races we went 23-12. We'd have needed to go 25-10 just to hold serve.
This was a blue wave, it just wasn't a tsunami. I don't know what people expected.
FadeToBlack&Gold
Microlot Marxist
mookie1995
there's a good buck in that racket.
Handyman
Hug someone you care about...
dxmnkd316
Lucia Apologist
Re: 2018 Midterms 2: I Need A Drink!
Exactly. It’s the state legislatures that matter at his point. Given the number of seats that separated us from republicans being able to rewrite the constitution, this was some much needed breathing room.
Exactly. It’s the state legislatures that matter at his point. Given the number of seats that separated us from republicans being able to rewrite the constitution, this was some much needed breathing room.
ScoobyDoo
NPC
Re: 2018 Midterms 2: I Need A Drink!
Minnesota stayed 5-3 for Federal Reps. We have one rural Dem left and when he retires that district will go full derp as well.
Minnesota stayed 5-3 for Federal Reps. We have one rural Dem left and when he retires that district will go full derp as well.
French Rage
NICKERSON HAS [CENSORED]
Re: 2018 Midterms 2: I Need A Drink!
In the end, trying to extract a trend from the Senate results, versus the House results, in kind of pointless. With the House, you have everything up for grabs, so the end result is a decent correlation with what is happening (though maybe not perfect due to things like gerrymandering). With the Senate, you're trying to infer things off of a third; in this case, a really one-sided third; you're more comparing with 2006 and 2012, both really odd years, than you are with 2016.
In the end, trying to extract a trend from the Senate results, versus the House results, in kind of pointless. With the House, you have everything up for grabs, so the end result is a decent correlation with what is happening (though maybe not perfect due to things like gerrymandering). With the Senate, you're trying to infer things off of a third; in this case, a really one-sided third; you're more comparing with 2006 and 2012, both really odd years, than you are with 2016.