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2015 Atlantic Hurricane Season: Non-Minnesotans arguing about the weather...

Re: 2015 Atlantic Hurricane Season: Non-Minnesotans arguing about the weather...

11pm NHC projection sends it out to sea.

NHC has done a worse job with this storm than any storm I can remember in the last several years.

Their 1st forecast for this storm, issued Sunday night at 11pm, was that it would never reach tropical storm strength, and would dissipate a few hundred miles off the North Carolina coastline on Thursday. They were only off by about 500 miles on their position and 100 mph on their intensity.
 
Re: 2015 Atlantic Hurricane Season: Non-Minnesotans arguing about the weather...

Even though it looks like we'll just be getting heavy rain all weekend, I hope all of you along the east coast stay safe and dry. Dr. Mrs. and I have a pledge not to leave the house. Which is pretty easy right now because out of three access roads one's under water, one's closed for road work, and the third is starting to look like the Nile delta.
 
Even though it looks like we'll just be getting heavy rain all weekend, I hope all of you along the east coast stay safe and dry. Dr. Mrs. and I have a pledge not to leave the house. Which is pretty easy right now because out of three access roads one's under water, one's closed for road work, and the third is starting to look like the Nile delta.
Boat?
 
Re: 2015 Atlantic Hurricane Season: Non-Minnesotans arguing about the weather...

Even though it looks like we'll just be getting heavy rain all weekend, I hope all of you along the east coast stay safe and dry. Dr. Mrs. and I have a pledge not to leave the house. Which is pretty easy right now because out of three access roads one's under water, one's closed for road work, and the third is starting to look like the Nile delta.
At times one really wonders why they built a town there. At least you are up a hill (and having ridden my bike up it, although not in several years, it's a nice hill. :D)
 
Re: 2015 Atlantic Hurricane Season: Non-Minnesotans arguing about the weather...

At times one really wonders why they built a town there. At least you are up a hill (and having ridden my bike up it, although not in several years, it's a nice hill. :D)

The town's only here because of the depot. The depot's here because of the flippin' rain. The C&O built a station here because it makes sense -- the more rain the better. The B&O was trying to drive them out of business so they built a depot here to start a rate war. 150 years later, the **** town's still here.
 
Re: 2015 Atlantic Hurricane Season: Non-Minnesotans arguing about the weather...


It states that the study includes storms starting in 1950. The first hurricanes named for men were in 1979. I suspect that I recent years there are fewer deaths due to more information getting out. So that data appears to me to be skewed because the years with hurricanes causing more deaths had only hurricanes named for women.


Edit: The follow-up makes the same point.
 
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Re: 2015 Atlantic Hurricane Season: Non-Minnesotans arguing about the weather...

Not Atlantic, but...

Patricia -- the strongest hurricane ever recorded -- barreled closer and closer Friday morning to Mexico's Pacific coast, where residents have been told to brace for its 200-mph sustained winds and torrential rains.

The Miami-based meteorological center, in its 10 a.m. CT (11 a.m. ET) advisory, warned of a "potentially catastrophic landfall ... in southwestern Mexico" late that afternoon or early evening. While its strength could fluctuate, "Patricia is expected to remain an extremely dangerous Category 5 hurricane through landfall."

Patricia has potential to cause massive death and destruction over a large swath of the Mexican Pacific coast, including the tourist hot spots of Puerto Vallarta and Acapulco.

Citing observations by hurricane hunters, Patricia is "the strongest hurricane on record in the National Hurricane Center's area of responsibility (AOR) which includes the Atlantic and the eastern North Pacific basins," according to a Friday morning forecast discussion.
 
Re: 2015 Atlantic Hurricane Season: Non-Minnesotans arguing about the weather...

To elaborate...

In addition to its unprecedented 200-mph (320-kph) sustained winds, Hurricane Patricia now holds the record for lowest pressure in any hurricane on record. With a minimum central pressure of 880 millibars (25.99 inches of mercury) at the 4 a.m. CDT advisory, Patricia broke the record of 882 millibars set by Wilma almost exactly 10 years ago.
 
Re: 2015 Atlantic Hurricane Season: Non-Minnesotans arguing about the weather...

The one saving grace is that though insanely strong near its center, Patricia is also very small. On the weather channel (yes, I know) they were comparing it to a tornado in terms of extreme destructiveness but very limited area of effect. Puerto Vallarta, for example, will probably escape damage unless the hurricane path changes and goes right over it, in which case a quarter million people are f-cked.
 
Re: 2015 Atlantic Hurricane Season: Non-Minnesotans arguing about the weather...

It looks like the remnants of Patricia have reached Manhattan. I don't know if I've ever seen it darker in the morning than it was today, the sky was so heavily overcast. (even if it is from a Pacific Hurricane....)
 
Re: 2015 Atlantic Hurricane Season: Non-Minnesotans arguing about the weather...

It looks like the remnants of Patricia have reached Manhattan. I don't know if I've ever seen it darker in the morning than it was today, the sky was so heavily overcast. (even if it is from a Pacific Hurricane....)

Did you check an old firehouse and a penthouse apartment for unusual activity?
 
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