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2017 MLB Season - The Goat Memorial Thread

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Re: 2017 MLB Season - The Goat Memorial Thread

David Price to the DL with an elbow issue.

Now he's got more time to run his mouth at Dennis Eckersley.
 
Re: 2017 MLB Season - The Goat Memorial Thread

He's hitting .423 when you eliminate strikeouts. That's probably close enough for purposes of this conversation.

If you're going to hit .400 you'd better figure on an absolute minimum of 240 hits if you're going to stay healthy all year. And if you're at the top of the lineup, that's probably not enough, as you'll likely exceed 600 AB's. So at least 250 hits over a full season. That's over a hit-and-a-half per game. All year.

There's a reason no one has hit .400 in 76 years, 87 years in the NL. Even Tony Gwynn was at .394 during the strike year of 1994. He probably wasn't going to top .380 that year.
 
Re: 2017 MLB Season - The Goat Memorial Thread

His BABIP is almost .400 which is absurdly high. He's going to come back down. A BABIP of 0.400 is not sustainable.
 
Re: 2017 MLB Season - The Goat Memorial Thread

Last season Altuve led the AL at .338 over 640 AB's. He was 40 hits short of hitting .400.

He's already 14 hits off the pace this year, and we're not in August yet.
 
Re: 2017 MLB Season - The Goat Memorial Thread

And before you respond, the highest BABIP since 2010 was .369 by Miguel Sano in 2015 and .359 by Mike Trout once and one other guy.
 
Re: 2017 MLB Season - The Goat Memorial Thread

I look at it this way: 250 hits is just under 10 hits per week. Every single week. Any kind of slump, and it's game over.
 
Re: 2017 MLB Season - The Goat Memorial Thread

Williams BABIP in '41 was .378, which Gwynn surpassed in '94 with .394.

The biggest thing, besides the random drop in 60 plate appearances compared to the year before despite the same number of games played, was walks. His 24% BB% I can really only find being surpassed by Bonds with all the intentional walks. Gwynn was only at 10% and Altuve is currently at 9%.
 
Re: 2017 MLB Season - The Goat Memorial Thread

.400 is tough, but I think we are over estimating what it takes. Although a guy with 600 pa is going to struggle to get close.

It only takes 502 plate appearances to qualify for the batting title, which is my standard for saying you hit .400 in a full season.

That's 201 hits IF every pa was an at-bat. But it never is. Add in 50 walks and you only need 181 hits. Then you have the other random things that count as pa but not at bats. So you can shave off a few more hits.
 
Re: 2017 MLB Season - The Goat Memorial Thread

Baseball has hemlines and someday the hemlines will be like the 1930s and whole teams will hit .300 and somebody (probably multiple somebodies) will hit .400, just like someday whole teams will hit .225 and somebody will throw 2 straight no hitters.
 
Re: 2017 MLB Season - The Goat Memorial Thread

With starters only going 6 innings followed by bullpen specialists, 300 is difficult.
 
Re: 2017 MLB Season - The Goat Memorial Thread

Let the Twins selling begin:

Report: Twins agree to trade Jaime Garcia to Yankees
Michael BradburnJul 30 2017, 7:56 AM
With rumors swirling in the small hours of Sunday morning that the Minnesota Twins would trade Jaime Garcia, the New York Yankees have reportedly reached an agreement to acquire the 31-year-old left-hander according to a report from Jon Heyman of FanRag.
 
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