Kepler
Si certus es dubita
Re: 116th Congress - Episode 3: Impeach the Motherf**er
Let's hear it for 6th grade, ladies and gentlemen!
Let's hear it for 6th grade, ladies and gentlemen!
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116th Congress - Episode 3: Impeach the Motherf**er
- Thread starter dxmnkd316
- Start date
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French Rage
NICKERSON HAS [CENSORED]
Re: 116th Congress - Episode 3: Impeach the Motherf**er
Do we know much about Meredith College polling history and trends? Sorry, I've learned to hold back on getting too excited.
Do we know much about Meredith College polling history and trends? Sorry, I've learned to hold back on getting too excited.
bronconick
Yep, still here
Re: 116th Congress - Episode 3: Impeach the Motherf**er
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">GEORGIA polling, commissioned for Georgia GOP (Cygnal):<br><br>Fav/unfavorability:<br><br>Trump 49/49<br>Kemp 43/52<br>Collins 32/22<br>Loeffler 20/47 (!!)<br><br>Kemp holds the worst numbers of any governors the country. And Loeffler’s numbers are simply abysmal... <a href="https://t.co/qYETWxZjSl">https://t.co/qYETWxZjSl</a></p>— Josh Kraushaar (@HotlineJosh) <a href="https://twitter.com/HotlineJosh/status/1256174978556452864?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">May 1, 2020</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
The GOP is gonna primary her ***.
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">GEORGIA polling, commissioned for Georgia GOP (Cygnal):<br><br>Fav/unfavorability:<br><br>Trump 49/49<br>Kemp 43/52<br>Collins 32/22<br>Loeffler 20/47 (!!)<br><br>Kemp holds the worst numbers of any governors the country. And Loeffler’s numbers are simply abysmal... <a href="https://t.co/qYETWxZjSl">https://t.co/qYETWxZjSl</a></p>— Josh Kraushaar (@HotlineJosh) <a href="https://twitter.com/HotlineJosh/status/1256174978556452864?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">May 1, 2020</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
The GOP is gonna primary her ***.
psych
Well-known member
I hope Collins manages to successfully primary her. I think he gives Democrats a better chance in GA. I also hope Kris Kobach wins in Kansas come August, since that’ll make that race more interesting, even if Kansas hasn’t elected a Democrat to the Senate since the previous Great Depression in this country.
AZ, CO, ME, NC. Win those four. Lose AL. Win the Presidency. Hold the House. Ram some sh-t through budget reconciliation. Replace Ginsburg/Breyer. We got this.
psych
Well-known member
Yep. A simple plurality will win the nod for Kobach against plenty of strong GOP competition, and he’s got plenty of help ($) on his side. The Club for Growth and Peter Thiel, to name a couple. I think a few political handicappers have the race lean Republican because of the potential for Kobach to win the GOP nomination. That, and Democrats have a strong fundraiser former Republican as their nominee. Hell, I think she was a Republican as late as last year.
Kepler
Si certus es dubita
Re: 116th Congress - Episode 3: Impeach the Motherf**er
I wonder if the money will cut him loose. He is so toxic and there are plenty of those "drown it in a bathtub" morons around.
I wonder if the money will cut him loose. He is so toxic and there are plenty of those "drown it in a bathtub" morons around.
psych
Well-known member
Since I’m certainly not an avid follower of Kansas politics, there’s a chance you could be right. From the articles I’ve scoured, the Club for Growth hates U.S. Rep. Roger Marshall, Kobach’s main primary foe, and unsuccessfully spent millions against him to help Tim Huelskamp, who held that seat before Marshall. The Club has already spent millions against Marshall in this race, so they’re not directly helping Kobach, per se. I admit to knowing next to nothing about Peter Thiel, but he donated $350k directly to a Kobach Super PAC. $350k can probably last a while in Kansas. The Kansas GOP “establishment” apparently asked two candidates to drop out recently, setting up a Marshall vs. Kobach primary. So far, they’ve declined. Even if Kobach prevails, I think the Senate majority path for Democrats still goes through CO, ME, AZ, and NC first. IA, MT, KS, and GA #1/#2 are a tier or two below.
Kepler
Si certus es dubita
Re: 116th Congress - Episode 3: Impeach the Motherf**er
I think the dynamics of the 2020 election are going to push red states farther red. The nutbars are going to go all out. The hope is the Nazi wave will repel everybody else and all the purples will fall to us.
That's the Plan, anyway.
I think the dynamics of the 2020 election are going to push red states farther red. The nutbars are going to go all out. The hope is the Nazi wave will repel everybody else and all the purples will fall to us.
That's the Plan, anyway.
D
Deutsche Gopher Fan
Guest
Re: 116th Congress - Episode 3: Impeach the Motherf**er
Aw Joni.
“ BREAKING: The Senate race in Iowa is tightening, according to a new poll Sen. Joni Ernst’s (R-Iowa) lead over her likely Democratic opponent Theresa Greenfield has narrowed to just 1 point. The poll, from the Democratic-leaning firm Public Policy Polling (PPP), also shows Ernst’s approval rating in her home state is underwater. Thirty-seven percent of respondents said they approve of the job she’s doing in office compared to 43 percent who disapprove.
http://hill.cm/kqoKjTV
Aw Joni.
“ BREAKING: The Senate race in Iowa is tightening, according to a new poll Sen. Joni Ernst’s (R-Iowa) lead over her likely Democratic opponent Theresa Greenfield has narrowed to just 1 point. The poll, from the Democratic-leaning firm Public Policy Polling (PPP), also shows Ernst’s approval rating in her home state is underwater. Thirty-seven percent of respondents said they approve of the job she’s doing in office compared to 43 percent who disapprove.
http://hill.cm/kqoKjTV
Re: 116th Congress - Episode 3: Impeach the Motherf**er
First term senators are usually the easiest to pick off, aside from appointed senators who are total fuk ups of course (Loeffler, McSally)
. That means AZ, CO, IA, NC, GA and even MT. Not saying Dems are going to win all of these, but you've got to go all out before they get established in those seats. Manchin and Tester for example don't win those seats in 2018 if they hadn't already established some goodwill from a decade or so in office. Collins has also been riding that for years although hopefully her luck has finally run out.
First term senators are usually the easiest to pick off, aside from appointed senators who are total fuk ups of course (Loeffler, McSally)
. That means AZ, CO, IA, NC, GA and even MT. Not saying Dems are going to win all of these, but you've got to go all out before they get established in those seats. Manchin and Tester for example don't win those seats in 2018 if they hadn't already established some goodwill from a decade or so in office. Collins has also been riding that for years although hopefully her luck has finally run out.
unofan
Well-known member
Re: 116th Congress - Episode 3: Impeach the Motherf**er
I'm still pessimistic, but the one bright spot no matter what is that any money spent propping up Joni is one less dollar spent in Maine or Colorado.
My reason for pessimism is the governor's race two years ago. Granted the Dems nominated the wrong candidate who appealed to pretty much no one, but it boggles my mind that the Dems took 3 of 4 US house seats but still couldn't take the governor's mansion. About 90,000 people (net) apparently split their ticket between Reynolds and the Dem candidate for the US house. Almost half of that could be attributed to people from Steve King's district who are otherwise Rs but couldn't bring themselves to vote for him, but that still means there were others around the state that wanted a D in Washington but were fine with Rs controlling the state.
I'm still pessimistic, but the one bright spot no matter what is that any money spent propping up Joni is one less dollar spent in Maine or Colorado.
My reason for pessimism is the governor's race two years ago. Granted the Dems nominated the wrong candidate who appealed to pretty much no one, but it boggles my mind that the Dems took 3 of 4 US house seats but still couldn't take the governor's mansion. About 90,000 people (net) apparently split their ticket between Reynolds and the Dem candidate for the US house. Almost half of that could be attributed to people from Steve King's district who are otherwise Rs but couldn't bring themselves to vote for him, but that still means there were others around the state that wanted a D in Washington but were fine with Rs controlling the state.
FadeToBlack&Gold
Microlot Marxist
Re: 116th Congress - Episode 3: Impeach the Motherf**er
If the Senate ends up tied 50/50, I suspect we might see Manchin accept an offer to switch parties.
If the Senate ends up tied 50/50, I suspect we might see Manchin accept an offer to switch parties.
dxmnkd316
Lucia Apologist
Re: 116th Congress - Episode 3: Impeach the Motherf**er
If the senate gets to 50:50, the house and oval office will be controlled by Dems. What the hell could Republicans offer that the Dems don't own the rights to give at that point?
If the senate gets to 50:50, the house and oval office will be controlled by Dems. What the hell could Republicans offer that the Dems don't own the rights to give at that point?
Re: 116th Congress - Episode 3: Impeach the Motherf**er
Agreed. That doesn't make sense. Not only that but I'm not sure how welcome Manchin is going to be in the GOP cult since he already voted to convict Chump on the impeachment charges.
Finally, Itch went all out to defeat Manchin in 2018 as well and the two are said to not like each other at all.
Agreed. That doesn't make sense. Not only that but I'm not sure how welcome Manchin is going to be in the GOP cult since he already voted to convict Chump on the impeachment charges.
Finally, Itch went all out to defeat Manchin in 2018 as well and the two are said to not like each other at all.
Kepler
Si certus es dubita
Re: 116th Congress - Episode 3: Impeach the Motherf**er
He would be in an incredible position of leverage with the Democrats. He could barter every time there was a close vote. He could pave over the last 10 acres of WV that Burd missed.
He would be in an incredible position of leverage with the Democrats. He could barter every time there was a close vote. He could pave over the last 10 acres of WV that Burd missed.
Re: 116th Congress - Episode 3: Impeach the Motherf**er
So when faced with an obviously historically corrupt president and administration, the Dems are so unpopular they still are pretty much best case 50/50 in senate and another tossup for the presidency?
The Dems really don't have a clue how to communicate.
So when faced with an obviously historically corrupt president and administration, the Dems are so unpopular they still are pretty much best case 50/50 in senate and another tossup for the presidency?
The Dems really don't have a clue how to communicate.
Kepler
Si certus es dubita
Re: 116th Congress - Episode 3: Impeach the Motherf**er
That's not it. Remember, we're winning every general election by millions of votes. It's that the EC biases in favor of the stupidest people in the country AND the Democrats are academics so they don't know how to sell to imbeciles. The Republicans are salesmen so they were born to sell to imbeciles.
That's not it. Remember, we're winning every general election by millions of votes. It's that the EC biases in favor of the stupidest people in the country AND the Democrats are academics so they don't know how to sell to imbeciles. The Republicans are salesmen so they were born to sell to imbeciles.
Re: 116th Congress - Episode 3: Impeach the Motherf**er
You seem to be ignoring that the GOP is a cult and 45% of the country actually approves of the historic corruption. That is not the fault of the Dems. Its the fault of the knuckledraggers who embrace Nazism. The Senate being a 50/50 proposition is a result of the seats that are up in this cycle.
So, you can think like Scooby, but being like Scooby doesn't seem like its all that much fun.
You seem to be ignoring that the GOP is a cult and 45% of the country actually approves of the historic corruption. That is not the fault of the Dems. Its the fault of the knuckledraggers who embrace Nazism. The Senate being a 50/50 proposition is a result of the seats that are up in this cycle.
So, you can think like Scooby, but being like Scooby doesn't seem like its all that much fun.
Re: 116th Congress - Episode 3: Impeach the Motherf**er
You won 2008 by 9.5 million. You won 2012 by 5 million. You won 2016 by 3 million (4.2 million in California).
You're going the wrong way.
You won 2008 by 9.5 million. You won 2012 by 5 million. You won 2016 by 3 million (4.2 million in California).
You're going the wrong way.
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