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2011-12 DIII Rutter Computer Rankings

L

LakersFan

Registered User
For games played through October 30, 2011

Code: 
 	Team 	Rating 	
1 	RIT 		3.0132 
2 	Plattsburgh 	2.1643 	
3 	Middlebury 	1.9683 
4 	Norwich 	1.8548 	
5 	Amherst 	1.7891 
6 	Wis-River Falls 1.7240 
7 	Adrian 	        1.6237 	
8 	Trinity 	1.4814 	
9 	Gustavus Ad.	1.3014 	
10 	Elmira 		1.1042

My ranking system is based on result only, no margin of victory. Home ice is not included, but strength of schedule is. I use a Bayesian approach, using last years results as a prior for this year's ratings. As more games are played, the less the impact of the prior. For my information, and the rest of the rankings, check out http://math.bd.psu.edu/faculty/rutter/D3_Rankings.html.
 
Re: 2011-12 DIII Rutter Computer Rankings

For games played through November 6, 2011

Code: 
  	Team 	Rating 
1 	RIT 	        3.1284 	
2 	Wis-RF 	        2.4547 	
3 	Middlebury 	1.9660 	
4 	Norwich 	1.9368 	
5 	Gustavus Adol. 	1.8734 	
6 	Plattsburgh 	1.8512 
7 	Amherst 	1.7867 
8 	Trinity 	1.4845 
9 	Saint Anselm 	1.3982 	
10 	Adrian 	        1.1931
 
Re: 2011-12 DIII Rutter Computer Rankings

LakersFan said:
For games played through November 6, 2011

Code: 
  	Team 	Rating 
1 	RIT 	        3.1284 	
2 	Wis-RF 	        2.4547 	
3 	Middlebury 	1.9660 	
4 	Norwich 	1.9368 	
5 	Gustavus Adol. 	1.8734 	
6 	Plattsburgh 	1.8512 
7 	Amherst 	1.7867 
8 	Trinity 	1.4845 
9 	Saint Anselm 	1.3982 	
10 	Adrian 	        1.1931
Click to expand...


Ugh... :(
 
Re: 2011-12 DIII Rutter Computer Rankings

Remember...surveys are for chumps...especially one this early in the season when some "ranked" teams havent even played yet.
 
Re: 2011-12 DIII Rutter Computer Rankings

For games played through November 13, 2011

Code: 
  	Team 	        Rating 	
1 	RIT 	        3.1287 	
2 	Wis-R.F. 	2.6202 	
3 	Norwich 	2.0161 	
4 	Gustavus Adol. 	2.0060 	
5 	Middlebury 	1.9677 	
6 	Amherst 	1.7865 	
7 	Plattsburgh 	1.6601 
8 	Trinity 	1.4799 
9 	Holy Cross 	1.4468 	
10 	Elmira 	        1.3343
 
Re: 2011-12 DIII Rutter Computer Rankings

Not quite sure what all those numbers mean
But sure did enjoy Derik Dunnings Weekend Rewind
 
Re: 2011-12 DIII Rutter Computer Rankings

For games played through November 20, 2011

Code: 
  	Team 	Rating 
1 	RIT 	        3.2426	
2 	Wis-River Falls 2.6424 	
3 	Middlebury 	2.1847 	
4 	Norwich 	2.1834 
5 	Gustavus Adol. 	2.1784 	
6 	Amherst 	2.0903 
7 	Plattsburgh 	1.8399 	
8 	Holy Cross 	1.6363 
9 	Elmira 	        1.5643 
10 	Trinity 	1.0515
 
Re: 2011-12 DIII Rutter Computer Rankings

For games played through November 27, 2011

Code: 
  	Team 	Rating 	
1 	RIT 	        3.2301 	
2 	Wis-River Falls 2.6918 
3 	Middlebury 	2.3277 	
4 	Norwich 	2.3074 	
5 	Gustavus Ado. 	2.1889 	
6 	Elmira 	        2.0455 
7 	Amherst 	1.8864 	
8 	Holy Cross 	1.4891 
9 	Plattsburgh 	1.3266 	
10 	Concordia (MN) 	0.8326
 
Re: 2011-12 DIII Rutter Computer Rankings

LakersFan said:
For games played through November 27, 2011

Code: 
  	Team 	Rating 	
1 	RIT 	        3.2301 	
2 	Wis-River Falls 2.6918 
3 	Middlebury 	2.3277 	
4 	Norwich 	2.3074 	
5 	Gustavus Ado. 	2.1889 	
6 	Elmira 	        2.0455 
7 	Amherst 	1.8864 	
8 	Holy Cross 	1.4891 
9 	Plattsburgh 	1.3266 	
10 	Concordia (MN) 	0.8326
Click to expand...

Last year's news. Is Holy Cross D3 or are they one of those convenience type schools? :)
 
Re: 2011-12 DIII Rutter Computer Rankings

CanHockGuy said:
Last year's news. Is Holy Cross D3 or are they one of those convenience type schools? :)
Click to expand...

They are in there since they play a D3 schedule. It helps with ranking of others, specially early in the season, as it adds data points for the teams HC faces. For the purposes of D3 rankings, you can kind of ignore them. Similarly they are not eligible for D3 playoffs.
 
Re: 2011-12 DIII Rutter Computer Rankings

OnMAA said:
They are in there since they play a D3 schedule. It helps with ranking of others, specially early in the season, as it adds data points for the teams HC faces. For the purposes of D3 rankings, you can kind of ignore them. Similarly they are not eligible for D3 playoffs.
Click to expand...

Not eligible for D-III playoffs yet eligible for Division III All-American awards...go figure...:rolleyes:
 
Re: 2011-12 DIII Rutter Computer Rankings

PrezdeJohnson09 said:
Not eligible for D-III playoffs yet eligible for Division III All-American awards...go figure...:rolleyes:
Click to expand...
..Hey, God needs a little love too...can't always be about guns, cannons, bling, pomp and pennants...character counts and is measured by more than the chevrons on one's sleeve...
 
Re: 2011-12 DIII Rutter Computer Rankings

For games played through December 4th

Code: 
	Team	         Rating
1 	RIT 	        3.0853 	
2 	Middlebury 	2.3590 
3 	Gustavus Adol. 	2.2363 
4 	Elmira 	        2.0465 	
5 	Wis-River Falls 2.0440 	
6 	Amherst 	1.9145 	
7 	Norwich 	1.8443 	
8 	Plattsburgh 	1.2022 	
9 	Holy Cross 	1.1581 	
10 	Concordia (MN) 	1.1107
 
Re: 2011-12 DIII Rutter Computer Rankings

LakersFan said:
For games played through December 4th

Code: 
	Team	         Rating
1 	RIT 	        3.0853 	
2 	Middlebury 	2.3590 
3 	Gustavus Adol. 	2.2363 
4 	Elmira 	        2.0465 	
5 	Wis-River Falls 2.0440 	
6 	Amherst 	1.9145 	
7 	Norwich 	1.8443 	
8 	Plattsburgh 	1.2022 	
9 	Holy Cross 	1.1581 	
10 	Concordia (MN) 	1.1107
Click to expand...

Wow...guess that tie against Salve really hurt Norwich...
 
Re: 2011-12 DIII Rutter Computer Rankings

PrezdeJohnson09 said:
Wow...guess that tie against Salve really hurt Norwich...
Click to expand...

Correct me if I'm wrong but this is about the time where the Rutter kicks in (save NESCAC due to its schedy)... for the most part it's purged itself of last years results.

Clinical from here on in...pure math as no people/emotions are involved.

I kinda like that and so will River Falls :),

Open the pod doors...Hal. ;)
 
Last edited:
Re: 2011-12 DIII Rutter Computer Rankings

For games played through December 11, 2012

Code: 
  	Team 	Rating 	
1 	RIT 		3.2928 	
2 	Gustavus Adol.	2.1258 
3 	Wis-River Falls 2.0889 	
4 	Norwich 	2.0164 	
5 	Elmira 		1.9662 	
6 	Amherst 	1.8228 	
7 	Middlebury 	1.8182 	
8 	Concordia (MN) 	1.1700 	
9 	Plattsburgh 	1.1507 	
10 	Holy Cross 	0.9193

5_4_Fighting, the impact of the prior is starting to become minimized at this point in the season, but it is still having some influence since RIT is undefeated. Without the prior, RIT's rating would approach infinity (well, more likely some random really large number) since it is undefeated. This tends to happen every year in DIII as one or two teams have perfect records for a long stretch and their ratings start to balloon compared to the DI ratings.
 
Re: 2011-12 DIII Rutter Computer Rankings

LakersFan said:
For games played through December 11, 2012

Code: 
  	Team 	Rating 	
1 	RIT 		3.2928 	
2 	Gustavus Adol.	2.1258 
3 	Wis-River Falls 2.0889 	
4 	Norwich 	2.0164 	
5 	Elmira 		1.9662 	
6 	Amherst 	1.8228 	
7 	Middlebury 	1.8182 	
8 	Concordia (MN) 	1.1700 	
9 	Plattsburgh 	1.1507 	
10 	Holy Cross 	0.9193

5_4_Fighting, the impact of the prior is starting to become minimized at this point in the season, but it is still having some influence since RIT is undefeated. Without the prior, RIT's rating would approach infinity (well, more likely some random really large number) since it is undefeated. This tends to happen every year in DIII as one or two teams have perfect records for a long stretch and their ratings start to balloon compared to the DI ratings.
Click to expand...

Thanks LF for the explanation and all you do. Much appreciated...
 
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