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116th Congress: F-cker WAS Impeached. Still not enough.

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French Rage said:
Yeah they do a great job with the totals there, but could do a slightly better job outlining the changes in party. But it forecasts Dems going from 233 to 237 so your picks look correct.
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It is a testament to the art of gerrymandering that a generational wave election may result in single digit House changes. Talk about the Members choosing their voters. :-(

In 1894 the House changed from 198 D - 143 R (42% R) to 93 D - 253 R (72% R). A 30% shift in today's House would be a 131-seat shift.
 
Kepler said:
It is a testament to the art of gerrymandering that a generational wave election may result in single digit House changes. Talk about the Members choosing their voters. :-(

In 1894 the House changed from 198 D - 143 R (42% R) to 93 D - 253 R (72% R). A 30% shift in today's House would be a 131-seat shift.
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But we already know those variables (races) are somewhat independent. SOmeone might vote Biden for POTUS and GOP for another seat to balance out the power held by dems.
 
dxmnkd316 said:
But we already know those variables (races) are somewhat independent. SOmeone might vote Biden for POTUS and GOP for another seat to balance out the power held by dems.
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Conversely, the set of all House races are not entirely independent. There are waves, and a late blue break could throw another 8-10 House decisions (and 2+ Senate races) to blue. Let's hope so.

Kill the Nazis; save the world.
 
The GOP broke their own Senate fundraising records. And the Dems still trounced them.

In the top 14 races across the country, Democrats more than doubled Republicans' fundraising haul.
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Weirdly enough, a lot of people seem not to like Nazis.
 
rufus said:
But it's Biden who's the addle-pated idiot.
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projection-fb-share-image.jpg
 
Kepler said:
In 1894 the House changed from 198 D - 143 R (42% R) to 93 D - 253 R (72% R). A 30% shift in today's House would be a 131-seat shift.
Click to expand...

That was due to Republicans successfully campaigning that Democrats caused the Panic of 1893.

Economic crashes used to mean something.
 
FadeToBlack&Gold said:
This. GA is not electing a D senator - yet.
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538 says maybe.

Dems

.83 CO (Hickenlooper-D over Gardner-R)
.80 AZ (Kelly-D over McSally-R)
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.67 NC (Cunningham-D over Tillis-R)
.63 ME (Gideon-D over Collins-R)
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.54 IA (Greenfield-D over Ernst-R)
.49 GA (Warnock-D vs either Loeffler-Ri or Collins-R)
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.33 MT (Bullock-D vs Daines-Ri)
.29 GA (Ossoff-D vs Perdue-Ri)
.27 KS (Bollier-D vs Marshall-R)
.23 AK (Gross-D vs Sullivan-Ri)
.22 SC (Harrison-D vs Graham-Ri)
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.14 TX (Hegar-D vs Cornyn-Ri)
.12 MS (Espy-D vs Hyde-Smith-Ri)
.04 KY (McGrath-D vs McConnell-Ri)
.04 LA (Perkins-D vs Cassidy-Ri)

Republicans (+1)

.80+ None
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.72 AL (Tuberville-R over Jones-D)
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.40-.59 None
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.21 MI (James-R vs Peters-Di)
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.07 MN (Lewis-R vs Smith-D)
.06 NM (Ronchetti-R vs Lujan-D)
 
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Kepler said:
538 has moved the Democrats from Slightly Favored to Favored to control the Senate.
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Hence teds Worthless amendment to prevent the Dems from court packing- you know, what his side does in the sleep
 
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