Re: 2011-2012 UNH Wildcats
Unfortunately, it doesn't consider trending things like recently awful goaltending as well as injuries.
Being a mathematician, I've been playing with the CHODR statistical model. I like it because in contrast to most models that assess wins and losses in one way or another, this one considers goals for and goals against.
CHODR predicts 3.61 BU to 3.50 UNH tomorrow night. Essentially a draw, with the slightest favor to BU
A variant on the model that I've been working with which considers strictly away games for BU and strictly home games for UNH predicts 2.98 BU to 4.68 UNH.
Unfortunately, it doesn't consider trending things like recently awful goaltending as well as injuries.