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2018 Atlantic Hurricane Thread - the Cat is out of the bag!

Re: 2018 Atlantic Hurricane Thread - the Cat is out of the bag!

GrinCDXX said:
Yes, I'm sure. Saying "it's currently predicted" is not the same thing as claiming it's going to happen. In fact, his use of the word "currently" implicitly acknowledges the presence of uncertainty.

edit: And more: "These are very long range forecasts". Why do you think he added that qualification, genius?
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Thank you.

GrinCDXX said:
Whether or not his post was accurate is beside the point, which is that he didn't claim what you said he claimed.
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Also thank you.

Regarding the accuracy of my post, I posted a picture that shows a model forecasting the typhoon making landfall something like 10 miles from downtown hong kong. He just ignored it.
 
Re: 2018 Atlantic Hurricane Thread - the Cat is out of the bag!

A professional weather forecaster is arguing about weather forecasting models, and trying to score technical points on a model displayed earlier in the discussion from a PM that works for Tacky and Abrasive. If this isn't the internet in a nutshell, I don't know what is.
 
Re: 2018 Atlantic Hurricane Thread - the Cat is out of the bag!

St. Clown said:
A professional weather forecaster is arguing about weather forecasting models, and trying to score technical points on a model displayed earlier in the discussion from a PM that works for Tacky and Abrasive. If this isn't the internet in a nutshell, I don't know what is.
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I'm not sure if you're trying to say:
1. A professional is always right and can't be wrong about something (you're smarter than this, so I doubt it)
2. This professional is trying to own someone on the minutia of a topic the OP isn't a professional on (If so, ok...)
3. *Yakkety sax* (most likely)
 
Re: 2018 Atlantic Hurricane Thread - the Cat is out of the bag!

Mostly 3, a little 2. But mostly 3.
 
Re: 2018 Atlantic Hurricane Thread - the Cat is out of the bag!

dxmnkd316 said:
Regarding the accuracy of my post, I posted a picture that shows a model forecasting the typhoon making landfall something like 10 miles from downtown hong kong. He just ignored it.
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No, I pointed out that it didn't show anything remotely close to what you thought it did, but you ignored that.
 
Re: 2018 Atlantic Hurricane Thread - the Cat is out of the bag!

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">This is not a river. It is Interstate 40 in North Carolina with a boat on it. <a href="https://t.co/I8PUlwYC5W">https://t.co/I8PUlwYC5W</a></p>— IDOT (@IDOT_Illinois) <a href="https://twitter.com/IDOT_Illinois/status/1042086224679325698?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">September 18, 2018</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
 
Re: 2018 Atlantic Hurricane Thread - the Cat is out of the bag!

Cat 2 or 3 for Michael at landfall. Long Range GFS model shows Leslie heading back to Casablanca.
 
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